Akashic

county

Kaufman County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1904–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1904 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English8.6%7.9%9.5%

German7.2%8.3%12.5%

Irish6.1%6.0%9.4%

American5.8%4.6%5.3%

Italian1.4%1.9%4.8%

Scottish1.3%1.3%1.3%

French1.0%1.5%1.6%

Norwegian0.6%——

Mexican23.1%32.1%11.3%

Puerto Rican1.0%0.8%1.8%

Spaniard0.4%0.3%—

Cuban0.3%0.5%0.7%

Salvadoran0.3%1.2%0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%

Honduran0.2%0.8%0.3%

Nicaraguan0.2%——

African American†16.4%10.3%9.9%

African0.8%0.6%0.5%

Nigerian0.6%0.4%0.2%

Kenyan0.2%——

Asian Indian0.5%1.8%1.4%

Vietnamese0.5%1.0%0.6%

Chinese0.2%0.8%1.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Kaufman County	Texas	United States
Median age	33.8	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	8.3%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	10.5%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Kaufman County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$89,485	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.7%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	26.5%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Kaufman County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	22.6%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	18.0%	28.2%	13.6%
Other languages	1.6%	0.7%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Kaufman County	Texas	United States
Catholic	6.8%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	25.9%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	59.1%	45.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 61.3% of 113,791 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic35.6%24,726TrumpRepublican63.5%44,063OliverLibertarian0.5%320

R+27.9

Lead: 19,337
Total: 69,406
vs nation: R+26.4
Turnout: 61.3%

BidenDemocratic32.4%18,405TrumpRepublican66.2%37,624JorgensenLibertarian0.9%528

R+33.8

Lead: 19,219
Total: 56,839
vs nation: R+38.3
Turnout: 64.5%

ClintonDemocratic24.9%10,278TrumpRepublican71.7%29,587JohnsonLibertarian2.4%983

R+46.8

Lead: 19,309
Total: 41,265
vs nation: R+48.9
Turnout: 58.9%

ObamaDemocratic27.3%9,472RomneyRepublican71.7%24,846GrayLibertarian0.8%279

R+44.3

Lead: 15,374
Total: 34,670
vs nation: R+48.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic31.8%11,161McCainRepublican67.5%23,735OtherAll other candidates0.7%249

R+35.8

Lead: 12,574
Total: 35,145
vs nation: R+43.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic29.5%8,947BushRepublican70.2%21,304OtherAll other candidates0.4%115

R+40.7

Lead: 12,357
Total: 30,366
vs nation: R+38.2
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic32.3%7,455BushRepublican66.3%15,290NaderGreen0.9%207

R+34.0

Lead: 7,835
Total: 23,063
vs nation: R+34.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic41.0%7,383DoleRepublican48.3%8,697PerotReform10.2%1,831

R+7.3

Lead: 1,314
Total: 17,993
vs nation: R+15.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+27.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 172,6042024 5-year
Median household income: $89,4852024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 48.8%2024 5-year
Black: 18.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 27.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+89.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+46.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Ellis County, TX · twin score 95.4

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 61.3%69,800 participants ÷ 113,791 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 39.6%–45.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	44,228	75,069	58.9%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	38,464	79,819	48.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	56,703	87,954	64.5%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	43,015	100,559	42.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	69,800	113,791	61.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

