Akashic

county

Medina County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1904–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1904 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Mexican44.7%32.1%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.6%0.8%1.8%

Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%

Honduran0.3%0.8%0.3%

Spaniard0.3%0.3%—

Spanish0.3%——

Salvadoran0.2%1.2%0.7%

Colombian0.2%0.3%0.4%

German14.0%8.3%12.5%

English8.9%7.9%9.5%

Irish7.6%6.0%9.4%

American4.4%4.6%5.3%

French2.3%1.5%1.6%

Scottish1.5%1.3%1.3%

Polish1.4%0.8%2.2%

Scotch-Irish1.1%——

African American†2.5%10.3%9.9%

African0.2%0.6%0.5%

Nigerian0.2%0.4%0.2%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Medina County	Texas	United States
Median age	39.8	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	9.6%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.7%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Medina County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$78,074	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.6%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	23.1%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Medina County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	26.0%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	25.0%	28.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Medina County	Texas	United States
Catholic	48.6%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	14.3%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	31.5%	45.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 61.6% of 40,109 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic28.2%6,950TrumpRepublican70.9%17,464OliverLibertarian0.4%103

R+42.7

Lead: 10,514
Total: 24,617
vs nation: R+41.2
Turnout: 61.6%

BidenDemocratic29.9%6,773TrumpRepublican69.0%15,642JorgensenLibertarian0.8%184

R+39.1

Lead: 8,869
Total: 22,657
vs nation: R+43.6
Turnout: 59.9%

ClintonDemocratic26.9%4,634TrumpRepublican70.1%12,085JohnsonLibertarian2.3%403

R+43.2

Lead: 7,451
Total: 17,246
vs nation: R+45.3
Turnout: 49.0%

ObamaDemocratic29.8%4,784RomneyRepublican69.0%11,079GrayLibertarian0.8%136

R+39.2

Lead: 6,295
Total: 16,049
vs nation: R+43.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic32.7%5,147McCainRepublican66.6%10,480OtherAll other candidates0.7%110

R+33.9

Lead: 5,333
Total: 15,737
vs nation: R+41.2
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic29.2%4,322BushRepublican70.1%10,389OtherAll other candidates0.8%115

R+40.9

Lead: 6,067
Total: 14,826
vs nation: R+38.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic31.3%4,025BushRepublican66.7%8,590NaderGreen1.3%171

R+35.5

Lead: 4,565
Total: 12,873
vs nation: R+36.0
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic37.4%3,880DoleRepublican55.0%5,710PerotReform6.9%715

R+17.6

Lead: 1,830
Total: 10,377
vs nation: R+26.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+42.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 53,5472024 5-year
Median household income: $78,0742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 41.7%2024 5-year
Black: 2.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 51.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+65.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+45.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Victoria County, TX · twin score 90.5

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 61.6%24,725 participants ÷ 40,109 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +14.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 47.4%–52.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	17,246	35,204	49.0%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	16,341	36,599	44.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	22,644	37,831	59.9%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	17,436	38,241	45.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	24,725	40,109	61.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

15 precincts · 24,617 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Medina County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 2CPrecinct 2C	723	2,151	27	2,901	24.9%	74.1%	R+49.2
Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B	640	1,665	17	2,322	27.6%	71.7%	R+44.1
Precinct -Precinct 1CPrecinct 1C	817	1,480	16	2,313	35.3%	64.0%	R+28.7
Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B	518	1,729	20	2,267	22.8%	76.3%	R+53.4
Precinct -Precinct 1BPrecinct 1B	402	1,805	11	2,218	18.1%	81.4%	R+63.3
Precinct -Precinct 3DPrecinct 3D	748	1,179	10	1,937	38.6%	60.9%	R+22.3
Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A	541	1,192	18	1,751	30.9%	68.1%	R+37.2
Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A	797	921	22	1,740	45.8%	52.9%	R+7.1
Precinct -Precinct 3CPrecinct 3C	443	1,209	12	1,664	26.6%	72.7%	R+46.0
Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C	586	956	13	1,555	37.7%	61.5%	R+23.8
Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A	235	948	10	1,193	19.7%	79.5%	R+59.8
Precinct -Precinct 1DPrecinct 1D	211	929	9	1,149	18.4%	80.9%	R+62.5
Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A	193	812	12	1,017	19.0%	79.8%	R+60.9
Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B	88	375	6	469	18.8%	80.0%	R+61.2
Precinct -Precinct 3EPrecinct 3E	8	113	0	121	6.6%	93.4%	R+86.8

