Commerce, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −10.1% |
| 2008 | −5.7% |
| 2012 | −13.6% |
| 2016 | −16.4% |
| 2020 | −10.6% |
| 2024 | −19.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39.8%Harris972 | 59.0%Trump1,441 | 1.2% | R+19.2 | R+8.6 | R+17.7 | 2,442 | |
| R | 43.7%Biden1,079 | 54.4%Trump1,341 | 1.9% | R+10.6 | D+5.7 | R+15.1 | 2,467 | |
| R | 38.6%Clinton829 | 55.0%Trump1,180 | 6.4% | R+16.4 | R+2.7 | R+18.4 | 2,146 | |
| R | 42.5%Obama844 | 56.1%Romney1,114 | 1.3% | R+13.6 | R+7.9 | R+17.5 | 1,984 | |
| R | 46.2%Obama1,073 | 51.9%McCain1,206 | 1.9% | R+5.7 | D+4.4 | R+13.0 | 2,323 | |
| R | 44.3%Kerry1,144 | 54.4%Bush1,406 | 1.4% | R+10.1 | — | R+7.7 | 2,585 |
Commerce sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 19.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.2 points.
A population of 9,383, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,386 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lemoore Station and Lacy-Lakeview.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Commerce, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4816240/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.