akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Texas

Texas 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 15 points.

Collin County suburbs where a once-safe R margin has narrowed to single digits

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+15
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
1,034,850
2024 ACS

Texas 3rd Congressional District, Texas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+15%. Democratic peak: D+86 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
1,034,8502024 5-year
Median household income
$116,9672024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.1%2024 5-year
Black
10.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+86 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1984MIT Election Lab
R
SELF, KeithCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: TAYLOR, Nicholas (2021–2023), TAYLOR, Nicholas (2019–2021), JOHNSON, Sam (2017–2019), JOHNSON, Sam (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−15.1%
188,198257,477458,954
R
−8.2%
194,163229,348431,199
R
−20.0%
119,089183,314321,892
R
−33.3%
87,708177,418269,696
R
−27.1%
95,567167,358265,370
R
−43.0%
62,662158,470222,711
R
−46.7%
41,549117,717163,163
R
−30.6%
38,32977,070126,593
R
−24.7%
26,36957,437125,750
R
−42.5%
26,31265,59092,398
R
−56.5%
17,14861,94879,251
R
−29.6%
20,02137,71159,833
R
−10.4%
18,89223,34342,603
R
−52.0%
7,09622,69729,987
R
−1.4%
9,0129,35824,549
D
+36.6%
12,1365,62017,780
D
+7.7%
7,8646,73514,688
D
+5.1%
7,8487,07714,981
D
+5.3%
9,1528,23017,399
D
+57.5%
8,9511,99012,108
D
+67.7%
10,7951,41813,850
D
+78.2%
13,1721,60614,797
D
+86.0%
9,71272510,454
D
+84.6%
10,96188711,905
D
+3.2%
5,8335,46911,321
D
+65.9%
11,8682,33814,472
D
+54.1%
7,1581,8599,788
D
+75.5%
7,0988558,265
D
+72.4%
5,5914757,069
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R44.6%53.1%11,291,854
2020R43.9%53.5%11,144,040
2018R48.3%50.9%8,371,655
2014R34.4%61.6%4,648,358
2012R40.6%56.5%7,864,822
2008R42.8%54.8%7,912,075
2006R36.0%61.7%4,314,663
2002R43.3%55.3%4,514,012
2000R32.3%65.1%6,267,964
1996R43.9%54.8%5,527,441
1994R38.3%60.8%4,279,940
1990R37.4%60.2%3,822,157
1988D59.2%40.0%5,323,606
1984R41.4%58.5%5,314,178
1982D58.6%40.5%3,103,167
1978R49.3%49.8%2,312,540
1976D56.8%42.2%3,874,230

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.5%
German
9.7%
Irish
7.6%
American
6.3%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
70.1%
speak English only
Spanish11.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander9.1%
Other Indo-European7.3%
Other languages2.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.3%
Other Christian
11.8%
Baptist
10.0%
Non-Christian
5.7%
Methodist
4.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas's 3rd district covers the affluent northern Dallas suburbs, a corridor of rapid population growth and rising educational attainment that compressed its presidential margin from R+20 a decade ago to R+7.5 in 2024.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Texas 3rd Congressional District, by a one point margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-seven points in 1984. The 2024 margin was fifteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Texas 3rd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $116,967, and a 7% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4803/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Texas voted Republican by 15.1 points (R+15), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 458,954 votes cast, 188,198 went Democratic and 257,477 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Texas?
Congressional District 3, Texas has a population of 1,034,850 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Texas?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Texas is $116,967 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.