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+14.7%
1908	−9.0%
1912	+36.8%
1916	+7.5%
1920	−15.0%
1924	+7.5%
1928	+5.9%
1932	+65.9%
1936	+35.7%
1940	+8.3%
1944	−4.1%
1948	+10.9%
1952	−27.0%
1956	−27.4%
1960	+6.8%
1964	+36.6%
1968	+7.9%
1972	−45.2%
1976	+6.1%
1980	−21.7%
1984	−30.5%
1988	−14.9%
1992	−11.7%
1996	−17.6%
2000	−35.5%
2004	−40.9%
2008	−33.9%
2012	−39.2%
2016	−43.2%
2020	−39.1%
2024	−42.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	28.2%Harris6,950	70.9%Trump17,464	0.4%Oliver103 +2	R+42.7	R+3.6	R+41.2	24,617
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican70.9%17,464 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic28.2%6,950 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%103 Jill SteinIndependent0.3%81 OtherAll other candidates0.1%19
2020	R	29.9%Biden6,773	69.0%Trump15,642	0.8%Jorgensen184	R+39.1	D+4.1	R+43.6	22,657
2016	R	26.9%Clinton4,634	70.1%Trump12,085	2.3%Johnson403	R+43.2	R+4.0	R+45.3	17,246
2012	R	29.8%Obama4,784	69.0%Romney11,079	0.8%Gray136	R+39.2	R+5.3	R+43.1	16,049
2008	R	32.7%Obama5,147	66.6%McCain10,480	0.7%	R+33.9	D+7.0	R+41.2	15,737
2004	R	29.2%Kerry4,322	70.1%Bush10,389	0.8%	R+40.9	R+5.5	R+38.5	14,826
2000	R	31.3%Gore4,025	66.7%Bush8,590	1.3%Nader171	R+35.5	R+17.8	R+36.0	12,873
1996	R	37.4%Clinton3,880	55.0%Dole5,710	6.9%Perot715	R+17.6	R+5.9	R+26.2	10,377
1992	R	33.8%Clinton3,650	45.5%Bush4,912	20.1%Perot2,167	R+11.7	D+3.2	R+17.3	10,785
1988	R	42.1%Dukakis4,227	57.1%Bush5,722	0.8%	R+14.9	D+15.6	R+7.2	10,029
1984	R	34.7%Mondale3,053	65.2%Reagan5,737	0.1%	R+30.5	R+8.8	R+12.3	8,803
1980	R	38.5%Carter3,034	60.1%Reagan4,742	1.4%	R+21.7	R+27.8	R+11.9	7,888
1976	D	52.7%Carter3,681	46.5%Ford3,252	0.8%	D+6.1	D+51.3	D+4.1	6,988
1972	R	26.7%McGovern1,507	71.9%Nixon4,059	1.5%	R+45.2	R+53.0	R+22.0	5,649
1968	D	47.1%Humphrey2,471	39.2%Nixon2,058	13.7%	D+7.9	R+28.7	D+8.6	5,251
1964	D	68.3%Johnson3,408	31.7%Goldwater1,583	0.0%	D+36.6	D+29.8	D+14.0	4,992
1960	D	53.2%Kennedy2,325	46.4%Nixon2,028	0.3%	D+6.8	D+34.2	D+6.6	4,368
1956	R	36.1%Stevenson1,516	63.5%Eisenhower2,668	0.4%	R+27.4	R+0.4	R+12.0	4,201
1952	R	36.5%Stevenson1,840	63.5%Eisenhower3,204	0.0%	R+27.0	R+37.9	R+16.3	5,044
1948	D	53.3%Truman1,875	42.4%Dewey1,492	4.3%	D+10.9	D+15.0	D+6.4	3,520
1944	R	43.3%Roosevelt1,469	47.4%Dewey1,607	9.2%	R+4.1	R+12.4	R+11.6	3,389
1940	D	54.2%Roosevelt1,749	45.8%Willkie1,480	0.0%	D+8.3	R+27.3	R+1.6	3,229
1936	D	67.6%Roosevelt2,050	32.0%Landon969	0.4%	D+35.7	R+30.2	D+11.4	3,031
1932	D	82.9%Roosevelt2,516	17.0%Hoover515	0.2%	D+65.9	D+60.0	D+48.1	3,036
1928	D	52.9%Smith1,400	46.9%Hoover1,243	0.2%	D+5.9	R+1.5	D+23.4	2,648
1924	D	43.3%Davis986	35.8%Coolidge816	20.9%La Follette477	D+7.5	D+22.4	D+32.6	2,279
1920	R	30.7%Cox519	45.7%Harding772	23.6%	R+15.0	R+22.5	D+11.2	1,689
1916	D	52.6%Wilson758	45.1%Hughes650	2.3%	D+7.5	R+29.3	D+4.4	1,441
1912	D	55.6%Wilson648	18.8%Taft219	25.6%	D+36.8	D+45.8	D+17.2	1,166
1908	R	44.5%Bryan578	53.5%Taft695	2.1%	R+9.0	R+23.7	D+0.6	1,300
1904	D	56.3%Parker589	41.6%Roosevelt435	2.1%	D+14.7	—	D+34.4	1,046
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	24.5%5,878	75.5%18,151	24,029
2020	R	28.2%6,131	71.8%15,636	21,767
2018	R	26.5%4,207	73.5%11,681	15,888

