Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Texas 31st Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+22.02012R+30.82016R+26.42020R+17.92024R+21.8
full record · 20082024
R+21.8
2024
median income$89,597U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age36.4U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate9.9%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)37.4%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english21.7%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German14.9%
English11.8%
Irish9.3%
Mexican16.8%
Puerto Rican2.3%
Cuban0.5%
African American12.5%
African0.7%
Nigerian0.4%
Asian Indian1.7%
Chinese0.4%
Korean0.4%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Coryell County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Texas 31st Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionTexas 31st Congressional DistrictTrumpR+21.8
Texas 31st Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+21.8, 204 precincts, 5 city labels.
2024
204 precincts by 2024 margin · 5 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −21.8% in 2024.−21.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−22.0%
2012−30.8%
2016−26.4%
2020−17.9%
2024−21.8%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn CarterU.S. House · TX-31+0.49
RJohn CornynU.S. Senate+0.47
RTed CruzU.S. Senate+0.78

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202431R
35.6%126,470
64.4%229,087
355,557
202231R
0.0%0
100.0%183,185
183,185
202031R
44.3%176,293
53.4%212,695
398,057
201831R
47.7%136,362
50.6%144,680
286,007
201631R
36.5%103,852
58.4%166,060
284,588
201431R
32.0%45,715
64.0%91,607
143,028
201231R
35.0%82,977
61.3%145,348
237,187
201031R
0.0%0
82.5%126,384
153,119
200831R
36.6%106,559
60.3%175,563
291,304
200631R
38.8%60,293
58.5%90,869
155,383
200431R
32.5%80,292
64.8%160,247
247,427
200231R
27.4%44,183
69.1%111,556
161,484

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
44.6%5,031,249
53.1%5,990,741
11,291,854
2020R
43.9%4,888,764
53.5%5,962,983
11,144,040
2018R
48.3%4,045,632
50.9%4,260,553
8,371,655
2014R
34.4%1,597,387
61.6%2,861,531
4,647,370
2012R
40.6%3,194,927
56.5%4,440,137
7,864,822
2008R
42.8%3,389,365
54.8%4,337,469
7,912,075
2006R
36.0%1,555,202
61.7%2,661,789
4,314,663
2002R
43.3%1,955,758
55.3%2,496,243
4,512,590
2000R
32.3%2,025,024
65.1%4,078,954
6,267,964
1996R
43.9%2,428,776
54.8%3,027,680
5,527,441
1994R
38.3%1,639,615
60.8%2,604,218
4,279,940
1990R
37.4%1,429,986
60.2%2,302,357
3,821,432
1988D
59.2%3,149,806
40.0%2,129,228
5,323,023
1984R
41.4%2,202,557
58.5%3,111,348
5,314,178
1982D
58.6%1,818,223
40.5%1,256,759
3,103,040
1978R
49.3%1,139,149
49.8%1,151,376
2,312,540
1976D
56.8%2,199,956
42.2%1,636,370
3,874,230

Texas's 31st stretches across fast-growing Williamson County north of Austin, where an influx of tech-sector workers has compressed a margin that once ran well into double digits, making it a closely watched bellwether for suburban realignment statewide.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 30.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.8 points.

A population of 766,584, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,597 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 10 and Congressional District 26.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Texas 31st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4831/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Texas 31st Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Texas 31st Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Texas 31st Congressional District voted Republican by 21.8 points (R+21.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 351,287 votes cast, 134,670 went Democratic and 211,266 went Republican.
How many people live in Texas 31st Congressional District?
Texas 31st Congressional District has a population of 766,584 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Texas 31st Congressional District?
Median household income in Texas 31st Congressional District is $89,597 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Texas 31st Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Texas 31st Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.