HarrisDemocratic23.6%1,926TrumpRepublican75.7%6,177OliverLibertarian0.5%38
R+52.1- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 8,158
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- 65.4%
Akashiccounty
Robertson County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.4% of 12,520 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.3%2,374TrumpRepublican69.6%5,646JorgensenLibertarian0.8%66
R+40.3- Lead
- 3,272
- Total
- 8,110
- vs nation
- R+44.8
- Turnout
- 64.7%
ClintonDemocratic31.3%2,203TrumpRepublican66.4%4,668JohnsonLibertarian1.8%125
R+35.0- Lead
- 2,465
- Total
- 7,035
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 60.5%
ObamaDemocratic38.4%2,798RomneyRepublican60.6%4,419GrayLibertarian0.7%49
R+22.2- Lead
- 1,621
- Total
- 7,287
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic39.9%2,675McCainRepublican59.3%3,980OtherAll other candidates0.8%55
R+19.4- Lead
- 1,305
- Total
- 6,710
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.8%2,979BushRepublican55.8%3,792OtherAll other candidates0.4%24
R+12.0- Lead
- 813
- Total
- 6,795
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.5%3,283BushRepublican47.2%3,007NaderGreen0.6%41
D+4.3- Lead
- 276
- Total
- 6,369
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.3%2,912DoleRepublican37.6%1,944PerotReform6.1%315
D+18.7- Lead
- 968
- Total
- 5,175
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,1672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Falls County, TX · twin score 75.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.4%8,194 participants ÷ 12,520 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.0%–53.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,113 | 11,766 | 60.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,343 | 12,103 | 52.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,137 | 12,568 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,037 | 12,491 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,194 | 12,520 | 65.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 8,172 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 154 | 1,026 | 13 | 1,193 | 12.9% | 86.0% | R+73.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 185 | 867 | 5 | 1,057 | 17.5% | 82.0% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 195 | 693 | 7 | 895 | 21.8% | 77.4% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 259 | 565 | 8 | 832 | 31.1% | 67.9% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 243 | 569 | 9 | 821 | 29.6% | 69.3% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 467 | 196 | 1 | 664 | 70.3% | 29.5% | D+40.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 79 | 508 | 7 | 594 | 13.3% | 85.5% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 67 | 478 | 3 | 548 | 12.2% | 87.2% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 68 | 429 | 7 | 504 | 13.5% | 85.1% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 143 | 236 | 1 | 380 | 37.6% | 62.1% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 22 | 223 | 2 | 247 | 8.9% | 90.3% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 17 | 212 | 1 | 230 | 7.4% | 92.2% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 27 | 175 | 5 | 207 | 13.0% | 84.5% | R+71.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +72.1% |
| 1908 | +50.9% |
| 1912 | +67.9% |
| 1916 | +69.4% |
| 1920 | +56.0% |
| 1924 | +32.0% |
| 1928 | +32.9% |
| 1932 | +88.4% |
| 1936 | +93.6% |
| 1940 | +89.6% |
| 1944 | +84.0% |
| 1948 | +65.6% |
| 1952 | +31.1% |
| 1956 | +26.4% |
| 1960 | +48.0% |
| 1964 | +57.8% |
| 1968 | +39.4% |
| 1972 | −0.0% |
| 1976 | +50.0% |
| 1980 | +36.0% |
| 1984 | +11.2% |
| 1988 | +24.8% |
| 1992 | +21.8% |
| 1996 | +18.7% |
| 2000 | +4.3% |
| 2004 | −12.0% |
| 2008 | −19.4% |
| 2012 | −22.2% |
| 2016 | −35.0% |
| 2020 | −40.3% |
| 2024 | −52.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,463 |
| 2018 | 11,505 |
| 2020 | 11,844 |
| 2022 | 12,001 |
| 2024 | 12,600 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+258 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,415 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,194 in average income, against $67,613 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.3 on average — 33 points more Democratic-leaning than Robertson County, TX itself (R+52.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Brazos County, TX192R+24.8
- Harris County, TX43D+5.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Brazos County, TX179
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +78 |
| 2012 | −229 |
| 2013 | −87 |
| 2014 | +17 |
| 2015 | +188 |
| 2016 | +83 |
| 2017 | +278 |
| 2018 | +26 |
| 2019 | −198 |
| 2021 | +231 |
| 2022 | +254 |
| 2023 | +181 |
| 2024 | +335 |
| 2025 | +258 |
Robertson County's R+52.1 margin in 2024 reflects a broader rural Texas pattern, but its modest 16,000 residents and agricultural economy make it a study in small-county political consolidation rather than demographic complexity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.1 points.
A population of 17,167, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,236 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Falls County and Camp County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Falls County
Texas
75.6twin score
elasticity% White% Black≠ Irish ancestry
Camp County
Texas
72.0twin score
2024 margin% White% unaffiliated≠ Polish ancestry
Milam County
Texas
68.0twin score
elasticity2024 margin% Latino≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Robertson County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48395/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Robertson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Robertson County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Robertson County, Texas voted Republican by 52.1 points (R+52.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,158 votes cast, 1,926 went Democratic and 6,177 went Republican.
When did Robertson County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Robertson County, Texas voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Robertson County, Texas?
Robertson County, Texas has a population of 17,167 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Robertson County, Texas?
Median household income in Robertson County, Texas is $72,236 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Robertson County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Robertson County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.