37 precincts · 69,536 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Kaufman County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7	1,995	2,033	46	4,074	49.0%	49.9%	R+0.9
Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14	2,276	1,731	56	4,063	56.0%	42.6%	D+13.4
Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34	1,587	2,149	47	3,783	42.0%	56.8%	R+14.9
Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29	2,094	1,213	53	3,360	62.3%	36.1%	D+26.2
Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27	1,160	1,931	42	3,133	37.0%	61.6%	R+24.6
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3	1,206	1,885	32	3,123	38.6%	60.4%	R+21.7
Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13	1,441	1,503	32	2,976	48.4%	50.5%	R+2.1
Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35	1,709	1,194	41	2,944	58.1%	40.6%	D+17.5
Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16	354	2,240	29	2,623	13.5%	85.4%	R+71.9
Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36	882	1,432	25	2,339	37.7%	61.2%	R+23.5
Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10	249	1,793	8	2,050	12.1%	87.5%	R+75.3
Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15	301	1,676	15	1,992	15.1%	84.1%	R+69.0
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1	564	1,323	24	1,911	29.5%	69.2%	R+39.7
Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18	444	1,438	10	1,892	23.5%	76.0%	R+52.5
Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21	318	1,486	15	1,819	17.5%	81.7%	R+64.2
Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32	594	1,133	22	1,749	34.0%	64.8%	R+30.8
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6	306	1,409	17	1,732	17.7%	81.4%	R+63.7
Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37	967	724	18	1,709	56.6%	42.4%	D+14.2
Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19	556	1,114	24	1,694	32.8%	65.8%	R+32.9
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4	343	1,271	15	1,629	21.1%	78.0%	R+57.0
Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12	199	1,284	11	1,494	13.3%	85.9%	R+72.6
Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30	297	1,141	7	1,445	20.6%	79.0%	R+58.4
Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17	211	1,196	10	1,417	14.9%	84.4%	R+69.5
Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9	298	1,083	8	1,389	21.5%	78.0%	R+56.5
Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28	279	1,077	15	1,371	20.4%	78.6%	R+58.2
Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8	483	813	19	1,315	36.7%	61.8%	R+25.1
Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11	407	874	8	1,289	31.6%	67.8%	R+36.2
Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23	281	909	10	1,200	23.4%	75.8%	R+52.3
Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31	496	642	12	1,150	43.1%	55.8%	R+12.7
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5	717	392	18	1,127	63.6%	34.8%	D+28.8
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2	198	885	15	1,098	18.0%	80.6%	R+62.6
Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20	221	804	11	1,036	21.3%	77.6%	R+56.3
Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24	267	678	6	951	28.1%	71.3%	R+43.2
Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22	136	790	5	931	14.6%	84.9%	R+70.2
Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26	568	309	11	888	64.0%	34.8%	D+29.2
Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25	205	388	11	604	33.9%	64.2%	R+30.3
Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33	117	118	1	236	49.6%	50.0%	R+0.4

