- Lead
- 14,967
- Total
- 103,778
- vs nation
- D+15.9
Massachusetts Second Essex and Middlesex District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 21,882
- Total
- 107,228
- vs nation
- D+16.0
- Lead
- 8,728
- Total
- 98,484
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 92,495
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Lead
- 3,170
- Total
- 89,372
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Lead
- 1,184
- Total
- 84,690
- vs nation
- D+3.9
- Lead
- 5,059
- Total
- 78,910
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Lead
- 9,638
- Total
- 73,941
- vs nation
- D+4.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 181,3762024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,363 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 133 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $128,7722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bristol and Norfolk District, MA · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Second Essex and Middlesex District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.3%
44,820 votes · D+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 59.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
78.0%
28,175 votes · R+60.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 75.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63,274votes
59.0% of the vote · D+20.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 58,141 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
53,935votes
69.8% of the vote · R+40.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 51,598 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+16.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +15.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+53.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +40.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%67,479 | 0.0%0 | 67,479 |
| 2020 | D | 75.7%65,317 | 24.3%20,950 | 86,267 |
Spanning communities from Essex County's North Shore coast into Middlesex suburbs, this district backed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by 14.3 points, reflecting a well-educated, densely networked electorate that has trended reliably blue across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.4 points.
A population of 181,376, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $128,772 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bristol and Norfolk District and First Essex and Middlesex District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Second Essex and Middlesex District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D20/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.