HarrisDemocratic36.4%50,591TrumpRepublican61.9%86,075OtherAll other candidates0.5%662
R+25.5- Lead
- 35,484
- Total
- 138,972
- vs nation
- R+24.1
Akashicmedia market
Harrisonburg
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
6 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic36.2%47,268TrumpRepublican61.8%80,638OtherAll other candidates2.0%2,635
R+25.6- Lead
- 33,370
- Total
- 130,541
- vs nation
- R+30.0
ClintonDemocratic32.5%37,581TrumpRepublican61.2%70,747OtherAll other candidates6.2%7,202
R+28.7- Lead
- 33,166
- Total
- 115,530
- vs nation
- R+30.8
ObamaDemocratic36.1%38,812RomneyRepublican62.0%66,532OtherAll other candidates1.9%2,044
R+25.8- Lead
- 27,720
- Total
- 107,388
- vs nation
- R+29.7
ObamaDemocratic37.8%39,507McCainRepublican61.0%63,816OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,294
R+23.2- Lead
- 24,309
- Total
- 104,617
- vs nation
- R+30.5
KerryDemocratic29.6%26,947BushRepublican69.2%63,045OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,094
R+39.6- Lead
- 36,098
- Total
- 91,086
- vs nation
- R+37.2
GoreDemocratic29.7%23,192BushRepublican66.5%51,925OtherAll other candidates3.8%2,943
R+36.8- Lead
- 28,733
- Total
- 78,060
- vs nation
- R+37.3
ClintonDemocratic31.4%22,329DoleRepublican58.9%41,861OtherAll other candidates9.7%6,875
R+27.5- Lead
- 19,532
- Total
- 71,065
- vs nation
- R+36.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 269,8572024 5-year
- Population density
- 105 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,565 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,0162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wichita-Hutchinson Plus, KS · twin score 81.2
presidential history
Party record book
Harrisonburg · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.3%
9,869 votes · D+20.5
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 59.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
77.3%
42,424 votes · R+56.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
50,591votes
36.4% of the vote · R+25.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 47,268 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
86,075votes
61.9% of the vote · R+25.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80,638 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+37.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +33.4 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+37.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.8 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · +37.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+16.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+25.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.7 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 4,831 | 1,313 | 2,124 | 1,115 | 279 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,414 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,147 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +806 |
| 2012 | +366 |
| 2013 | +277 |
| 2014 | +528 |
| 2015 | +252 |
| 2016 | +1,208 |
| 2017 | +1,016 |
| 2018 | +862 |
| 2019 | +85 |
| 2021 | +728 |
| 2022 | +570 |
| 2023 | +1,105 |
| 2024 | +930 |
| 2025 | +1,414 |
Harrisonburg's media market spans a conservative rural Shenandoah Valley base softened by James Madison University's student and faculty population, producing a competitive mix that keeps margins tighter than surrounding Virginia districts typically suggest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 25.5 points.
A population of 269,857, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,016 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wichita-Hutchinson Plus and Rapid City.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wichita-Hutchinson Plus
Kansas
81.2twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ population scale
Rapid City
South Dakota
80.7twin score
2000–2008 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin Falls
Idaho
80.6twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisonburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/569/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Harrisonburg
Frequently asked questions
How did Harrisonburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Republican by 25.5 points (R+25.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,972 votes cast, 50,591 went Democratic and 86,075 went Republican.
When did Harrisonburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Harrisonburg, Virginia has a population of 269,857 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia is $74,016 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisonburg, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.