- Lead
- 18,911
- Total
- 64,093
- vs nation
- D+31.0
Massachusetts First Worcester District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 25,687
- Total
- 68,469
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Lead
- 21,464
- Total
- 63,125
- vs nation
- D+31.9
- Lead
- 20,349
- Total
- 57,972
- vs nation
- D+31.2
- Lead
- 22,751
- Total
- 58,949
- vs nation
- D+31.3
- Lead
- 21,566
- Total
- 55,171
- vs nation
- D+41.5
- Lead
- 21,433
- Total
- 50,722
- vs nation
- D+41.7
- Lead
- 23,735
- Total
- 48,690
- vs nation
- D+40.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,4382024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,655 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 101 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,5192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 5, RI · twin score 84.3
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts First Worcester District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
85.4%
41,586 votes · D+71.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 74.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
63.1%
4,054 votes · R+33.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 56.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
46,201votes
67.5% of the vote · D+37.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 41,586 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,568votes
33.7% of the vote · D+29.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,514 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+55.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.6 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +52.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+27.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +11.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%51,123 | 0.0%0 | 51,123 |
| 2020 | D | 68.9%52,591 | 31.1%23,723 | 76,314 |
Centered on the city of Worcester, the state's second-largest city, this district posted a 29.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the dense, diverse urban electorate that defines its political character.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.5 points.
A population of 167,438, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,519 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 5 and Middlesex and Suffolk District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts First Worcester District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D09/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.