akashic
1876–2024
Victoria County, Texas
Victoria County·Texas

Victoria County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

A Gulf Coast county where Republicans routinely clear 70% of the presidential vote

18762024·38 elections
Victoria County, Texas · Jim Evans · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+43
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
91,413
2024 ACS
Most similar
Carter County
MT · similarity 1.00
35 precincts · 35,305 votes cast
Trump · R+43
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−42.5%
9,99825,01035,305
2020R
−37.9%
10,38023,35834,226
2016R
−39.6%
8,86621,27531,324
2012R
−37.7%
8,80219,69228,853
2008R
−33.6%
9,83219,87829,931
2004R
−41.6%
8,55320,87529,602
2000R
−38.7%
8,17618,78727,408
1996R
−25.8%
8,23814,45724,119
1992R
−21.1%
7,60413,08626,037
1988R
−25.3%
8,92315,05624,253
1984R
−45.3%
7,03718,78725,945
1980R
−28.3%
7,38213,39221,269
1976R
−13.3%
7,3269,59417,028
1972R
−45.3%
4,22611,24615,498
1968R
−2.1%
6,0426,35214,730
1964D
+31.9%
8,1414,20112,367
1960D
+11.4%
5,7794,59110,397
1956R
−26.0%
3,2805,5968,904
1952R
−15.8%
3,1284,3067,438
1948D
+29.0%
2,4351,2624,042
1944D
+37.9%
2,3319363,684
1940D
+44.5%
2,4939563,451
1936D
+71.0%
2,0813522,435
1932D
+87.0%
2,7771902,972
1928D
+44.1%
1,7106632,373
1924D
+49.4%
1,6534592,418
1920R
−5.1%
6867821,879
1916D
+29.8%
8974761,414
1912D
+58.1%
6871001,010
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
4.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.4%
Baptist
12.2%
Other Christian
10.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Methodist
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Victoria County anchors the mid-Texas coastal bend with a mixed ranching and petrochemical economy. Its R+42.5 margin in 2024 reflects a long-running Republican dominance that has deepened over the past three election cycles.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Victoria County, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-three points.

The political shift has tracked, in Victoria County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,896, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carter County and Cheyenne County.