combined metro areaHarrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+40.4
2008R+23.3
2012R+25.6
2016R+28.1
2020R+24.8
2024R+24.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.1% of 201,996 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
49,911
83,388
2,248
135,547
201,996
67.1%
2020
46,448
77,856
2,578
126,882
197,313
64.3%
2016
36,852
68,349
7,075
112,276
190,951
58.8%
2012
37,738
64,437
1,957
104,132
184,641
56.4%
2008
38,197
61,781
1,244
101,222
176,740
57.3%
2004
25,566
60,899
1,077
87,542
168,839†
51.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
5 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHarrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VAVirginiaUnited States
German17.8%10.1%12.5%
English13.3%12.0%9.5%
Irish9.6%9.1%9.4%
American6.4%8.4%5.3%
Italian3.6%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.2%1.9%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.8%——
French1.3%1.3%1.6%
Mexican3.4%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.6%1.4%1.8%
Honduran1.4%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran1.0%2.1%0.7%
Dominican0.4%—0.7%
Cuban0.4%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%0.7%0.5%
African American†4.7%15.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%0.3%0.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.7%0.6%
Filipino0.2%0.9%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
Virginia
United States
Median age
38.5
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
13.1%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.9%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$74,224
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.3%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.1%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
11.5%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
7.8%
7.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
Virginia
United States
Catholic
5.0%
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
23.0%
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.6%
54.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
17.8%
8.4%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+17.2%
1896
−0.9%
1900
+7.5%
1904
+14.5%
1908
+11.2%
1912
+35.7%
1916
+20.4%
1920
+1.0%
1924
+11.5%
1928
−33.6%
1932
+19.0%
1936
+16.1%
1940
+10.3%
1944
−4.5%
1948
−18.8%
1952
−45.3%
1956
−47.0%
1960
−39.3%
1964
+4.3%
1968
−41.3%
1972
−58.6%
1976
−23.9%
1980
−31.7%
1984
−51.7%
1988
−44.1%
1992
−29.4%
1996
−29.1%
2000
−37.3%
2004
−40.4%
2008
−23.3%
2012
−25.6%
2016
−28.1%
2020
−24.8%
2024
−24.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
36.8%Harris49,911
61.5%Trump83,388
0.5%Oliver638 +4
R+24.7
D+0.1
R+23.2
135,547
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican61.5%83,388
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic36.8%49,911
OtherAll other candidates0.5%662
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%638
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%512
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%233
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%203
R
36.6%Biden46,448
61.4%Trump77,856
2.0%
R+24.8
D+3.3
R+29.2
126,882
R
32.8%Clinton36,852
60.9%Trump68,349
6.3%
R+28.1
R+2.4
R+30.1
112,276
R
36.2%Obama37,738
61.9%Romney64,437
1.9%
R+25.6
R+2.3
R+29.5
104,132
R
37.7%Obama38,197
61.0%McCain61,781
1.2%
R+23.3
D+17.1
R+30.6
101,222
R
29.2%Kerry25,566
69.6%Bush60,899
1.2%
R+40.4
R+3.1
R+37.9
87,542
R
29.4%Gore22,020
