Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Harrisonburg
presidential margin
2008R+23.22012R+25.82016R+28.72020R+25.62024R+25.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+25.5
2024
median income$74,016U.S. $80,734 · VA $93,170
median age38.7U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.4%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)29.8%U.S. 35.6%
non-english11.3%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German18.2%
English13.2%
Irish9.5%
Mexican3.3%
Puerto Rican1.5%
Honduran1.3%
African American†4.6%
Jamaican0.2%
African0.2%
Vietnamese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline18.1%
Latter-day Saints1.0%
Other Christian0.8%
Muslim0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Harrisonburg, Virginia

Akashic
HarrisonburgTrumpR+25.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Harrisonburg, VAA map of the constituent counties of Harrisonburg, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Augusta County, VA · R+47.3Harrisonburg city, VA · D+25.2Rockingham County, VA · R+36.8Staunton city, VA · D+13.3Pendleton County, WV · R+58.6Waynesboro city, VA · R+5.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican61.9%86,075
Kamala HarrisDemocratic36.4%50,591
Jill SteinGreen1.7%2,306
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Harrisonburg, VA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Augusta County, VARepublicanR+47.3
Harrisonburg city, VADemocraticD+25.2
Pendleton County, WVRepublicanR+58.6
Rockingham County, VARepublicanR+36.8
Staunton city, VADemocraticD+13.3
Waynesboro city, VARepublicanR+5.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
36.4%Harris50,591
61.9%Trump86,075
1.7%Stein2,306
−25.5%
138,972
R
36.2%Biden47,268
61.8%Trump80,638
2.0%Jorgensen2,635
−25.6%
130,541
R
32.5%Clinton37,581
61.2%Trump70,747
6.2%Johnson7,202
−28.7%
115,530
R
36.1%Obama38,812
62.0%Romney66,532
1.9%Johnson2,044
−25.8%
107,388
R
37.8%Obama39,507
61.0%McCain63,816
1.2%Nader1,294
−23.2%
104,617
R
29.6%Kerry26,947
69.2%Bush63,045
1.2%Badnarik1,094
−39.6%
91,086
R
29.7%Gore23,192
66.5%Bush51,925
3.8%Nader2,943
−36.8%
78,060
R
31.4%Clinton22,329
58.9%Dole41,861
9.7%Perot6,875
−27.5%
71,065
R
28.5%Clinton20,790
56.4%Bush41,183
15.1%Perot10,982
−28.0%
72,955
R
28.3%Dukakis17,775
70.4%Bush44,216
1.3%Fulani808
−42.1%
62,799
R
24.9%Mondale15,558
74.6%Reagan46,658
0.6%Larouche368
−49.7%
62,584
R
32.1%Carter18,700
61.9%Reagan35,989
6.0%Anderson3,495
−29.7%
58,184
R
37.6%Carter20,042
58.9%Ford31,359
3.5%Camejo1,874
−21.2%
53,275
R
20.6%McGovern11,333
77.3%Nixon42,424
2.1%Schmitz1,140
−56.6%
54,897
R
23.1%Humphrey9,993
61.1%Nixon26,373
15.8%Wallace6,828
−37.9%
43,194
D
52.9%Johnson33,961
47.0%Goldwater30,144
0.1%Hass96
+5.9%
64,201
R
33.2%Kennedy9,113
66.4%Nixon18,198
0.4%Byrd97
−33.1%
27,408
R
29.3%Stevenson7,250
68.6%Eisenhower16,971
2.1%Andrews516
−39.3%
24,737
R
31.3%Stevenson7,345
68.6%Eisenhower16,119
0.1%Hallinan32
−37.3%
23,496
R
39.4%Truman7,483
52.8%Dewey10,034
7.8%Thurmond1,481
−13.4%
18,998
R
48.9%Roosevelt9,645
50.8%Dewey10,020
0.3%Thomas50
−1.9%
19,715
D
55.5%Roosevelt10,557
43.9%Willkie8,354
0.6%Thomas109
+11.6%
19,020
D
58.1%Roosevelt10,906
41.3%Landon7,764
0.6%Lemke110
+16.7%
18,780
D
59.3%Roosevelt9,869
38.8%Hoover6,453
1.9%Thomas316
+20.5%
16,638
R
37.6%Smith6,179
62.4%Hoover10,274
0.0%
−24.9%
16,453
D
55.4%Davis7,643
42.7%Coolidge5,889
1.8%La Follette252
+12.7%
13,784
D
50.7%Cox7,513
48.3%Harding7,161
1.0%Debs144
+2.4%
14,818
D
59.3%Wilson5,534
39.5%Hughes3,685
1.2%Benson113
+19.8%
9,332
D
58.5%Wilson5,111
23.4%Taft2,045
18.2%Roosevelt1,587
+35.1%
8,743
D
54.3%Bryan4,878
42.5%Taft3,812
3.2%Debs287
+11.9%
8,977
D
55.7%Parker4,813
41.9%Roosevelt3,625
2.4%Debs208
+13.7%
8,646
D
52.7%Bryan7,487
44.7%McKinley6,349
2.6%Woolley371
+8.0%
14,207
D
49.0%Bryan7,894
47.8%McKinley7,687
3.2%Palmer513
+1.3%
16,094
D
56.8%Cleveland8,850
39.3%Harrison6,126
3.9%Weaver611
+17.5%
15,587
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −25.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−25.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+17.5%
1896+1.3%
1900+8.0%
1904+13.7%
1908+11.9%
1912+35.1%
1916+19.8%
1920+2.4%
1924+12.7%
1928−24.9%
1932+20.5%
1936+16.7%
1940+11.6%
1944−1.9%
1948−13.4%
1952−37.3%
1956−39.3%
1960−33.1%
1964+5.9%
1968−37.9%
1972−56.6%
1976−21.2%
1980−29.7%
1984−49.7%
1988−42.1%
1992−28.0%
1996−27.5%
2000−36.8%
2004−39.6%
2008−23.2%
2012−25.8%
2016−28.7%
2020−25.6%
2024−25.5%
DemocraticRepublican

Harrisonburg's media market spans a conservative rural Shenandoah Valley base softened by James Madison University's student and faculty population, producing a competitive mix that keeps margins tighter than surrounding Virginia districts typically suggest.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 25.5 points.

A population of 269,857, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,016 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wichita-Hutchinson Plus and Rapid City.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wichita-Hutchinson Plus
Kansas
81.2twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ population scale
Rapid City
South Dakota
80.7twin score
2000–2008 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin Falls
Idaho
80.6twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisonburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/569/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Harrisonburg

counties6
Augusta CountyHarrisonburg cityPendleton CountyRockingham CountyStaunton cityWaynesboro city

Frequently asked questions

How did Harrisonburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Republican by 25.5 points (R+25.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 138,972 votes cast, 50,591 went Democratic and 86,075 went Republican.
When did Harrisonburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Harrisonburg, Virginia has a population of 269,857 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg, Virginia is $74,016 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisonburg, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.