Texas 21st Congressional District, Texas: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 854,9422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,2522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2017–2019), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2015–2017), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2013–2015), SMITH, Lamar Seeligson (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 165,108 | 241,171 | 411,786 | ||
| R | 163,155 | 211,386 | 380,917 | ||
| R | 104,626 | 161,083 | 280,887 | ||
| R | 85,036 | 151,277 | 241,074 | ||
| R | 93,501 | 142,610 | 238,966 | ||
| R | 70,446 | 137,032 | 209,599 | ||
| R | 52,656 | 111,679 | 172,207 | ||
| R | 53,222 | 78,607 | 142,957 | ||
| R | 49,362 | 65,751 | 147,574 | ||
| R | 49,397 | 77,147 | 127,886 | ||
| R | 36,161 | 79,607 | 116,067 | ||
| R | 35,168 | 58,287 | 97,056 | ||
| R | 38,538 | 42,757 | 82,451 | ||
| R | 21,429 | 45,280 | 67,267 | ||
| R | 22,252 | 24,837 | 53,221 | ||
| D | 29,503 | 17,000 | 46,577 | ||
| R | 18,199 | 21,819 | 40,194 | ||
| R | 11,668 | 23,638 | 35,457 | ||
| R | 12,788 | 25,129 | 38,009 | ||
| D | 12,435 | 12,038 | 25,801 | ||
| R | 10,458 | 12,066 | 24,113 | ||
| D | 12,763 | 11,057 | 23,879 | ||
| D | 12,716 | 6,180 | 19,061 | ||
| D | 16,827 | 3,535 | 20,480 | ||
| R | 7,460 | 9,166 | 16,648 | ||
| D | 5,624 | 5,230 | 15,527 | ||
| R | 3,798 | 5,301 | 12,315 | ||
| D | 4,847 | 4,198 | 9,277 | ||
| D | 3,957 | 1,083 | 7,409 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 44.6% | 53.1% | 11,291,854 |
| 2020 | R | 43.9% | 53.5% | 11,144,040 |
| 2018 | R | 48.3% | 50.9% | 8,371,655 |
| 2014 | R | 34.4% | 61.6% | 4,648,358 |
| 2012 | R | 40.6% | 56.5% | 7,864,822 |
| 2008 | R | 42.8% | 54.8% | 7,912,075 |
| 2006 | R | 36.0% | 61.7% | 4,314,663 |
| 2002 | R | 43.3% | 55.3% | 4,514,012 |
| 2000 | R | 32.3% | 65.1% | 6,267,964 |
| 1996 | R | 43.9% | 54.8% | 5,527,441 |
| 1994 | R | 38.3% | 60.8% | 4,279,940 |
| 1990 | R | 37.4% | 60.2% | 3,822,157 |
| 1988 | D | 59.2% | 40.0% | 5,323,606 |
| 1984 | R | 41.4% | 58.5% | 5,314,178 |
| 1982 | D | 58.6% | 40.5% | 3,103,167 |
| 1978 | R | 49.3% | 49.8% | 2,312,540 |
| 1976 | D | 56.8% | 42.2% | 3,874,230 |
Demographics
Stretching from San Antonio's northern suburbs through the Texas Hill Country to the Permian Basin fringe, TX-21 has trended closer in presidential cycles as Bexar and Travis County spillover precincts add college-educated voters to an otherwise rural base.
The Republican margin in Texas 21st Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 1984. The margin in 2024 was eighteen points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $87,252, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 854,942 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 21, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.