- Lead
- 43,564
- Total
- 88,085
- vs nation
- R+48.0
Texas 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 34,120
- Total
- 81,075
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Lead
- 28,361
- Total
- 66,556
- vs nation
- R+44.7
- Lead
- 24,312
- Total
- 61,915
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Lead
- 19,395
- Total
- 61,984
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Lead
- 19,241
- Total
- 57,886
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Lead
- 14,673
- Total
- 50,022
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Lead
- 3,678
- Total
- 45,289
- vs nation
- R+16.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 202,4872024 5-year
- Population density
- 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,848 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,2432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 13, TX · twin score 92.5
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
95.4%
11,511 votes · D+91.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 94.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.3%
65,454 votes · R+49.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
22,945votes
28.3% of the vote · R+42.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 21,890 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
65,454votes
74.3% of the vote · R+49.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 57,065 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+103.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +73.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+48.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +46.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+49.4, this district ranks among the most heavily Republican in the Texas House, signaling a deeply homogeneous partisan composition that leaves little competitive ground for statewide or legislative challengers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.5 points.
A population of 202,487, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,243 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 13 and State House District 8.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.