akashic
1876–2024
Grimes County, Texas
Grimes County·Texas

Grimes County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

One of Texas's most lopsided rural counties in recent cycles

18762024·38 elections
Grimes County, Texas · Patrick Feller from Humble, Texas, USA · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+60
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
31,340
2024 ACS
Most similar
Jones County
TX · similarity 1.00
13 precincts · 14,051 votes cast
Trump · R+60
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−60.2%
2,73411,19714,051
2020R
−53.2%
2,8339,43212,414
2016R
−51.1%
2,1947,0659,533
2012R
−44.2%
2,3396,1418,601
2008R
−34.3%
2,7045,5628,322
2004R
−31.8%
2,7135,2638,030
2000R
−25.7%
2,4504,1976,802
1996D
+0.4%
2,5842,5645,701
1992D
+3.1%
2,5942,4026,217
1988R
−1.5%
2,7352,8205,582
1984R
−17.3%
2,3703,3655,752
1980D
+7.7%
2,4402,0874,602
1976D
+28.5%
2,6561,4734,148
1972R
−33.4%
1,1162,2433,376
1968D
+11.3%
1,4731,0763,525
1964D
+37.4%
2,2291,0143,247
1960D
+23.8%
1,7131,0532,778
1956R
−8.5%
1,0791,2812,374
1952R
−6.7%
1,3621,5572,920
1948D
+32.8%
9013361,720
1944D
+72.2%
1,5591371,970
1940D
+81.3%
2,8992983,199
1936D
+86.2%
1,8511361,989
1932D
+86.0%
2,0651532,223
1928D
+25.3%
1,1757011,876
1924D
+83.5%
2,1361772,345
1920D
+56.1%
1,0272141,449
1916D
+80.5%
1,1081081,243
1912D
+86.1%
941351,052
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.1%
African American
9.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
29.3%
Baptist
8.4%
Other Christian
5.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Methodist
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Grimes County, a sparsely populated stretch of East Texas pine and farmland, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 60 points, reflecting a rural demographic shift that accelerated sharply over the past two decades.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Grimes County, by a twenty-six points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty points in 2024. The 2024 margin was sixty points.

The political shift has tracked, in Grimes County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,803, and a 15% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jones County and Polk County.