- Lead
- 14,875
- Total
- 79,999
- vs nation
- D+20.1
Massachusetts Third Essex District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,354
- Total
- 86,249
- vs nation
- D+26.1
- Lead
- 19,145
- Total
- 80,308
- vs nation
- D+21.7
- Lead
- 13,554
- Total
- 75,400
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 16,206
- Total
- 73,090
- vs nation
- D+14.9
- Lead
- 13,420
- Total
- 68,981
- vs nation
- D+21.9
- Lead
- 15,252
- Total
- 63,741
- vs nation
- D+23.4
- Lead
- 17,876
- Total
- 59,556
- vs nation
- D+21.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,7162024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,541 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 39.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,8092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Third Suffolk District, MA · twin score 92.1
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Third Essex District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.0%
44,230 votes · D+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.3%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.7%
19,337 votes · R+47.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 67.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
55,478votes
64.3% of the vote · D+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 46,799 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
33,726votes
59.3% of the vote · R+18.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 32,942 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+31.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +28.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+38.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +22.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%66,694 | 0.0%0 | 66,694 |
| 2020 | D | 73.6%63,340 | 26.4%22,713 | 86,053 |
Anchored along Massachusetts' North Shore, the Third Essex District combines dense waterfront cities with older suburban towns, producing consistent double-digit Democratic margins in federal and statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 47.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.6 points.
A population of 180,716, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,809 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Third Suffolk District and State Senate District 35.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Third Essex District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D24/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.