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+71.0%
1908	+67.6%
1912	+67.2%
1916	+69.6%
1920	+56.0%
1924	+71.8%
1928	+21.5%
1932	+87.7%
1936	+89.0%
1940	+82.0%
1944	+74.4%
1948	+55.5%
1952	+11.9%
1956	+1.5%
1960	+5.0%
1964	+42.5%
1968	+10.9%
1972	−29.2%
1976	+23.9%
1980	+3.4%
1984	−25.4%
1988	−7.0%
1992	−0.4%
1996	−7.3%
2000	−34.0%
2004	−40.7%
2008	−35.8%
2012	−44.3%
2016	−46.8%
2020	−33.8%
2024	−27.9%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	35.6%Harris24,726	63.5%Trump44,063	0.5%Oliver320 +2	R+27.9	D+6.0	R+26.4	69,406
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican63.5%44,063 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic35.6%24,726 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%320 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%257 OtherAll other candidates0.1%40
2020	R	32.4%Biden18,405	66.2%Trump37,624	0.9%Jorgensen528	R+33.8	D+13.0	R+38.3	56,839
2016	R	24.9%Clinton10,278	71.7%Trump29,587	2.4%Johnson983	R+46.8	R+2.4	R+48.9	41,265
2012	R	27.3%Obama9,472	71.7%Romney24,846	0.8%Gray279	R+44.3	R+8.6	R+48.2	34,670
2008	R	31.8%Obama11,161	67.5%McCain23,735	0.7%	R+35.8	D+4.9	R+43.0	35,145
2004	R	29.5%Kerry8,947	70.2%Bush21,304	0.4%	R+40.7	R+6.7	R+38.2	30,366
2000	R	32.3%Gore7,455	66.3%Bush15,290	0.9%Nader207	R+34.0	R+26.7	R+34.5	23,063
1996	R	41.0%Clinton7,383	48.3%Dole8,697	10.2%Perot1,831	R+7.3	R+6.9	R+15.8	17,993
1992	R	34.1%Clinton6,498	34.5%Bush6,578	31.0%Perot5,913	R+0.4	D+6.5	R+6.0	19,060
1988	R	46.2%Dukakis7,358	53.2%Bush8,466	0.6%	R+7.0	D+18.4	D+0.8	15,916
1984	R	37.2%Mondale5,554	62.5%Reagan9,343	0.3%	R+25.4	R+28.7	R+7.1	14,938
1980	D	51.0%Carter6,266	47.6%Reagan5,852	1.4%	D+3.4	R+20.5	D+13.1	12,287
1976	D	61.8%Carter6,302	37.9%Ford3,867	0.3%	D+23.9	D+53.0	D+21.8	10,204
1972	R	35.4%McGovern2,795	64.5%Nixon5,100	0.1%	R+29.2	R+40.0	R+6.0	7,906
1968	D	40.9%Humphrey3,311	30.0%Nixon2,431	29.0%	D+10.9	R+31.6	D+11.6	8,092
1964	D	71.2%Johnson4,766	28.7%Goldwater1,922	0.1%	D+42.5	D+37.4	D+19.9	6,694
1960	D	52.1%Kennedy3,008	47.1%Nixon2,717	0.7%	D+5.0	D+3.5	D+4.9	5,768
1956	D	50.5%Stevenson2,902	49.0%Eisenhower2,816	0.6%	D+1.5	R+10.4	D+16.9	5,750
1952	D	55.9%Stevenson3,762	44.0%Eisenhower2,964	0.0%	D+11.9	R+43.7	D+22.6	6,729
1948	D	71.1%Truman3,479	15.6%Dewey764	13.2%	D+55.5	R+18.9	D+51.0	4,890
1944	D	82.8%Roosevelt4,251	8.4%Dewey430	8.9%	D+74.4	R+7.6	D+66.9	5,136
1940	D	91.0%Roosevelt5,232	9.0%Willkie516	0.1%	D+82.0	R+7.0	D+72.1	5,751
1936	D	94.4%Roosevelt3,943	5.5%Landon229	0.1%	D+89.0	D+1.3	D+64.7	4,175
1932	D	93.8%Roosevelt4,116	6.1%Hoover268	0.1%	D+87.7	D+66.2	D+69.9	4,389
1928	D	60.7%Smith2,657	39.3%Hoover1,718	0.0%	D+21.5	R+50.3	D+38.9	4,375
1924	D	85.3%Davis5,573	13.5%Coolidge884	1.1%La Follette74	D+71.8	D+15.8	D+97.0	6,531
1920	D	68.8%Cox3,070	12.8%Harding573	18.4%	D+56.0	R+13.7	D+82.2	4,462
1916	D	82.2%Wilson2,780	12.6%Hughes427	5.1%	D+69.6	D+2.5	D+66.5	3,380
1912	D	76.5%Wilson2,039	9.3%Taft248	14.2%	D+67.2	R+0.5	D+47.6	2,667
1908	D	82.0%Bryan2,205	14.4%Taft387	3.6%	D+67.6	R+3.4	D+77.2	2,689
1904	D	83.1%Parker2,272	12.1%Roosevelt330	4.8%	D+71.0	—	D+90.7	2,734
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	35.3%23,736	64.7%43,491	67,227
2018	R	29.5%11,205	70.5%26,727	37,932

