- Lead
- 15,681
- Total
- 28,153
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- 72.4%
Burnet County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.4% of 39,071 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,128
- Total
- 24,717
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 70.1%
- Lead
- 10,841
- Total
- 19,204
- vs nation
- R+58.5
- Turnout
- 58.0%
- Lead
- 9,169
- Total
- 16,796
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,451
- Total
- 16,893
- vs nation
- R+51.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,309
- Total
- 15,742
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,729
- Total
- 13,232
- vs nation
- R+43.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,621
- Total
- 11,049
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 52,6522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,7322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kerr County, TX · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.4%28,269 participants ÷ 39,071 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.1%–63.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,517 | 33,677 | 58.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,693 | 34,372 | 54.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,925 | 35,579 | 70.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 21,199 | 37,329 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,269 | 39,071 | 72.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 28,153 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 873 | 2,525 | 26 | 3,424 | 25.5% | 73.7% | R+48.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 764 | 1,977 | 19 | 2,760 | 27.7% | 71.6% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 526 | 1,832 | 21 | 2,379 | 22.1% | 77.0% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 595 | 1,680 | 15 | 2,290 | 26.0% | 73.4% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 449 | 1,803 | 11 | 2,263 | 19.8% | 79.7% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 308 | 1,653 | 10 | 1,971 | 15.6% | 83.9% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 338 | 1,352 | 17 | 1,707 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 282 | 1,187 | 23 | 1,492 | 18.9% | 79.6% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 232 | 1,146 | 7 | 1,385 | 16.8% | 82.7% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 187 | 934 | 12 | 1,133 | 16.5% | 82.4% | R+65.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 218 | 802 | 7 | 1,027 | 21.2% | 78.1% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 257 | 684 | 11 | 952 | 27.0% | 71.8% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 248 | 656 | 13 | 917 | 27.0% | 71.5% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 221 | 683 | 6 | 910 | 24.3% | 75.1% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 137 | 673 | 11 | 821 | 16.7% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 82 | 494 | 2 | 578 | 14.2% | 85.5% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 108 | 428 | 7 | 543 | 19.9% | 78.8% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 73 | 458 | 9 | 540 | 13.5% | 84.8% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 97 | 431 | 6 | 534 | 18.2% | 80.7% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 119 | 397 | 11 | 527 | 22.6% | 75.3% | R+52.8 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +60.9% |
| 1908 | +51.1% |
| 1912 | +65.2% |
| 1916 | +75.4% |
| 1920 | +43.6% |
| 1924 | +70.3% |
| 1928 | −33.4% |
| 1932 | +85.9% |
| 1936 | +86.8% |
| 1940 | +80.6% |
| 1944 | +69.6% |
| 1948 | +71.8% |
| 1952 | +6.0% |
| 1956 | +10.0% |
| 1960 | +19.5% |
| 1964 | +51.7% |
| 1968 | +10.5% |
| 1972 | −47.2% |
| 1976 | +15.7% |
| 1980 | −4.1% |
| 1984 | −32.7% |
| 1988 | −8.2% |
| 1992 | −5.9% |
| 1996 | −14.7% |
| 2000 | −43.3% |
| 2004 | −46.4% |
| 2008 | −44.1% |
| 2012 | −54.6% |
| 2016 | −56.5% |
| 2020 | −53.1% |
| 2024 | −55.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,938 |
| 2018 | 30,985 |
| 2020 | 33,697 |
| 2022 | 36,364 |
| 2024 | 39,186 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+954 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +12,557 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $133,184 in average income, against $117,885 for residents who stayed — 13% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.3 on average — 57 points more Democratic-leaning than Burnet County, TX itself (R+55.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Williamson County, TX539R+2.4
- Travis County, TX426D+39.3
- Llano County, TX158R+60.8
- Bexar County, TX77D+9.7
- Harris County, TX72D+5.5
- Hays County, TX69D+5.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Llano County, TX293
- Travis County, TX249
- Williamson County, TX243
- Lampasas County, TX68
- Bexar County, TX61
- Bell County, TX50
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +396 |
| 2012 | +87 |
| 2013 | +191 |
| 2014 | +362 |
| 2015 | +838 |
| 2016 | +1,034 |
| 2017 | +804 |
| 2018 | +808 |
| 2019 | +854 |
| 2021 | +1,952 |
| 2022 | +1,473 |
| 2023 | +1,539 |
| 2024 | +1,265 |
| 2025 | +954 |
Burnet sits in the Texas Hill Country northwest of Austin, where rapid exurban growth has not eroded a deep Republican baseline — the county's 2024 presidential margin of R+55.7 reflects a pattern consistent across the last several cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.7 points.
A population of 52,652, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,732 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kerr County and Cooke County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Burnet County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.