HarrisDemocratic26.1%1,855TrumpRepublican73.1%5,199OtherAll other candidates0.9%62
R+47.0- Lead
- 3,344
- Total
- 7,116
- vs nation
- R+45.5
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Fair Oaks Ranch, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic27.4%1,760TrumpRepublican71.7%4,612OtherAll other candidates0.9%61
R+44.3- Lead
- 2,852
- Total
- 6,433
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic20.3%972TrumpRepublican75.0%3,589OtherAll other candidates4.7%227
R+54.7- Lead
- 2,617
- Total
- 4,788
- vs nation
- R+56.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic16.5%719RomneyRepublican82.0%3,571OtherAll other candidates1.5%67
R+65.5- Lead
- 2,852
- Total
- 4,357
- vs nation
- R+69.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic21.0%898McCainRepublican78.8%3,371OtherAll other candidates0.3%11
R+57.8- Lead
- 2,473
- Total
- 4,280
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic17.1%680BushRepublican82.2%3,262OtherAll other candidates0.6%25
R+65.1- Lead
- 2,582
- Total
- 3,967
- vs nation
- R+62.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,7282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $174,3272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Heath, TX · twin score 95.7
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −65.1% |
| 2008 | −57.8% |
| 2012 | −65.5% |
| 2016 | −54.7% |
| 2020 | −44.3% |
| 2024 | −47.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.1%Harris1,855 | 73.1%Trump5,199 | 0.9% | R+47.0 | R+2.7 | R+45.5 | 7,116 | |
| R | 27.4%Biden1,760 | 71.7%Trump4,612 | 0.9% | R+44.3 | D+10.3 | R+48.8 | 6,433 | |
| R | 20.3%Clinton972 | 75.0%Trump3,589 | 4.7% | R+54.7 | D+10.8 | R+56.7 | 4,788 | |
| R | 16.5%Obama719 | 82.0%Romney3,571 | 1.5% | R+65.5 | R+7.7 | R+69.3 | 4,357 | |
| R | 21.0%Obama898 | 78.8%McCain3,371 | 0.3% | R+57.8 | D+7.3 | R+65.1 | 4,280 | |
| R | 17.1%Kerry680 | 82.2%Bush3,262 | 0.6% | R+65.1 | — | R+62.6 | 3,967 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 2 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.8%1,517 | 78.2%5,449 | 6,966 |
| 2020 | R | 21.9%927 | 78.1%3,307 | 4,234 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.1%1,931 | 71.5%5,096 | 7,127 |
| 2020 | R | 21.5%918 | 78.5%3,348 | 4,266 |
Fair Oaks Ranch straddles two counties — Bexar and Kendall — giving it split administrative jurisdiction unusual for a city its size, while rapid residential growth in the Hill Country fringe has made it one of the region's most closely watched suburban bellwethers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 65.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.0 points.
A population of 10,728, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $174,327 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Heath and San Diego Country Estates.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Heath
Texas
95.7twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ median income
San Diego Country Estates
California
95.5twin score
2008–2020 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Trophy Club
Texas
94.6twin score
2008–2016 trajectorymedian income≠ Asian Indian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4825168/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas voted Republican by 47.0 points (R+47.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,116 votes cast, 1,855 went Democratic and 5,199 went Republican.
How many people live in Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas?
Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas has a population of 10,728 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas?
Median household income in Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas is $174,327 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.