akashic
1876–2024
Fourth Middlesex District·Massachusetts

Fourth Middlesex District has voted Democratic in seventeen straight presidential cycles.

One of Massachusetts' most lopsided presidential margins outside Boston proper

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MA
Latest
D+39
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
128,950
2024 ACS

Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+39%. Democratic peak: D+53 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+39MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
128,9502024 5-year
Median household income
$130,8472024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+53 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+47 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+39.2%
43,64018,50564,132
D
+44.9%
48,57717,86368,423
D
+37.2%
40,95617,29963,644
D
+27.1%
37,13421,04059,358
D
+30.1%
36,55819,34357,143
D
+29.5%
34,69918,71854,226
D
+31.2%
31,80115,65651,714
D
+36.3%
31,34013,37449,426
D
+21.8%
27,07515,24654,264
D
+10.7%
28,45722,85352,153
D
+0.8%
25,58525,15550,904
D
+2.2%
21,31020,22750,189
D
+15.5%
28,32820,46750,638
D
+12.4%
27,18121,17748,613
D
+31.5%
29,14614,82145,460
D
+52.9%
34,61410,60445,399
D
+18.2%
28,03019,37247,501
R
−22.5%
17,05327,00644,184
R
−14.3%
18,64624,87743,651
D
+4.1%
19,53817,96638,244
R
−5.8%
16,54818,58335,188
R
−5.2%
17,21019,09936,475
R
−2.4%
14,91615,71833,019
R
−2.8%
13,71514,52028,787
R
−4.4%
13,64314,89028,637
R
−38.4%
5,08012,79220,089
R
−42.4%
4,85312,32817,636
R
−9.7%
3,9234,7868,899
D
+6.0%
2,8882,4018,096
R
−28.5%
2,4684,6187,547
R
−24.8%
2,5894,3847,231
R
−24.6%
2,3203,9076,450
R
−47.0%
1,5424,5086,317
R
−7.3%
2,7373,1786,067
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
18.3%
Italian
12.1%
English
9.7%
German
6.3%
French
3.2%
Polish
3.1%
American
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.3%
2.1%
75–84
2.8%
4.4%
65–74
5.0%
6.3%
55–64
6.5%
6.3%
45–54
6.3%
7.0%
35–44
7.0%
7.7%
25–34
7.4%
4.9%
18–24
4.8%
7.4%
5–17
7.0%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$130,847
Fourth Middlesex District ranks near the middle of US counties.
Fourth Middlesex District$130,847
Massachusetts$103,960
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.9%
Working age (18–64)7.4%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European12.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.0%
Spanish6.6%
Other languages2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
40.1%
Non-Christian
5.9%
Other Christian
3.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Baptist
0.9%
Methodist
0.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

The Fourth Middlesex District posted a D+31.8 margin in 2024, reflecting the dense concentration of university-affiliated and professional households across its inner-suburban Middlesex communities.

The Democratic margin in Fourth Middlesex District reached its widest at fifty-three points in 1964. The margin in 2024 was thirty-nine points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $130,847, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 128,950 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D16/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts voted Democratic by 39.2 points (D+39), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 64,132 votes cast, 43,640 went Democratic and 18,505 went Republican.
What is Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts?
Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts has a population of 128,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts?
Median household income in Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts is $130,847 — above the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fourth Middlesex District, Massachusetts from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.