- Lead
- 527
- Total
- 572
- vs nation
- R+90.7
- Turnout
- 94.7%
Roberts County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 94.7% of 606 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 512
- Total
- 550
- vs nation
- R+97.5
- Turnout
- 91.7%
- Lead
- 504
- Total
- 554
- vs nation
- R+93.1
- Turnout
- 87.2%
- Lead
- 435
- Total
- 508
- vs nation
- R+89.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 436
- Total
- 518
- vs nation
- R+91.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 415
- Total
- 507
- vs nation
- R+79.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 400
- Total
- 549
- vs nation
- R+73.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 299
- Total
- 584
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+92.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,8682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+93.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shackelford County, TX · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 94.7%574 participants ÷ 606 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 79.3%–82.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 570 | 654 | 87.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 472 | 608 | 77.6% | A/D |
| 2020 · Presidential | 550 | 600 | 91.7% | C/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 447 | 586 | 76.3% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 574 | 606 | 94.7% | A/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 572 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 4-1Precinct 4-1 | 7 | 156 | 2 | 165 | 4.2% | 94.5% | R+90.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 5 | 133 | 2 | 140 | 3.6% | 95.0% | R+91.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 5 | 131 | 1 | 137 | 3.6% | 95.6% | R+92.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 3 | 127 | 0 | 130 | 2.3% | 97.7% | R+95.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4-2Precinct 4-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +57.6% |
| 1908 | +58.0% |
| 1912 | +70.5% |
| 1916 | +76.9% |
| 1920 | +47.3% |
| 1924 | +39.5% |
| 1928 | −40.1% |
| 1932 | +84.5% |
| 1936 | +88.1% |
| 1940 | +75.8% |
| 1944 | +47.8% |
| 1948 | +57.7% |
| 1952 | −61.3% |
| 1956 | −40.4% |
| 1960 | −52.8% |
| 1964 | −20.0% |
| 1968 | −43.0% |
| 1972 | −72.0% |
| 1976 | −26.3% |
| 1980 | −51.7% |
| 1984 | −67.1% |
| 1988 | −52.7% |
| 1992 | −42.9% |
| 1996 | −51.2% |
| 2000 | −72.9% |
| 2004 | −81.9% |
| 2008 | −84.2% |
| 2012 | −85.6% |
| 2016 | −91.0% |
| 2020 | −93.1% |
| 2024 | −92.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 706 |
| 2018 | 665 |
| 2020 | 680 |
| 2022 | 699 |
| 2024 | 722 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+9 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −41 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3 |
| 2012 | +14 |
| 2013 | −18 |
| 2014 | −3 |
| 2015 | 0 |
| 2016 | −2 |
| 2017 | +19 |
| 2018 | −36 |
| 2019 | −45 |
| 2021 | −19 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +20 |
| 2024 | +19 |
| 2025 | +9 |
Roberts County recorded an R+92.1 margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided counties in the country. With fewer than 900 residents spread across the Texas Panhandle, its small electorate consistently produces some of the most extreme margins in any statewide race.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 93.1 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 92.1 points.
A population of 832, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,868 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shackelford County and Beaver County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Roberts County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48393/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.