akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 21·Texas

Texas 21st Congressional District has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential cycles.

Hill Country corridor where suburban growth is tightening old margins

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+18
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
854,942
2024 ACS

Texas 21st Congressional District, Texas: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
854,9422024 5-year
Median household income
$87,2522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
39.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+65 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 1984MIT Election Lab
R
ROY, CharlesCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2017–2019), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2015–2017), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2013–2015), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

10 counties · 3 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−18.5%
165,108241,171411,786
R
−12.7%
163,155211,386380,917
R
−20.1%
104,626161,083280,887
R
−27.5%
85,036151,277241,074
R
−20.6%
93,501142,610238,966
R
−31.8%
70,446137,032209,599
R
−34.3%
52,656111,679172,207
R
−17.8%
53,22278,607142,957
R
−11.1%
49,36265,751147,574
R
−21.7%
49,39777,147127,886
R
−37.4%
36,16179,607116,067
R
−23.8%
35,16858,28797,056
R
−5.1%
38,53842,75782,451
R
−35.5%
21,42945,28067,267
R
−4.9%
22,25224,83753,221
D
+26.8%
29,50317,00046,577
R
−9.0%
18,19921,81940,194
R
−33.8%
11,66823,63835,457
R
−32.5%
12,78825,12938,009
D
+1.5%
12,43512,03825,801
R
−6.7%
10,45812,06624,113
D
+7.1%
12,76311,05723,879
D
+34.3%
12,7166,18019,061
D
+64.9%
16,8273,53520,480
R
−10.2%
7,4609,16616,648
D
+2.5%
5,6245,23015,527
R
−12.2%
3,7985,30112,315
D
+7.0%
4,8474,1989,277
D
+38.8%
3,9571,0837,409
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.2%
English
11.2%
Irish
8.2%
American
3.9%
Italian
2.6%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.5%
speak English only
Spanish21.0%
Other Indo-European1.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.0%
Other Christian
12.5%
Baptist
6.5%
Mainline Protestant
3.0%
Methodist
3.0%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from San Antonio's northern suburbs through the Texas Hill Country to the Permian Basin fringe, TX-21 has trended closer in presidential cycles as Bexar and Travis County spillover precincts add college-educated voters to an otherwise rural base.

The Republican margin in Texas 21st Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 1984. The margin in 2024 was eighteen points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $87,252, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 854,942 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 21, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 21, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 21, Texas voted Republican by 18.5 points (R+18), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 411,786 votes cast, 165,108 went Democratic and 241,171 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 21, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 21, Texas as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 21, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 21, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 21, Texas?
Congressional District 21, Texas has a population of 854,942 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 21, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 21, Texas is $87,252 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 21, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 21, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.