HarrisDemocratic29.1%18,092TrumpRepublican69.9%43,542OliverLibertarian0.6%374
R+40.9- Lead
- 25,450
- Total
- 62,269
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- 72.3%
Akashiccounty
Rockwall County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.3% of 86,835 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.4%16,412TrumpRepublican68.0%36,726JorgensenLibertarian1.1%611
R+37.6- Lead
- 20,314
- Total
- 54,029
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Turnout
- 77.1%
ClintonDemocratic24.0%9,655TrumpRepublican70.8%28,451JohnsonLibertarian3.2%1,293
R+46.8- Lead
- 18,796
- Total
- 40,180
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 67.7%
ObamaDemocratic22.7%8,120RomneyRepublican75.8%27,113GrayLibertarian1.1%382
R+53.1- Lead
- 18,993
- Total
- 35,764
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic26.5%8,492McCainRepublican72.7%23,300OtherAll other candidates0.9%274
R+46.2- Lead
- 14,808
- Total
- 32,066
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic20.8%5,320BushRepublican78.7%20,120OtherAll other candidates0.6%141
R+57.9- Lead
- 14,800
- Total
- 25,581
- vs nation
- R+55.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic20.6%3,642BushRepublican77.4%13,666NaderGreen1.3%231
R+56.8- Lead
- 10,024
- Total
- 17,652
- vs nation
- R+57.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic25.7%3,289DoleRepublican65.0%8,319PerotReform8.8%1,121
R+39.3- Lead
- 5,030
- Total
- 12,796
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 123,6172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $127,9812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.5 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cherokee County, GA · twin score 87.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.3%62,796 participants ÷ 86,835 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.5%–57.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 40,390 | 59,680 | 67.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 38,699 | 63,740 | 60.7% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 54,099 | 70,153 | 77.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 42,982 | 77,711 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 62,796 | 86,835 | 72.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 62,513 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 2,109 | 5,744 | 104 | 7,957 | 26.5% | 72.2% | R+45.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 2,188 | 5,512 | 133 | 7,833 | 27.9% | 70.4% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 1,649 | 3,463 | 67 | 5,179 | 31.8% | 66.9% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3DPrecinct 3D | 938 | 3,125 | 50 | 4,113 | 22.8% | 76.0% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1CPrecinct 1C | 936 | 2,384 | 60 | 3,380 | 27.7% | 70.5% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 937 | 2,129 | 41 | 3,107 | 30.2% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C | 876 | 2,119 | 41 | 3,036 | 28.9% | 69.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3CPrecinct 3C | 574 | 2,372 | 39 | 2,985 | 19.2% | 79.5% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 922 | 1,952 | 32 | 2,906 | 31.7% | 67.2% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 784 | 1,991 | 33 | 2,808 | 27.9% | 70.9% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3EPrecinct 3E | 628 | 1,891 | 40 | 2,559 | 24.5% | 73.9% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1EPrecinct 1E | 589 | 1,815 | 22 | 2,426 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4DPrecinct 4D | 803 | 1,492 | 41 | 2,336 | 34.4% | 63.9% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 765 | 1,219 | 25 | 2,009 | 38.1% | 60.7% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4EPrecinct 4E | 571 | 1,353 | 35 | 1,959 | 29.1% | 69.1% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2DPrecinct 2D | 706 | 1,018 | 36 | 1,760 | 40.1% | 57.8% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2EPrecinct 2E | 741 | 933 | 28 | 1,702 | 43.5% | 54.8% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B | 533 | 829 | 12 | 1,374 | 38.8% | 60.3% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2CPrecinct 2C | 295 | 1,014 | 8 | 1,317 | 22.4% | 77.0% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2FPrecinct 2F | 237 | 477 | 11 | 725 | 32.7% | 65.8% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1DPrecinct 1D | 241 | 401 | 17 | 659 | 36.6% | 60.8% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4FPrecinct 4F | 70 | 309 | 4 | 383 | 18.3% | 80.7% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1BPrecinct 1B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +81.2% |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +95.8% |
| 1916 | +91.9% |
| 1920 | +77.4% |
| 1924 | +86.9% |
| 1928 | +49.3% |
| 1932 | +90.5% |
| 1936 | +95.6% |
| 1940 | +88.2% |
| 1944 | +77.7% |
| 1948 | +66.3% |
| 1952 | +32.1% |
| 1956 | +16.6% |
| 1960 | +16.7% |
| 1964 | +49.0% |
| 1968 | +8.3% |
| 1972 | −50.8% |
| 1976 | −6.6% |
| 1980 | −33.2% |
| 1984 | −60.5% |
| 1988 | −45.8% |
| 1992 | −30.4% |
| 1996 | −39.3% |
| 2000 | −56.8% |
| 2004 | −57.9% |
| 2008 | −46.2% |
| 2012 | −53.1% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −37.6% |
| 2024 | −40.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 63,500 |
| 2020 | 71,102 |
| 2022 | 79,059 |
| 2024 | 87,932 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3,087 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +48,654 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $100,668 in average income, against $148,282 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.5 on average — 42 points more Democratic-leaning than Rockwall County, TX itself (R+40.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dallas County, TX2,181D+22.2
- Collin County, TX906R+11.1
- Kaufman County, TX368R+27.9
- Hunt County, TX307R+55.5
- Denton County, TX268R+13.1
- Tarrant County, TX174R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dallas County, TX1,151
- Collin County, TX761
- Hunt County, TX553
- Kaufman County, TX277
- Denton County, TX191
- Tarrant County, TX170
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,486 |
| 2012 | +1,121 |
| 2013 | +1,458 |
| 2014 | +1,780 |
| 2015 | +2,541 |
| 2016 | +2,616 |
| 2017 | +2,773 |
| 2018 | +3,218 |
| 2019 | +3,871 |
| 2021 | +7,444 |
| 2022 | +5,801 |
| 2023 | +7,037 |
| 2024 | +4,421 |
| 2025 | +3,087 |
Rockwall is Texas's smallest county by area, yet its fast-growing suburban and exurban population consistently delivers lopsided Republican margins — hitting R+40.9 in 2024 — making it a reliable anchor in northeast Dallas's exurban ring.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.5 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.9 points.
A population of 123,617, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,981 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherokee County and Ellis County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cherokee County
Georgia
87.5twin score
12-yr trend2000–2008 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Ellis County
Texas
85.6twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ median income
Kendall County
Texas
85.5twin score
12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectorymedian income≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rockwall County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48397/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Rockwall County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Rockwall County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rockwall County, Texas voted Republican by 40.9 points (R+40.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 62,269 votes cast, 18,092 went Democratic and 43,542 went Republican.
When did Rockwall County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rockwall County, Texas voted Democratic was 1968.
How many people live in Rockwall County, Texas?
Rockwall County, Texas has a population of 123,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rockwall County, Texas?
Median household income in Rockwall County, Texas is $127,981 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Rockwall County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rockwall County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.