- Lead
- 15,812
- Total
- 100,541
- vs nation
- D+17.2
Massachusetts Bristol and Norfolk District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,921
- Total
- 103,785
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 12,542
- Total
- 93,959
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Lead
- 14,055
- Total
- 86,944
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 16,430
- Total
- 87,379
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 19,248
- Total
- 83,551
- vs nation
- D+25.5
- Lead
- 22,314
- Total
- 77,460
- vs nation
- D+28.3
- Lead
- 24,689
- Total
- 73,571
- vs nation
- D+25.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 181,9202024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,169 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 156 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $118,7582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Second Essex and Middlesex District, MA · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Bristol and Norfolk District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.5%
49,438 votes · D+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 61.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
74.7%
6,706 votes · R+56.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63,094votes
60.8% of the vote · D+24.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 56,693 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
40,881votes
40.7% of the vote · D+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 40,281 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+28.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +28.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+50.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +26.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.1%58,534 | 18.9%13,634 | 72,168 |
| 2020 | D | 65.4%53,691 | 34.6%28,430 | 82,121 |
Bristol and Norfolk District spans a demographic mix of older industrial communities along the South Coast and newer suburban growth, producing reliable double-digit Democratic margins in statewide contests while hosting competitive local races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.7 points.
A population of 181,920, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,758 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Second Essex and Middlesex District and Norfolk-Plymouth-Bristol District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Bristol and Norfolk District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D35/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.