- Lead
- 25,925
- Total
- 46,733
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 61.1%
Hunt County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.1% of 76,930 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 20,257
- Total
- 38,597
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Turnout
- 56.2%
- Lead
- 17,514
- Total
- 31,554
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 52.7%
- Lead
- 14,340
- Total
- 28,049
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,979
- Total
- 29,524
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,094
- Total
- 28,194
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,320
- Total
- 24,466
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,945
- Total
- 21,876
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 108,9722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grayson County, TX · twin score 96.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.1%46,972 participants ÷ 76,930 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.0%–49.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 33,764 | 64,092 | 52.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 28,726 | 66,382 | 43.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 39,005 | 69,360 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 30,874 | 73,150 | 42.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 46,972 | 76,930 | 61.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 46,733 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 215APrecinct 215A | 1,416 | 4,340 | 53 | 5,809 | 24.4% | 74.7% | R+50.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 687 | 1,703 | 28 | 2,418 | 28.4% | 70.4% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 216Precinct 216 | 513 | 1,847 | 13 | 2,373 | 21.6% | 77.8% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 215BPrecinct 215B | 389 | 1,865 | 15 | 2,269 | 17.1% | 82.2% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 214APrecinct 214A | 348 | 1,899 | 16 | 2,263 | 15.4% | 83.9% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 323Precinct 323 | 314 | 1,922 | 17 | 2,253 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 325Precinct 325 | 493 | 1,710 | 24 | 2,227 | 22.1% | 76.8% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 324Precinct 324 | 456 | 1,634 | 32 | 2,122 | 21.5% | 77.0% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 320Precinct 320 | 284 | 1,411 | 9 | 1,704 | 16.7% | 82.8% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 427Precinct 427 | 694 | 876 | 18 | 1,588 | 43.7% | 55.2% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 319Precinct 319 | 202 | 1,366 | 14 | 1,582 | 12.8% | 86.3% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 433Precinct 433 | 774 | 708 | 13 | 1,495 | 51.8% | 47.4% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 428Precinct 428 | 431 | 854 | 14 | 1,299 | 33.2% | 65.7% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 217Precinct 217 | 202 | 1,070 | 8 | 1,280 | 15.8% | 83.6% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 434Precinct 434 | 172 | 1,065 | 10 | 1,247 | 13.8% | 85.4% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 432Precinct 432 | 149 | 1,057 | 11 | 1,217 | 12.2% | 86.9% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 106Precinct 106 | 422 | 719 | 18 | 1,159 | 36.4% | 62.0% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 141 | 981 | 5 | 1,127 | 12.5% | 87.0% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 145 | 924 | 10 | 1,079 | 13.4% | 85.6% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 321Precinct 321 | 166 | 898 | 5 | 1,069 | 15.5% | 84.0% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 302 | 653 | 11 | 966 | 31.3% | 67.6% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 213Precinct 213 | 106 | 739 | 1 | 846 | 12.5% | 87.4% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 119 | 672 | 3 | 794 | 15.0% | 84.6% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 322Precinct 322 | 86 | 638 | 3 | 727 | 11.8% | 87.8% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 150 | 545 | 4 | 699 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 214BPrecinct 214B | 91 | 523 | 2 | 616 | 14.8% | 84.9% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 89 | 511 | 1 | 601 | 14.8% | 85.0% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 318Precinct 318 | 71 | 483 | 1 | 555 | 12.8% | 87.0% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 111Precinct 111 | 144 | 345 | 5 | 494 | 29.1% | 69.8% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 105Precinct 105 | 148 | 314 | 3 | 465 | 31.8% | 67.5% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 62 | 380 | 3 | 445 | 13.9% | 85.4% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 212Precinct 212 | 81 | 352 | 2 | 435 | 18.6% | 80.9% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 431Precinct 431 | 113 | 314 | 4 | 431 | 26.2% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 430Precinct 430 | 109 | 284 | 3 | 396 | 27.5% | 71.7% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 426Precinct 426 | 68 | 294 | 3 | 365 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 429Precinct 429 | 75 | 241 | 2 | 318 | 23.6% | 75.8% | R+52.2 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +67.2% |
| 1908 | +72.7% |
| 1912 | +74.7% |
| 1916 | +78.9% |
| 1920 | +60.8% |
| 1924 | +76.7% |
| 1928 | +7.7% |
| 1932 | +87.1% |
| 1936 | +88.9% |
| 1940 | +80.5% |
| 1944 | +68.3% |
| 1948 | +55.0% |
| 1952 | −6.2% |
| 1956 | −5.3% |
| 1960 | +0.4% |
| 1964 | +33.0% |
| 1968 | +1.0% |
| 1972 | −44.4% |
| 1976 | +12.2% |
| 1980 | −2.8% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −9.3% |
| 1996 | −8.9% |
| 2000 | −34.0% |
| 2004 | −42.9% |
| 2008 | −40.6% |
| 2012 | −51.1% |
| 2016 | −55.5% |
| 2020 | −52.5% |
| 2024 | −55.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 21.8%7,994 | 78.2%28,593 | 36,587 |
| 2018 | R | 23.0%6,335 | 77.0%21,267 | 27,602 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 50,312 |
| 2018 | 54,843 |
| 2020 | 59,367 |
| 2022 | 64,334 |
| 2024 | 72,860 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3,351 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +29,318 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,627 in average income, against $73,648 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.8 on average — 43 points more Democratic-leaning than Hunt County, TX itself (R+55.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dallas County, TX1,117D+22.2
- Collin County, TX662R+11.1
- Rockwall County, TX553R+40.9
- Kaufman County, TX228R+27.9
- Denton County, TX178R+13.1
- Tarrant County, TX152R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dallas County, TX552
- Collin County, TX364
- Rockwall County, TX307
- Kaufman County, TX167
- Tarrant County, TX123
- Denton County, TX113
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −37 |
| 2012 | −10 |
| 2013 | +189 |
| 2014 | +902 |
| 2015 | +676 |
| 2016 | +1,933 |
| 2017 | +1,849 |
| 2018 | +2,225 |
| 2019 | +1,686 |
| 2021 | +3,386 |
| 2022 | +4,433 |
| 2023 | +4,515 |
| 2024 | +4,220 |
| 2025 | +3,351 |
Hunt County has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural-to-exurban demographic profile that has grown more politically uniform even as the Dallas-Fort Worth metro edge creeps toward its western boundary.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.5 points.
A population of 108,972, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,938 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grayson County and Randall County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hunt County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48231/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.