- Lead
- 2,217
- Total
- 73,219
- vs nation
- D+4.5
Massachusetts Second Bristol and Plymouth District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,414
- Total
- 73,105
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Lead
- 12,644
- Total
- 69,080
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Lead
- 18,762
- Total
- 65,217
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Lead
- 20,808
- Total
- 66,360
- vs nation
- D+24.1
- Lead
- 22,895
- Total
- 63,808
- vs nation
- D+38.3
- Lead
- 24,319
- Total
- 58,320
- vs nation
- D+41.2
- Lead
- 25,674
- Total
- 54,377
- vs nation
- D+38.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,6282024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,298 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 129 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,5662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- First Bristol and Plymouth District, MA · twin score 94.8
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Second Bristol and Plymouth District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81.8%
42,179 votes · D+63.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 70.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
74.3%
5,021 votes · R+51.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
43,123votes
67.6% of the vote · D+35.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 42,968 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
35,041votes
47.9% of the vote · D+3.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 30,174 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+42.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.0 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +42.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+45.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +18.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 79.7%49,964 | 20.3%12,749 | 62,713 |
| 2020 | D | 56.5%42,548 | 43.5%32,796 | 75,344 |
Spanning parts of Bristol and Plymouth counties along southeastern Massachusetts, this district has trended competitive at the presidential level, recording a D+3.0 margin in 2024 — notably tighter than statewide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.0 points.
A population of 167,628, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,566 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of First Bristol and Plymouth District and State Senate District 28.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Second Bristol and Plymouth District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D38/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.