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	30.3%7,416	67.5%16,508	24,457
2020Class II	R	27.9%MJ Hegar6,207	70.2%John Cornyn15,594	22,210
2018Class I	R	28.6%Beto O'Rourke4,621	70.7%Ted Cruz11,444	16,179
2014Class II	R	20.7%David Alameel2,024	75.8%John Cornyn7,405	9,764
2012Class I	R	29.1%Paul Sadler4,608	68.1%Ted Cruz10,765	15,818
2008Class II	R	32.8%Richard J. Noriega5,095	65.1%John Cornyn10,120	15,543
2006Class I	R	25.9%Barbara A. Radnofsky2,509	71.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison6,955	9,683
2002Class II	R	32.9%Ron Kirk3,151	65.4%John Cornyn6,268	9,588
2000Class I	R	27.6%Gene Kelly3,620	70.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison9,204	13,110
1996Class II	R	37.3%Victor M. Morales3,869	61.4%Phil Gramm6,367	10,366
1994Class I	R	32.0%Richard Fisher2,635	67.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison5,559	8,247
1990Class II	R	33.7%Hugh Parmer2,317	63.3%Phil Gramm4,358	6,884
1988Class I	D	58.4%Lloyd Bentsen5,645	40.9%Beau Boulter3,956	9,673
1984Class II	R	39.5%Lloyd Doggett3,416	60.5%Phil Gramm5,223	8,639
1982Class I	D	54.9%Lloyd Bentsen3,188	44.6%James M. Collins2,592	5,811
1978Class II	R	41.5%Bob Krueger1,947	57.8%John G. Tower2,717	4,697
1976Class I	D	65.2%Lloyd Bentsen4,324	34.2%Alan Steelman2,270	6,632
1972Class II	R	35.8%Barefoot Sanders2,014	57.0%John G. Tower3,208	5,629
1970Class I	D	63.3%Lloyd Bentsen2,260	36.7%George H.W. Bush1,313	3,573
1966Class II	R	41.2%Waggoner Carr930	58.7%John G. Tower1,324	2,256
1964Class I	D	61.8%Ralph Yarborough3,094	38.1%George H.W. Bush1,909	5,006
1960Class II	D	59.3%Lyndon B. Johnson2,652	40.5%John G. Tower1,812	4,474
1958Class I	D	77.8%Ralph Yarborough1,631	21.7%Roy Whittenburg455	2,097
1954Class II	D	75.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,145	24.4%Carlos G. Watson371	1,521
1952Class I	D	63.8%Price Daniel3,114	36.2%None1,765	4,879
1948Class II	D	70.3%Lyndon B. Johnson2,509	28.9%Jack Porter1,032	3,571
1946Class I	D	71.1%Tom Connally1,424	28.9%Murray C. Sells578	2,002
1942Class II	D	92.6%Pappy O'Daniel1,601	7.0%Dudley Lawson121	1,729
1936Class II	D	76.7%Morris Sheppard2,338	23.2%Carlos G. Watson708	3,047
1934Class I	D	87.1%Tom Connally2,591	12.4%U.S. Goen370	2,975
1930Class II	D	64.2%Morris Sheppard1,280	35.5%D.J. Haesly708	1,994
1928Class I	D	72.7%Tom Connally1,825	27.1%T.M. Kennerly681	2,510
1924Class II	D	72.0%Morris Sheppard1,671	28.0%T.M. Kennerly651	2,322
1922Class I	R	34.8%Earle B. Mayfield707	65.2%George Peddy1,324	2,031
1918Class II	D	59.6%Morris Sheppard583	39.2%J. Webster Flanagan383	978
1916Class I	D	58.6%Charles Culberson841	38.8%Alex W. Atcheson556	1,434