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	38.1%26,235	59.8%41,177	68,817
2020Class II	R	31.0%MJ Hegar17,507	66.7%John Cornyn37,649	56,469
2018Class I	R	31.3%Beto O'Rourke12,002	68.1%Ted Cruz26,118	38,372
2014Class II	R	22.9%David Alameel4,619	74.1%John Cornyn14,930	20,152
2012Class I	R	27.9%Paul Sadler9,589	69.7%Ted Cruz23,935	34,320
2008Class II	R	33.1%Richard J. Noriega11,499	64.9%John Cornyn22,527	34,704
2006Class I	R	28.3%Barbara A. Radnofsky5,275	69.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison12,970	18,637
2002Class II	R	35.2%Ron Kirk6,385	63.6%John Cornyn11,531	18,122
2000Class I	R	26.7%Gene Kelly6,074	72.0%Kay Bailey Hutchison16,389	22,777
1996Class II	R	44.0%Victor M. Morales7,979	54.6%Phil Gramm9,903	18,127
1994Class I	R	38.8%Richard Fisher4,986	60.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison7,769	12,862
1990Class II	R	39.8%Hugh Parmer4,861	57.2%Phil Gramm6,992	12,214
1988Class I	D	60.5%Lloyd Bentsen9,697	38.5%Beau Boulter6,177	16,035
1984Class II	R	43.7%Lloyd Doggett6,456	56.3%Phil Gramm8,329	14,785
1982Class I	D	66.4%Lloyd Bentsen6,426	33.1%James M. Collins3,209	9,682
1978Class II	D	59.2%Bob Krueger3,392	40.7%John G. Tower2,332	5,731
1976Class I	D	64.8%Lloyd Bentsen6,388	35.1%Alan Steelman3,456	9,853
1972Class II	D	52.1%Barefoot Sanders4,226	47.7%John G. Tower3,867	8,107
1970Class I	D	67.5%Lloyd Bentsen3,813	32.5%George H.W. Bush1,838	5,653
1966Class II	D	59.1%Waggoner Carr1,948	40.6%John G. Tower1,340	3,297
1964Class I	D	66.8%Ralph Yarborough4,453	33.1%George H.W. Bush2,208	6,666
1960Class II	D	63.0%Lyndon B. Johnson3,614	36.7%John G. Tower2,102	5,735
1958Class I	D	85.2%Ralph Yarborough1,755	14.4%Roy Whittenburg297	2,059
1954Class II	D	94.1%Lyndon B. Johnson2,024	5.9%Carlos G. Watson127	2,151
1952Class I	D	86.0%Price Daniel5,467	14.0%None893	6,360
1948Class II	D	71.5%Lyndon B. Johnson3,391	27.9%Jack Porter1,324	4,742
1946Class I	D	95.3%Tom Connally1,599	4.7%Murray C. Sells79	1,678
1942Class II	D	97.6%Pappy O'Daniel1,579	2.2%Dudley Lawson36	1,617
1940Class I	D	96.6%Tom Connally5,335	3.4%George I. Shannon186	5,522
1936Class II	D	96.4%Morris Sheppard4,028	3.6%Carlos G. Watson149	4,177
1934Class I	D	97.8%Tom Connally2,119	2.1%U.S. Goen45	2,167
1930Class II	D	90.8%Morris Sheppard1,840	9.2%D.J. Haesly186	2,027
1928Class I	D	88.6%Tom Connally3,795	11.3%T.M. Kennerly484	4,285
1924Class II	D	90.4%Morris Sheppard5,866	9.6%T.M. Kennerly624	6,490
1922Class I	D	76.8%Earle B. Mayfield2,317	23.2%George Peddy700	3,017
1918Class II	D	85.4%Morris Sheppard1,483	14.4%J. Webster Flanagan250	1,737
1916Class I	D	82.6%Charles Culberson2,790	12.1%Alex W. Atcheson409	3,378

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	R	30.3%Robert Krueger1,372	69.7%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,159	4,531
1961Special · Class II	D	69.6%William A. Blakley1,602	30.4%John G. Tower699	2,301
1957Special · Class I	D	41.4%Ralph Yarborough1,263	12.2%Thad Hutcheson374	3,054
1941Special · Class II	D	99.9%Pappy O'Daniel3,733	0.1%Polittle Evans2	3,735

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	32.7%O'Rourke14,002	66.1%Abbott28,285	42,775
2018	R	26.8%Valdez10,294	71.7%Abbott27,491	38,344
2014	R	26.8%Wendy Davis5,449	71.7%Greg Abbott14,590	20,353
2010	R	31.9%Bill White6,363	65.2%Rick Perry12,990	19,936
2006	R	23.0%Chris Bell4,375	41.5%Rick Perry7,910	19,055
2002	R	31.7%Tony Sanchez5,760	66.3%Rick Perry12,063	18,188
1998	R	28.8%Garry Mauro3,934	70.7%George W. Bush9,656	13,653
1994	R	44.6%Ann Richards6,639	54.4%George W. Bush8,094	14,874
1990	D	48.4%Ann Richards5,987	47.6%Clayton Williams5,885	12,366
1986	R	44.7%Mark White4,756	54.2%Bill Clements5,770	10,649
1982	D	64.3%Mark White6,246	35.6%Bill Clements3,459	9,721
1978	D	57.6%John Luke Hill3,342	42.3%Bill Clements2,456	5,802