66.7%Bush49,929
3.9%
R+37.3
R+8.2
R+37.8
74,839
R
30.6%Clinton20,738
59.7%Dole40,430
9.7%
R+29.1
D+0.4
R+37.6
67,757
R
27.6%Clinton19,164
57.1%Bush39,594
15.3%
R+29.4
D+14.6
R+35.0
69,372
R
27.3%Dukakis16,180
71.4%Bush42,315
1.4%
R+44.1
D+7.6
R+36.3
59,296
R
23.9%Mondale14,094
75.5%Reagan44,611
0.6%
R+51.7
R+20.0
R+33.4
59,066
R
31.0%Carter16,976
62.8%Reagan34,312
6.2%
R+31.7
R+7.8
R+22.0
54,680
R
36.2%Carter17,938
60.1%Ford29,805
3.8%
R+23.9
D+34.7
R+26.0
49,617
R
19.6%McGovern10,085
78.2%Nixon40,217
2.2%
R+58.6
R+17.3
R+35.4
51,442
R
21.1%Humphrey8,350
62.4%Nixon24,686
16.5%
R+41.3
R+45.6
R+40.6
39,566
D
52.1%Johnson31,463
47.8%Goldwater28,848
0.2%
D+4.3
D+43.7
R+18.3
60,407
R
30.1%Kennedy7,056
69.5%Nixon16,268
0.4%
R+39.3
D+7.6
R+39.5
23,421
R
25.3%Stevenson5,251
72.2%Eisenhower15,012
2.5%
R+47.0
R+1.6
R+31.6
20,779
R
27.3%Stevenson5,354
72.6%Eisenhower14,260
0.2%
R+45.3
R+26.5
R+34.6
19,646
R
35.8%Truman5,539
54.6%Dewey8,442
9.5%
R+18.8
R+14.2
R+23.3
15,455
R
47.6%Roosevelt7,468
52.1%Dewey8,182
0.3%
R+4.5
R+14.8
R+12.0
15,700
D
54.7%Roosevelt7,847
44.5%Willkie6,377
0.8%
D+10.3
R+5.8
D+0.3
14,333
D
57.7%Roosevelt8,269
41.6%Landon5,964
0.7%
D+16.1
R+2.9
R+8.2
14,330
D
58.3%Roosevelt7,339
39.3%Hoover4,951
2.4%
D+19.0
D+52.5
D+1.2
12,591
R
33.2%Smith4,258
66.8%Hoover8,564
0.0%
R+33.6
R+45.1
R+16.1
12,822
D
54.6%Davis5,606
43.1%Coolidge4,427
2.4%
D+11.5
D+10.4
D+36.7
10,276
D
49.9%Cox5,699
48.9%Harding5,580
1.2%
D+1.0
R+19.4
D+27.2
11,419
D
59.5%Wilson4,258
39.1%Hughes2,797
1.5%
D+20.4
R+15.3
D+17.3
7,159
D
59.3%Wilson3,949
23.6%Taft1,570
17.1%
D+35.7
D+24.5
D+16.2
6,655
D
53.5%Bryan3,685
42.3%Taft2,914
4.1%
D+11.2
R+3.3
D+20.8
6,883
D
55.8%Parker3,644
41.3%Roosevelt2,699
2.9%
D+14.5
D+6.9
D+34.1
6,534
D
52.3%Bryan6,333
44.7%McKinley5,420
3.0%
D+7.5
D+8.4
D+15.1
12,115
R
47.8%Bryan6,777
48.7%McKinley6,903
3.5%
R+0.9
R+18.1
D+5.2
14,169
D
56.4%Cleveland7,775
39.2%Harrison5,409
4.3%
D+17.2
—
D+15.5
13,783
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
39.5%52,960
60.3%80,782
133,955
2020
R
39.5%49,643
60.4%75,998
125,740
2018
R
39.7%36,738
58.0%53,653
92,493
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
Year
Total registered
2016
155,928
2018
155,395
2020
165,770
2022
171,065
2024
178,450
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,413 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,636 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+894
2012
+440
2013
+347
2014
+669
2015
+348
2016
+1,316
2017
+998
2018
+822
2019
+98
2021
+701
2022
+544
2023
+1,103
2024
+943
2025
+1,413
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.6 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 24.7 points.
A population of 263,814, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,224 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Abilene-Sweetwater, TX and Idaho Falls-Rexburg-Blackfoot, ID.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/277/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia voted Republican by 24.7 points (R+24.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 135,547 votes cast, 49,911 went Democratic and 83,388 went Republican.
When did Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia?
Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia has a population of 263,814 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia is $74,224 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisonburg-Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
