- Lead
- 297
- Total
- 93,642
- vs nation
- D+1.8
Massachusetts Worcester and Hampshire District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,331
- Total
- 93,714
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Lead
- 809
- Total
- 85,660
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 2,274
- Total
- 78,672
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Lead
- 1,225
- Total
- 77,755
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Lead
- 1,155
- Total
- 73,149
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Lead
- 4,535
- Total
- 66,781
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Lead
- 10,591
- Total
- 61,927
- vs nation
- D+8.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,2312024 5-year
- Population density
- 282 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 594 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,7762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Worcester and Hampden District, MA · twin score 97.2
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Worcester and Hampshire District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.4%
38,886 votes · D+43.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 56.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
78.0%
8,897 votes · R+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
48,720votes
52.0% of the vote · D+6.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 45,775 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
45,478votes
48.6% of the vote · D+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 42,389 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+20.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +17.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+57.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +41.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 70.1%53,554 | 29.9%22,878 | 76,432 |
Spanning rural hill towns and mid-sized urban centers across two counties, this district voted within a fraction of a point of the national median in 2024, making it an unusually precise bellwether in an otherwise lopsidedly Democratic state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 167,231, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,776 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worcester and Hampden District and Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Worcester and Hampshire District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D06/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.