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Kaufman County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	67,665
2018	72,976
2020	81,901
2022	93,515
2024	108,165

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+9,535 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +79,269 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $64,020 in average income, against $79,509 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+2.6 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Kaufman County, TX itself (R+27.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Dallas County, TX4,414D+22.2
Collin County, TX565R+11.1
Tarrant County, TX526R+5.1
Denton County, TX366R+13.1
Henderson County, TX335R+63.5
Rockwall County, TX277R+40.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Dallas County, TX1,971
Henderson County, TX463
Rockwall County, TX368
Collin County, TX354
Van Zandt County, TX353
Tarrant County, TX293

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Kaufman County, TX in Kaufman County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+664
2012	+672
2013	+1,037
2014	+1,870
2015	+2,471
2016	+3,066
2017	+4,005
2018	+4,902
2019	+7,124
2021	+11,006
2022	+12,360
2023	+11,544
2024	+9,013
2025	+9,535

Kaufman County's population has climbed steadily as Dallas sprawl pushes southeast, yet it continues to return lopsided Republican margins — R+27.9 in 2024 — suggesting suburban growth here hasn't yet shifted its partisan baseline.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.9 points.

A population of 172,604, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,485 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ellis County and Johnston County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Ellis County

Texas

95.4twin score

12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory% Latino

Johnston County

North Carolina

87.1twin score

12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Mexican ancestry

Benton County

Arkansas

85.7twin score

12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectorymedian income≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Kaufman County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Kaufman County, Texas voted Republican by 27.9 points (R+27.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,406 votes cast, 24,726 went Democratic and 44,063 went Republican.

When did Kaufman County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Kaufman County, Texas voted Democratic was 1980.

How many people live in Kaufman County, Texas?

Kaufman County, Texas has a population of 172,604 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Kaufman County, Texas?

Median household income in Kaufman County, Texas is $89,485 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Kaufman County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kaufman County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.

Measure

Kaufman County

Texas

United States

Median age

33.8

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

8.3%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

10.5%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Kaufman County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$89,485

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

9.7%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

26.5%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Kaufman County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

22.6%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

18.0%

28.2%

13.6%

Other languages

1.6%

0.7%

0.8%

Measure

Kaufman County

Texas

United States

Catholic

6.8%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

25.9%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

59.1%

45.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+27.9MIT Election Lab

Population

172,6042024 5-year

Median household income

$89,4852024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

48.8%2024 5-year

Black

18.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

27.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+89.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+46.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Ellis County, TX · twin score 95.4