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	R	24.8%Robert Krueger828	75.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,517	3,345
1961Special · Class II	R	42.0%William A. Blakley714	58.0%John G. Tower985	1,699
1957Special · Class I	R	31.3%Ralph Yarborough605	32.4%Thad Hutcheson626	1,933
1941Special · Class II	D	99.8%Pappy O'Daniel1,293	0.2%Polittle Evans2	1,295

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	26.4%O'Rourke4,591	72.6%Abbott12,601	17,360
2018	R	24.5%Valdez3,964	74.5%Abbott12,057	16,187
2014	R	25.4%Wendy Davis2,506	73.0%Greg Abbott7,194	9,853
2010	R	32.4%Bill White3,578	64.1%Rick Perry7,077	11,043
2006	—	19.4%Chris Bell1,908	39.6%Rick Perry3,895	9,847
2002	R	30.4%Tony Sanchez2,967	67.4%Rick Perry6,578	9,763
1998	R	22.5%Garry Mauro1,647	76.8%George W. Bush5,619	7,318
1994	R	36.9%Ann Richards3,073	62.3%George W. Bush5,189	8,327
1990	R	39.2%Ann Richards2,727	56.9%Clayton Williams3,953	6,952
1986	R	40.0%Mark White2,675	58.9%Bill Clements3,937	6,682
1982	D	49.9%Mark White2,909	49.8%Bill Clements2,905	5,835
1978	R	39.4%John Luke Hill1,872	60.0%Bill Clements2,852	4,752

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Medina County, TX
Year	Total registered
2018	31,508
2020	33,763
2022	35,611
2024	38,525

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+1,256 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +9,619 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $71,165 in average income, against $80,058 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+0.8 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Medina County, TX itself (R+42.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Bexar County, TX901D+9.7
Atascosa County, TX93R+43.3
Frio County, TX39R+24.5
Bandera County, TX35R+61.8
Travis County, TX22D+39.3
Comal County, TX21R+45.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Bexar County, TX750
Atascosa County, TX77
Frio County, TX34
Uvalde County, TX27
Guadalupe County, TX22
Bandera County, TX20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Medina County, TX in Medina County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+189
2012	+160
2013	+345
2014	+409
2015	+374
2016	+640
2017	+746
2018	+529
2019	+578
2021	+1,425
2022	+1,246
2023	+1,034
2024	+688
2025	+1,256

Medina County's sparse ranchland and small towns along the San Antonio exurban fringe have delivered lopsided Republican margins for decades, with the 2024 presidential result continuing a pattern of roughly 70-plus percent GOP support.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.7 points.

A population of 53,547, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,074 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Victoria County and Wharton County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Victoria County

Texas

90.5twin score

% Latino% White2000–2004 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Wharton County

Texas

90.1twin score

% Latino% White2012 margin≠ % Catholic

Grant County

Washington

88.4twin score

% Latino2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

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Cities & towns in Medina County

Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Medina County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Medina County, Texas voted Republican by 42.7 points (R+42.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,617 votes cast, 6,950 went Democratic and 17,464 went Republican.

When did Medina County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Medina County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Medina County, Texas?

Medina County, Texas has a population of 53,547 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Medina County, Texas?

