- Lead
- 17,969
- Total
- 88,867
- vs nation
- D+21.7
Massachusetts Norfolk-Plymouth-Bristol District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,346
- Total
- 93,478
- vs nation
- D+23.7
- Lead
- 16,533
- Total
- 85,602
- vs nation
- D+17.2
- Lead
- 10,266
- Total
- 80,200
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Lead
- 12,421
- Total
- 79,359
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Lead
- 14,176
- Total
- 75,774
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 17,036
- Total
- 70,704
- vs nation
- D+23.6
- Lead
- 19,030
- Total
- 66,517
- vs nation
- D+20.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 169,3782024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,453 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 117 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $121,7202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bristol and Norfolk District, MA · twin score 95.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Norfolk-Plymouth-Bristol District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.0%
40,191 votes · D+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 63.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
75.7%
4,533 votes · R+58.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
58,941votes
63.1% of the vote · D+28.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 52,363 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
35,601votes
54.6% of the vote · R+9.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 34,491 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+27.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.1 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +24.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+52.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +33.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 75.4%58,612 | 24.6%19,150 | 77,762 |
| 2020 | D | 77.1%60,196 | 22.9%17,897 | 78,093 |
Spanning older industrial towns and suburban communities southeast of Boston, this district has returned Democratic presidential margins above 20 points, reflecting a densely educated, working- and middle-class electorate with little competitive volatility in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.2 points.
A population of 169,378, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $121,720 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bristol and Norfolk District and Fourth Middlesex District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Norfolk-Plymouth-Bristol District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D33/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.