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

44,228

75,069

58.9%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

38,464

79,819

48.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

56,703

87,954

64.5%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

43,015

100,559

42.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

69,800

113,791

61.3%

A/A

Kaufman County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7

1,995

2,033

4,074

49.0%

49.9%

R+0.9

Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14

2,276

1,731

4,063

56.0%

42.6%

D+13.4

Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34

1,587

2,149

3,783

42.0%

56.8%

R+14.9

Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29

2,094

1,213

3,360

62.3%

36.1%

D+26.2

Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27

1,160

1,931

3,133

37.0%

61.6%

R+24.6

Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3

1,206

1,885

3,123

38.6%

60.4%

R+21.7

Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13

1,441

1,503

2,976

48.4%

50.5%

R+2.1

Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35

1,709

1,194

2,944

58.1%

40.6%

D+17.5

Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16

354

2,240

2,623

13.5%

85.4%

R+71.9

Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36

882

1,432

2,339

37.7%

61.2%

R+23.5

Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10

249

1,793

2,050

12.1%

87.5%

R+75.3

Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15

301

1,676

1,992

15.1%

84.1%

R+69.0

Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1

564

1,323

1,911

29.5%

69.2%

R+39.7

Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18

444

1,438

1,892

23.5%

76.0%

R+52.5

Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21

318

1,486

1,819

17.5%

81.7%

R+64.2

Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32

594

1,133

1,749

34.0%

64.8%

R+30.8

Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6

306

1,409

1,732

17.7%

81.4%

R+63.7

Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37

967

724

1,709

56.6%

42.4%

D+14.2

Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19

556

1,114

1,694

32.8%

65.8%

R+32.9

Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4

343

1,271

1,629

21.1%

78.0%

R+57.0

Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12

199

1,284

1,494

13.3%

85.9%

R+72.6

Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30

297

1,141

1,445

20.6%

79.0%

R+58.4

Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17

211

1,196

1,417

14.9%

84.4%

R+69.5

Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9

298

1,083

1,389

21.5%

78.0%

R+56.5

Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28

279

1,077

1,371

20.4%

78.6%

R+58.2

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8

483

813

1,315

36.7%

61.8%

R+25.1

Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11

407

874

1,289

31.6%

67.8%

R+36.2

Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23

281

909

1,200

23.4%

75.8%

R+52.3

Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31

496

642

1,150

43.1%

55.8%

R+12.7

Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5

717

392

1,127

63.6%

34.8%

D+28.8

Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2

198

885

1,098

18.0%

80.6%

R+62.6

Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20

221

804

1,036

21.3%

77.6%

R+56.3

Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24

267

678

951

28.1%

71.3%

R+43.2

Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22

136

790

931

14.6%

84.9%

R+70.2

Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26

568

309

888

64.0%

34.8%

D+29.2

Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25

205

388

604

33.9%

64.2%

R+30.3

Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33

117

118

236

49.6%

50.0%

R+0.4

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+71.0%
1908	+67.6%
1912	+67.2%
1916	+69.6%
1920	+56.0%
1924	+71.8%
1928	+21.5%
1932	+87.7%
1936	+89.0%
1940	+82.0%
1944	+74.4%
1948	+55.5%
1952	+11.9%
1956	+1.5%
1960	+5.0%
1964	+42.5%
1968	+10.9%
1972	−29.2%
1976	+23.9%
1980	+3.4%
1984	−25.4%
1988	−7.0%
1992	−0.4%
1996	−7.3%
2000	−34.0%
2004	−40.7%
2008	−35.8%
2012	−44.3%
2016	−46.8%
2020	−33.8%
2024	−27.9%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

35.6%Harris24,726

63.5%Trump44,063

0.5%Oliver320 +2

R+27.9

D+6.0

R+26.4

69,406

All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican63.5%44,063
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic35.6%24,726
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%320
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%257
OtherAll other candidates0.1%40