Median household income in Medina County, Texas is $78,074 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Medina County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Medina County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

Medina County

Texas

United States

Median age

39.8

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

9.6%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.7%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Medina County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$78,074

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

9.6%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

23.1%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Medina County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

26.0%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

25.0%

28.2%

13.6%

Measure

Medina County

Texas

United States

Catholic

48.6%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

14.3%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

31.5%

45.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+42.7MIT Election Lab

Population

53,5472024 5-year

Median household income

$78,0742024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

41.7%2024 5-year

Black

2.9%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

51.5%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+65.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+45.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Victoria County, TX · twin score 90.5

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

17,246

35,204

49.0%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

16,341

36,599

44.6%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

22,644

37,831

59.9%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

17,436

38,241

45.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

24,725

40,109

61.6%

A/A

Medina County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 2CPrecinct 2C

723

2,151

2,901

24.9%

74.1%

R+49.2

Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B

640

1,665

2,322

27.6%

71.7%

R+44.1

Precinct -Precinct 1CPrecinct 1C

817

1,480

2,313

35.3%

64.0%

R+28.7

Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B

518

1,729

2,267

22.8%

76.3%

R+53.4

Precinct -Precinct 1BPrecinct 1B

402

1,805

2,218

18.1%

81.4%

R+63.3

Precinct -Precinct 3DPrecinct 3D

748

1,179

1,937

38.6%

60.9%

R+22.3

Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A

541

1,192

1,751

30.9%

68.1%

R+37.2

Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A

797

921

1,740

45.8%

52.9%

R+7.1

Precinct -Precinct 3CPrecinct 3C

443

1,209

1,664

26.6%

72.7%

R+46.0

Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C

586

956

1,555

37.7%

61.5%

R+23.8

Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A

235

948

1,193

19.7%

79.5%

R+59.8

Precinct -Precinct 1DPrecinct 1D

211

929

1,149

18.4%

80.9%

R+62.5

Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A

193

812

1,017

19.0%

79.8%

R+60.9

Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B

375

469

18.8%

80.0%

R+61.2

Precinct -Precinct 3EPrecinct 3E

113

121

6.6%

93.4%

R+86.8

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+14.7%
1908	−9.0%
1912	+36.8%
1916	+7.5%
1920	−15.0%
1924	+7.5%
1928	+5.9%
1932	+65.9%
1936	+35.7%
1940	+8.3%
1944	−4.1%
1948	+10.9%
1952	−27.0%
1956	−27.4%
1960	+6.8%
1964	+36.6%
1968	+7.9%
1972	−45.2%
1976	+6.1%
1980	−21.7%
1984	−30.5%
1988	−14.9%
1992	−11.7%
1996	−17.6%
2000	−35.5%
2004	−40.9%
2008	−33.9%
2012	−39.2%
2016	−43.2%
2020	−39.1%
2024	−42.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

28.2%Harris6,950

70.9%Trump17,464

0.4%Oliver103 +2

R+42.7

R+3.6

R+41.2

24,617

All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican70.9%17,464
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic28.2%6,950
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%103
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%81
OtherAll other candidates0.1%19

