- Lead
- 16,313
- Total
- 29,315
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- 83.2%
Kendall County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 83.2% of 35,534 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 14,063
- Total
- 26,516
- vs nation
- R+57.5
- Turnout
- 80.1%
- Lead
- 12,057
- Total
- 20,283
- vs nation
- R+61.5
- Turnout
- 72.4%
- Lead
- 11,465
- Total
- 17,783
- vs nation
- R+68.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,372
- Total
- 16,746
- vs nation
- R+63.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,902
- Total
- 14,072
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,887
- Total
- 11,073
- vs nation
- R+62.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,848
- Total
- 8,781
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 48,5672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,9622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Comal County, TX · twin score 95.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 83.2%29,563 participants ÷ 35,534 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 71.4%–73.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,590 | 28,443 | 72.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,998 | 30,581 | 65.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,678 | 33,312 | 80.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,637 | 33,126 | 68.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 29,563 | 35,534 | 83.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 29,295 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2120Precinct 2120 | 554 | 2,055 | 25 | 2,634 | 21.0% | 78.0% | R+57.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1050Precinct 1050 | 640 | 1,939 | 36 | 2,615 | 24.5% | 74.1% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4100Precinct 4100 | 537 | 1,852 | 20 | 2,409 | 22.3% | 76.9% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1110Precinct 1110 | 484 | 1,653 | 24 | 2,161 | 22.4% | 76.5% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3030Precinct 3030 | 385 | 1,720 | 18 | 2,123 | 18.1% | 81.0% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2020Precinct 2020 | 370 | 1,735 | 14 | 2,119 | 17.5% | 81.9% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4050Precinct 4050 | 449 | 1,525 | 14 | 1,988 | 22.6% | 76.7% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2060Precinct 2060 | 441 | 1,380 | 12 | 1,833 | 24.1% | 75.3% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2080Precinct 2080 | 357 | 1,431 | 20 | 1,808 | 19.7% | 79.1% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1010Precinct 1010 | 480 | 1,306 | 19 | 1,805 | 26.6% | 72.4% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3050Precinct 3050 | 384 | 1,342 | 14 | 1,740 | 22.1% | 77.1% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3010Precinct 3010 | 455 | 1,191 | 19 | 1,665 | 27.3% | 71.5% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4070Precinct 4070 | 227 | 1,194 | 11 | 1,432 | 15.9% | 83.4% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4090Precinct 4090 | 237 | 820 | 12 | 1,069 | 22.2% | 76.7% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3040Precinct 3040 | 186 | 844 | 9 | 1,039 | 17.9% | 81.2% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3060Precinct 3060 | 131 | 503 | 4 | 638 | 20.5% | 78.8% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1030Precinct 1030 | 38 | 178 | 1 | 217 | 17.5% | 82.0% | R+64.5 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | −58.2% |
| 1908 | −54.8% |
| 1912 | +16.0% |
| 1916 | −43.1% |
| 1920 | −60.7% |
| 1924 | −44.9% |
| 1928 | −27.4% |
| 1932 | +47.8% |
| 1936 | −26.1% |
| 1940 | −51.6% |
| 1944 | −58.3% |
| 1948 | −38.9% |
| 1952 | −65.4% |
| 1956 | −62.9% |
| 1960 | −47.4% |
| 1964 | −10.6% |
| 1968 | −41.7% |
| 1972 | −69.0% |
| 1976 | −35.7% |
| 1980 | −55.3% |
| 1984 | −65.7% |
| 1988 | −53.6% |
| 1992 | −37.9% |
| 1996 | −43.8% |
| 2000 | −62.2% |
| 2004 | −63.3% |
| 2008 | −56.0% |
| 2012 | −64.5% |
| 2016 | −59.4% |
| 2020 | −53.0% |
| 2024 | −55.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,218 |
| 2018 | 29,446 |
| 2020 | 33,836 |
| 2022 | 36,571 |
| 2024 | 38,959 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,354 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +21,580 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $150,114 in average income, against $176,661 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.2 on average — 54 points more Democratic-leaning than Kendall County, TX itself (R+55.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX847D+9.7
- Comal County, TX97R+45.5
- Kerr County, TX73R+54.3
- Harris County, TX63D+5.5
- Travis County, TX52D+39.3
- Bandera County, TX37R+61.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX568
- Comal County, TX108
- Kerr County, TX79
- Bandera County, TX54
- Travis County, TX54
- Harris County, TX51
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +776 |
| 2012 | +997 |
| 2013 | +1,540 |
| 2014 | +1,161 |
| 2015 | +1,490 |
| 2016 | +1,889 |
| 2017 | +1,982 |
| 2018 | +1,549 |
| 2019 | +1,789 |
| 2021 | +2,492 |
| 2022 | +1,983 |
| 2023 | +1,373 |
| 2024 | +1,205 |
| 2025 | +1,354 |
Kendall County, anchored by Boerne in the San Antonio exurbs, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting its fast-growing, affluent, and predominantly white suburban-rural electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.6 points.
A population of 48,567, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,962 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Comal County and Gillespie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kendall County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48259/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.