2020

32.4%Biden18,405

66.2%Trump37,624

0.9%Jorgensen528

R+33.8

D+13.0

R+38.3

56,839

2016

24.9%Clinton10,278

71.7%Trump29,587

2.4%Johnson983

R+46.8

R+2.4

R+48.9

41,265

2012

27.3%Obama9,472

71.7%Romney24,846

0.8%Gray279

R+44.3

R+8.6

R+48.2

34,670

2008

31.8%Obama11,161

67.5%McCain23,735

0.7%

R+35.8

D+4.9

R+43.0

35,145

2004

29.5%Kerry8,947

70.2%Bush21,304

0.4%

R+40.7

R+6.7

R+38.2

30,366

2000

32.3%Gore7,455

66.3%Bush15,290

0.9%Nader207

R+34.0

R+26.7

R+34.5

23,063

1996

41.0%Clinton7,383

48.3%Dole8,697

10.2%Perot1,831

R+7.3

R+6.9

R+15.8

17,993

1992

34.1%Clinton6,498

34.5%Bush6,578

31.0%Perot5,913

R+0.4

D+6.5

R+6.0

19,060

1988

46.2%Dukakis7,358

53.2%Bush8,466

0.6%

R+7.0

D+18.4

D+0.8

15,916

1984

37.2%Mondale5,554

62.5%Reagan9,343

0.3%

R+25.4

R+28.7

R+7.1

14,938

1980

51.0%Carter6,266

47.6%Reagan5,852

1.4%

D+3.4

R+20.5

D+13.1

12,287

1976

61.8%Carter6,302

37.9%Ford3,867

0.3%

D+23.9

D+53.0

D+21.8

10,204

1972

35.4%McGovern2,795

64.5%Nixon5,100

0.1%

R+29.2

R+40.0

R+6.0

7,906

1968

40.9%Humphrey3,311

30.0%Nixon2,431

29.0%

D+10.9

R+31.6

D+11.6

8,092

1964

71.2%Johnson4,766

28.7%Goldwater1,922

0.1%

D+42.5

D+37.4

D+19.9

6,694

1960

52.1%Kennedy3,008

47.1%Nixon2,717

0.7%

D+5.0

D+3.5

D+4.9

5,768

1956

50.5%Stevenson2,902

49.0%Eisenhower2,816

0.6%

D+1.5

R+10.4

D+16.9

5,750

1952

55.9%Stevenson3,762

44.0%Eisenhower2,964

0.0%

D+11.9

R+43.7

D+22.6

6,729

1948

71.1%Truman3,479

15.6%Dewey764

13.2%

D+55.5

R+18.9

D+51.0

4,890

1944

82.8%Roosevelt4,251

8.4%Dewey430

8.9%

D+74.4

R+7.6

D+66.9

5,136

1940

91.0%Roosevelt5,232

9.0%Willkie516

0.1%

D+82.0

R+7.0

D+72.1

5,751

1936

94.4%Roosevelt3,943

5.5%Landon229

0.1%

D+89.0

D+1.3

D+64.7

4,175

1932

93.8%Roosevelt4,116

6.1%Hoover268

0.1%

D+87.7

D+66.2

D+69.9

4,389

1928

60.7%Smith2,657

39.3%Hoover1,718

0.0%

D+21.5

R+50.3

D+38.9

4,375

1924

85.3%Davis5,573

13.5%Coolidge884

1.1%La Follette74

D+71.8

D+15.8

D+97.0

6,531

1920

68.8%Cox3,070

12.8%Harding573

18.4%

D+56.0

R+13.7

D+82.2

4,462

1916

82.2%Wilson2,780

12.6%Hughes427

5.1%

D+69.6

D+2.5

D+66.5

3,380

1912

76.5%Wilson2,039

9.3%Taft248

14.2%

D+67.2

R+0.5

D+47.6

2,667

1908

82.0%Bryan2,205

14.4%Taft387

3.6%

D+67.6

R+3.4

D+77.2

2,689

1904

83.1%Parker2,272

12.1%Roosevelt330

4.8%

D+71.0

—

D+90.7

2,734

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

35.3%23,736

64.7%43,491

67,227

2018

29.5%11,205

70.5%26,727

37,932

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

38.1%26,235

59.8%41,177

68,817

2020Class II

31.0%MJ Hegar17,507

66.7%John Cornyn37,649

56,469

2018Class I

31.3%Beto O'Rourke12,002

68.1%Ted Cruz26,118

38,372

2014Class II

22.9%David Alameel4,619

74.1%John Cornyn14,930

20,152

2012Class I

27.9%Paul Sadler9,589

69.7%Ted Cruz23,935

34,320

2008Class II

33.1%Richard J. Noriega11,499

64.9%John Cornyn22,527

34,704

2006Class I

28.3%Barbara A. Radnofsky5,275

69.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison12,970

18,637

2002Class II

35.2%Ron Kirk6,385

63.6%John Cornyn11,531

18,122

2000Class I

26.7%Gene Kelly6,074

72.0%Kay Bailey Hutchison16,389

22,777

1996Class II

44.0%Victor M. Morales7,979

54.6%Phil Gramm9,903

18,127

1994Class I

38.8%Richard Fisher4,986

60.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison7,769

12,862

1990Class II

39.8%Hugh Parmer4,861

57.2%Phil Gramm6,992

12,214

1988Class I

60.5%Lloyd Bentsen9,697

38.5%Beau Boulter6,177

16,035

1984Class II

43.7%Lloyd Doggett6,456

56.3%Phil Gramm8,329

14,785

1982Class I

66.4%Lloyd Bentsen6,426

33.1%James M. Collins3,209

