- Lead
- 13,580
- Total
- 88,722
- vs nation
- D+16.8
Massachusetts Worcester and Middlesex District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 20,059
- Total
- 91,248
- vs nation
- D+17.5
- Lead
- 10,416
- Total
- 85,218
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Lead
- 5,288
- Total
- 78,866
- vs nation
- D+2.9
- Lead
- 8,405
- Total
- 77,460
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Lead
- 7,920
- Total
- 73,038
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Lead
- 10,292
- Total
- 67,945
- vs nation
- D+14.6
- Lead
- 14,759
- Total
- 64,082
- vs nation
- D+14.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 177,0882024 5-year
- Population density
- 704 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 251 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $100,0062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bristol and Norfolk District, MA · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Worcester and Middlesex District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
72.8%
42,156 votes · D+46.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 59.6%
Republican
William McKinley1896
73.5%
7,847 votes · R+56.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
54,368votes
59.6% of the vote · D+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 49,829 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
40,143votes
65.0% of the vote · R+30.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 37,973 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+23.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +22.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+50.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +30.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%58,170 | 0.0%0 | 58,170 |
| 2020 | D | 72.7%59,428 | 27.3%22,319 | 81,747 |
Anchored by the working-class neighborhoods of Worcester and stretching into Middlesex County suburbs, this district blends post-industrial demographics with a younger, degree-holding population that has widened Democratic margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.3 points.
A population of 177,088, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,006 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bristol and Norfolk District and Second Essex and Middlesex District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Worcester and Middlesex District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D10/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.