2020

29.9%Biden6,773

69.0%Trump15,642

0.8%Jorgensen184

R+39.1

D+4.1

R+43.6

22,657

2016

26.9%Clinton4,634

70.1%Trump12,085

2.3%Johnson403

R+43.2

R+4.0

R+45.3

17,246

2012

29.8%Obama4,784

69.0%Romney11,079

0.8%Gray136

R+39.2

R+5.3

R+43.1

16,049

2008

32.7%Obama5,147

66.6%McCain10,480

0.7%

R+33.9

D+7.0

R+41.2

15,737

2004

29.2%Kerry4,322

70.1%Bush10,389

0.8%

R+40.9

R+5.5

R+38.5

14,826

2000

31.3%Gore4,025

66.7%Bush8,590

1.3%Nader171

R+35.5

R+17.8

R+36.0

12,873

1996

37.4%Clinton3,880

55.0%Dole5,710

6.9%Perot715

R+17.6

R+5.9

R+26.2

10,377

1992

33.8%Clinton3,650

45.5%Bush4,912

20.1%Perot2,167

R+11.7

D+3.2

R+17.3

10,785

1988

42.1%Dukakis4,227

57.1%Bush5,722

0.8%

R+14.9

D+15.6

R+7.2

10,029

1984

34.7%Mondale3,053

65.2%Reagan5,737

0.1%

R+30.5

R+8.8

R+12.3

8,803

1980

38.5%Carter3,034

60.1%Reagan4,742

1.4%

R+21.7

R+27.8

R+11.9

7,888

1976

52.7%Carter3,681

46.5%Ford3,252

0.8%

D+6.1

D+51.3

D+4.1

6,988

1972

26.7%McGovern1,507

71.9%Nixon4,059

1.5%

R+45.2

R+53.0

R+22.0

5,649

1968

47.1%Humphrey2,471

39.2%Nixon2,058

13.7%

D+7.9

R+28.7

D+8.6

5,251

1964

68.3%Johnson3,408

31.7%Goldwater1,583

0.0%

D+36.6

D+29.8

D+14.0

4,992

1960

53.2%Kennedy2,325

46.4%Nixon2,028

0.3%

D+6.8

D+34.2

D+6.6

4,368

1956

36.1%Stevenson1,516

63.5%Eisenhower2,668

0.4%

R+27.4

R+0.4

R+12.0

4,201

1952

36.5%Stevenson1,840

63.5%Eisenhower3,204

0.0%

R+27.0

R+37.9

R+16.3

5,044

1948

53.3%Truman1,875

42.4%Dewey1,492

4.3%

D+10.9

D+15.0

D+6.4

3,520

1944

43.3%Roosevelt1,469

47.4%Dewey1,607

9.2%

R+4.1

R+12.4

R+11.6

3,389

1940

54.2%Roosevelt1,749

45.8%Willkie1,480

0.0%

D+8.3

R+27.3

R+1.6

3,229

1936

67.6%Roosevelt2,050

32.0%Landon969

0.4%

D+35.7

R+30.2

D+11.4

3,031

1932

82.9%Roosevelt2,516

17.0%Hoover515

0.2%

D+65.9

D+60.0

D+48.1

3,036

1928

52.9%Smith1,400

46.9%Hoover1,243

0.2%

D+5.9

R+1.5

D+23.4

2,648

1924

43.3%Davis986

35.8%Coolidge816

20.9%La Follette477

D+7.5

D+22.4

D+32.6

2,279

1920

30.7%Cox519

45.7%Harding772

23.6%

R+15.0

R+22.5

D+11.2

1,689

1916

52.6%Wilson758

45.1%Hughes650

2.3%

D+7.5

R+29.3

D+4.4

1,441

1912

55.6%Wilson648

18.8%Taft219

25.6%

D+36.8

D+45.8

D+17.2

1,166

1908

44.5%Bryan578

53.5%Taft695

2.1%

R+9.0

R+23.7

D+0.6

1,300

1904

56.3%Parker589

41.6%Roosevelt435

2.1%

D+14.7

—

D+34.4

1,046

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

24.5%5,878

75.5%18,151

24,029

2020

28.2%6,131

71.8%15,636

21,767

2018

26.5%4,207

73.5%11,681

15,888

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

30.3%7,416

67.5%16,508

24,457

2020Class II

27.9%MJ Hegar6,207

70.2%John Cornyn15,594

22,210

2018Class I

28.6%Beto O'Rourke4,621

70.7%Ted Cruz11,444

16,179

2014Class II

20.7%David Alameel2,024

75.8%John Cornyn7,405

9,764

2012Class I

29.1%Paul Sadler4,608

68.1%Ted Cruz10,765

15,818

2008Class II

32.8%Richard J. Noriega5,095

65.1%John Cornyn10,120

15,543

2006Class I

25.9%Barbara A. Radnofsky2,509

71.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison6,955

9,683

2002Class II

32.9%Ron Kirk3,151

65.4%John Cornyn6,268

9,588

2000Class I

27.6%Gene Kelly3,620

70.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison9,204

13,110

1996Class II

37.3%Victor M. Morales3,869

61.4%Phil Gramm6,367

10,366

1994Class I

32.0%Richard Fisher2,635

67.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison5,559

8,247

1990Class II

33.7%Hugh Parmer2,317

63.3%Phil Gramm4,358

6,884

1988Class I

58.4%Lloyd Bentsen5,645

40.9%Beau Boulter3,956

9,673

1984Class II

39.5%Lloyd Doggett3,416

60.5%Phil Gramm5,223