9,682

1978Class II

59.2%Bob Krueger3,392

40.7%John G. Tower2,332

5,731

1976Class I

64.8%Lloyd Bentsen6,388

35.1%Alan Steelman3,456

9,853

1972Class II

52.1%Barefoot Sanders4,226

47.7%John G. Tower3,867

8,107

1970Class I

67.5%Lloyd Bentsen3,813

32.5%George H.W. Bush1,838

5,653

1966Class II

59.1%Waggoner Carr1,948

40.6%John G. Tower1,340

3,297

1964Class I

66.8%Ralph Yarborough4,453

33.1%George H.W. Bush2,208

6,666

1960Class II

63.0%Lyndon B. Johnson3,614

36.7%John G. Tower2,102

5,735

1958Class I

85.2%Ralph Yarborough1,755

14.4%Roy Whittenburg297

2,059

1954Class II

94.1%Lyndon B. Johnson2,024

5.9%Carlos G. Watson127

2,151

1952Class I

86.0%Price Daniel5,467

14.0%None893

6,360

1948Class II

71.5%Lyndon B. Johnson3,391

27.9%Jack Porter1,324

4,742

1946Class I

95.3%Tom Connally1,599

4.7%Murray C. Sells79

1,678

1942Class II

97.6%Pappy O'Daniel1,579

2.2%Dudley Lawson36

1,617

1940Class I

96.6%Tom Connally5,335

3.4%George I. Shannon186

5,522

1936Class II

96.4%Morris Sheppard4,028

3.6%Carlos G. Watson149

4,177

1934Class I

97.8%Tom Connally2,119

2.1%U.S. Goen45

2,167

1930Class II

90.8%Morris Sheppard1,840

9.2%D.J. Haesly186

2,027

1928Class I

88.6%Tom Connally3,795

11.3%T.M. Kennerly484

4,285

1924Class II

90.4%Morris Sheppard5,866

9.6%T.M. Kennerly624

6,490

1922Class I

76.8%Earle B. Mayfield2,317

23.2%George Peddy700

3,017

1918Class II

85.4%Morris Sheppard1,483

14.4%J. Webster Flanagan250

1,737

1916Class I

82.6%Charles Culberson2,790

12.1%Alex W. Atcheson409

3,378

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

30.3%Robert Krueger1,372

69.7%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,159

4,531

1961Special · Class II

69.6%William A. Blakley1,602

30.4%John G. Tower699

2,301

1957Special · Class I

41.4%Ralph Yarborough1,263

12.2%Thad Hutcheson374

3,054

1941Special · Class II

99.9%Pappy O'Daniel3,733

0.1%Polittle Evans2

3,735

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

32.7%O'Rourke14,002

66.1%Abbott28,285

42,775

2018

26.8%Valdez10,294

71.7%Abbott27,491

38,344

2014

26.8%Wendy Davis5,449

71.7%Greg Abbott14,590

20,353

2010

31.9%Bill White6,363

65.2%Rick Perry12,990

19,936

2006

23.0%Chris Bell4,375

41.5%Rick Perry7,910

19,055

2002

31.7%Tony Sanchez5,760

66.3%Rick Perry12,063

18,188

1998

28.8%Garry Mauro3,934

70.7%George W. Bush9,656

13,653

1994

44.6%Ann Richards6,639

54.4%George W. Bush8,094

14,874

1990

48.4%Ann Richards5,987

47.6%Clayton Williams5,885

12,366

1986

44.7%Mark White4,756

54.2%Bill Clements5,770

10,649

1982

64.3%Mark White6,246

35.6%Bill Clements3,459

9,721

1978

57.6%John Luke Hill3,342

42.3%Bill Clements2,456

5,802

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Kaufman County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	67,665
2018	72,976
2020	81,901
2022	93,515
2024	108,165

How did Kaufman County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Kaufman County, Texas voted Republican by 27.9 points (R+27.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 69,406 votes cast, 24,726 went Democratic and 44,063 went Republican.

When did Kaufman County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Kaufman County, Texas voted Democratic was 1980.

How many people live in Kaufman County, Texas?

Kaufman County, Texas has a population of 172,604 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Kaufman County, Texas?

Median household income in Kaufman County, Texas is $89,485 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Kaufman County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kaufman County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.