HarrisDemocratic17.4%2,917TrumpRepublican82.0%13,754OliverLibertarian0.4%65
R+64.6- Lead
- 10,837
- Total
- 16,778
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- 63.9%
Akashiccounty
Hopkins County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.9% of 26,316 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.1%3,046TrumpRepublican79.8%12,719JorgensenLibertarian0.9%143
R+60.7- Lead
- 9,673
- Total
- 15,941
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- 61.4%
ClintonDemocratic18.5%2,510TrumpRepublican79.1%10,707JohnsonLibertarian1.6%220
R+60.5- Lead
- 8,197
- Total
- 13,538
- vs nation
- R+62.6
- Turnout
- 54.3%
ObamaDemocratic21.8%2,777RomneyRepublican77.1%9,836GrayLibertarian0.9%111
R+55.4- Lead
- 7,059
- Total
- 12,753
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.3%3,530McCainRepublican72.0%9,299OtherAll other candidates0.7%90
R+44.7- Lead
- 5,769
- Total
- 12,919
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.5%3,443BushRepublican71.1%8,582OtherAll other candidates0.3%37
R+42.6- Lead
- 5,139
- Total
- 12,062
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.8%3,692BushRepublican64.9%7,076NaderGreen0.8%82
R+31.0- Lead
- 3,384
- Total
- 10,910
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.5%4,522DoleRepublican43.7%4,341PerotReform10.4%1,034
D+1.8- Lead
- 181
- Total
- 9,929
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,7842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,8882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Palo Pinto County, TX · twin score 96.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.9%16,811 participants ÷ 26,316 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.3%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,538 | 24,942 | 54.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,969 | 25,447 | 47.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,045 | 26,127 | 61.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,440 | 25,995 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,811 | 26,316 | 63.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 16,778 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 324 | 1,275 | 10 | 1,609 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 307 | 1,232 | 5 | 1,544 | 19.9% | 79.8% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 274 | 982 | 8 | 1,264 | 21.7% | 77.7% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 257 | 958 | 14 | 1,229 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 236 | 942 | 11 | 1,189 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 188 | 973 | 5 | 1,166 | 16.1% | 83.4% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 88 | 907 | 7 | 1,002 | 8.8% | 90.5% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 137 | 848 | 10 | 995 | 13.8% | 85.2% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 86 | 690 | 5 | 781 | 11.0% | 88.3% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 280 | 488 | 1 | 769 | 36.4% | 63.5% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 89 | 675 | 3 | 767 | 11.6% | 88.0% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 115 | 592 | 6 | 713 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 105 | 486 | 3 | 594 | 17.7% | 81.8% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 69 | 520 | 2 | 591 | 11.7% | 88.0% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 131 | 454 | 5 | 590 | 22.2% | 76.9% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 57 | 446 | 2 | 505 | 11.3% | 88.3% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 41 | 389 | 4 | 434 | 9.4% | 89.6% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 37 | 274 | 3 | 314 | 11.8% | 87.3% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 30 | 216 | 0 | 246 | 12.2% | 87.8% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 27 | 217 | 2 | 246 | 11.0% | 88.2% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 39 | 190 | 1 | 230 | 17.0% | 82.6% | R+65.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +69.3% |
| 1908 | +73.4% |
| 1912 | +73.1% |
| 1916 | +77.5% |
| 1920 | +46.3% |
| 1924 | +74.5% |
| 1928 | +2.2% |
| 1932 | +89.7% |
| 1936 | +82.6% |
| 1940 | +79.9% |
| 1944 | +70.7% |
| 1948 | +73.0% |
| 1952 | +20.7% |
| 1956 | +17.1% |
| 1960 | +20.7% |
| 1964 | +46.3% |
| 1968 | +12.9% |
| 1972 | −38.9% |
| 1976 | +32.1% |
| 1980 | +6.1% |
| 1984 | −21.8% |
| 1988 | −1.5% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | +1.8% |
| 2000 | −31.0% |
| 2004 | −42.6% |
| 2008 | −44.7% |
| 2012 | −55.4% |
| 2016 | −60.5% |
| 2020 | −60.7% |
| 2024 | −64.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2020 | 23,954 |
| 2022 | 24,724 |
| 2024 | 25,383 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+202 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,303 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,996 in average income, against $77,053 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.8 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Hopkins County, TX itself (R+64.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hunt County, TX102R+55.5
- Dallas County, TX93D+22.2
- Wood County, TX78R+69.7
- Collin County, TX48R+11.1
- Rains County, TX34R+72.9
- Denton County, TX32R+13.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hunt County, TX99
- Wood County, TX87
- Dallas County, TX61
- Collin County, TX44
- Franklin County, TX39
- Tarrant County, TX34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −77 |
| 2012 | −30 |
| 2013 | −30 |
| 2014 | +283 |
| 2015 | +235 |
| 2016 | +137 |
| 2017 | +219 |
| 2018 | +280 |
| 2019 | +296 |
| 2021 | +497 |
| 2022 | +563 |
| 2023 | +328 |
| 2024 | +400 |
| 2025 | +202 |
Hopkins County, anchored by Sulphur Springs in the Piney Woods transitional zone, has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, posting a 64-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 against a modest population base of roughly 32,000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.
A population of 37,784, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,888 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Palo Pinto County and Gordon County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Palo Pinto County
Texas
96.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Gordon County
Georgia
96.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Hutchinson County
Texas
94.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hopkins County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48223/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Hopkins County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Hopkins County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hopkins County, Texas voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+64.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,778 votes cast, 2,917 went Democratic and 13,754 went Republican.
When did Hopkins County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hopkins County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hopkins County, Texas?
Hopkins County, Texas has a population of 37,784 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hopkins County, Texas?
Median household income in Hopkins County, Texas is $70,888 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Hopkins County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hopkins County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.