akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Texas

Texas 10th Congressional District delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A Houston-to-Hill Country corridor that's trended toward single digits

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
1,103,638
2024 ACS

Texas 10th Congressional District, Texas: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
TiedMIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
1,103,6382024 5-year
Median household income
$84,3672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.1%2024 5-year
Black
9.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
30.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+87 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+27 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
MCCAUL, Michael T.Congress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (2003–2005), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (2001–2003), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (1999–2001), DOGGETT, Lloyd Alton, II (1997–1999)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

13 counties · 1 D · 12 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+0.5%
234,692232,384475,839
D
+8.9%
250,018208,556468,131
D
+2.5%
176,231167,223365,922
R
−7.5%
140,922164,573313,853
R
−0.5%
157,871159,365321,675
R
−11.6%
126,910160,668291,651
R
−21.0%
90,070142,725250,221
R
−0.7%
95,16196,576207,622
D
+1.8%
94,89890,633234,255
R
−5.2%
96,977107,685206,400
R
−26.0%
74,102126,340201,035
R
−8.3%
63,74976,012147,475
D
+2.5%
68,68965,330135,755
R
−26.8%
39,42268,522108,455
D
+1.9%
37,73436,02388,537
D
+35.0%
50,65424,34075,081
D
+12.6%
35,31627,37163,010
R
−14.5%
24,49732,86557,636
R
−8.7%
28,58034,03662,677
D
+34.4%
26,20511,62942,426
D
+46.1%
24,6086,34639,624
D
+42.7%
28,01611,23839,315
D
+78.5%
23,1892,75126,047
D
+86.7%
31,8282,22334,166
D
+42.3%
19,0647,71726,803
D
+61.8%
27,8395,40236,278
O
+21.0%
10,4084,76726,902
D
+35.2%
12,5235,90318,817
D
+57.6%
11,2882,38215,474
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.4%
English
9.7%
Irish
7.8%
American
3.7%
Italian
2.6%
French
2.1%
Scottish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.4%
speak English only
Spanish19.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.9%
Other Indo-European2.8%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.2%
Baptist
8.4%
Other Christian
7.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Methodist
3.0%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas's 10th stretches from Houston's western suburbs through the Hill Country to Austin's eastern fringe, blending exurban growth with rural ranching communities. The district's presidential margin narrowed to R+6.7 in 2024, reflecting ongoing suburban realignment.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-seven points in 1932; the Republican margin reached twenty-seven points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 1,103,638, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $84,367 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4810/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Texas voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 475,839 votes cast, 234,692 went Democratic and 232,384 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Texas as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 11 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 10, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Texas voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Texas?
Congressional District 10, Texas has a population of 1,103,638 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Texas is $84,367 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.