8,639

1982Class I

54.9%Lloyd Bentsen3,188

44.6%James M. Collins2,592

5,811

1978Class II

41.5%Bob Krueger1,947

57.8%John G. Tower2,717

4,697

1976Class I

65.2%Lloyd Bentsen4,324

34.2%Alan Steelman2,270

6,632

1972Class II

35.8%Barefoot Sanders2,014

57.0%John G. Tower3,208

5,629

1970Class I

63.3%Lloyd Bentsen2,260

36.7%George H.W. Bush1,313

3,573

1966Class II

41.2%Waggoner Carr930

58.7%John G. Tower1,324

2,256

1964Class I

61.8%Ralph Yarborough3,094

38.1%George H.W. Bush1,909

5,006

1960Class II

59.3%Lyndon B. Johnson2,652

40.5%John G. Tower1,812

4,474

1958Class I

77.8%Ralph Yarborough1,631

21.7%Roy Whittenburg455

2,097

1954Class II

75.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,145

24.4%Carlos G. Watson371

1,521

1952Class I

63.8%Price Daniel3,114

36.2%None1,765

4,879

1948Class II

70.3%Lyndon B. Johnson2,509

28.9%Jack Porter1,032

3,571

1946Class I

71.1%Tom Connally1,424

28.9%Murray C. Sells578

2,002

1942Class II

92.6%Pappy O'Daniel1,601

7.0%Dudley Lawson121

1,729

1936Class II

76.7%Morris Sheppard2,338

23.2%Carlos G. Watson708

3,047

1934Class I

87.1%Tom Connally2,591

12.4%U.S. Goen370

2,975

1930Class II

64.2%Morris Sheppard1,280

35.5%D.J. Haesly708

1,994

1928Class I

72.7%Tom Connally1,825

27.1%T.M. Kennerly681

2,510

1924Class II

72.0%Morris Sheppard1,671

28.0%T.M. Kennerly651

2,322

1922Class I

34.8%Earle B. Mayfield707

65.2%George Peddy1,324

2,031

1918Class II

59.6%Morris Sheppard583

39.2%J. Webster Flanagan383

978

1916Class I

58.6%Charles Culberson841

38.8%Alex W. Atcheson556

1,434

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

24.8%Robert Krueger828

75.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,517

3,345

1961Special · Class II

42.0%William A. Blakley714

58.0%John G. Tower985

1,699

1957Special · Class I

31.3%Ralph Yarborough605

32.4%Thad Hutcheson626

1,933

1941Special · Class II

99.8%Pappy O'Daniel1,293

0.2%Polittle Evans2

1,295

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

26.4%O'Rourke4,591

72.6%Abbott12,601

17,360

2018

24.5%Valdez3,964

74.5%Abbott12,057

16,187

2014

25.4%Wendy Davis2,506

73.0%Greg Abbott7,194

9,853

2010

32.4%Bill White3,578

64.1%Rick Perry7,077

11,043

2006

—

19.4%Chris Bell1,908

39.6%Rick Perry3,895

9,847

2002

30.4%Tony Sanchez2,967

67.4%Rick Perry6,578

9,763

1998

22.5%Garry Mauro1,647

76.8%George W. Bush5,619

7,318

1994

36.9%Ann Richards3,073

62.3%George W. Bush5,189

8,327

1990

39.2%Ann Richards2,727

56.9%Clayton Williams3,953

6,952

1986

40.0%Mark White2,675

58.9%Bill Clements3,937

6,682

1982

49.9%Mark White2,909

49.8%Bill Clements2,905

5,835

1978

39.4%John Luke Hill1,872

60.0%Bill Clements2,852

4,752

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Medina County, TX
Year	Total registered
2018	31,508
2020	33,763
2022	35,611
2024	38,525

How did Medina County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Medina County, Texas voted Republican by 42.7 points (R+42.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,617 votes cast, 6,950 went Democratic and 17,464 went Republican.

When did Medina County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Medina County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Medina County, Texas?

Medina County, Texas has a population of 53,547 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Medina County, Texas?

Median household income in Medina County, Texas is $78,074 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Medina County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Medina County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.