HarrisDemocratic23.2%9,881TrumpRepublican76.1%32,429OliverLibertarian0.4%190
R+52.9- Lead
- 22,548
- Total
- 42,616
- vs nation
- R+51.4
- Turnout
- 42.9%
Akashiccounty
Ector County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 42.9% of 99,228 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.5%11,367TrumpRepublican73.3%32,697JorgensenLibertarian1.0%428
R+47.8- Lead
- 21,330
- Total
- 44,591
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Turnout
- 48.5%
ClintonDemocratic28.1%10,249TrumpRepublican68.5%25,020JohnsonLibertarian2.8%1,009
R+40.4- Lead
- 14,771
- Total
- 36,530
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Turnout
- 38.5%
ObamaDemocratic25.0%8,118RomneyRepublican73.8%24,010GrayLibertarian1.0%311
R+48.9- Lead
- 15,892
- Total
- 32,513
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic25.6%9,123McCainRepublican73.6%26,199OtherAll other candidates0.8%284
R+48.0- Lead
- 17,076
- Total
- 35,606
- vs nation
- R+55.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic23.6%8,579BushRepublican75.7%27,502OtherAll other candidates0.6%229
R+52.1- Lead
- 18,923
- Total
- 36,310
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic28.6%9,425BushRepublican69.6%22,893NaderGreen1.1%378
R+40.9- Lead
- 13,468
- Total
- 32,901
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.8%12,017DoleRepublican54.3%17,746PerotReform7.7%2,511
R+17.5- Lead
- 5,729
- Total
- 32,686
- vs nation
- R+26.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 164,6542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,5362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.7 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lea County, NM · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 42.9%42,615 participants ÷ 99,228 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 20.4%–28.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 36,530 | 94,897 | 38.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 30,983 | 98,703 | 31.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 48,370 | 99,647 | 48.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 25,623 | 98,728 | 26.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 42,615 | 99,228 | 42.9% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
41 precincts · 42,748 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 497 | 2,208 | 32 | 2,737 | 18.2% | 80.7% | R+62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 545 | 2,140 | 20 | 2,705 | 20.1% | 79.1% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 493 | 2,018 | 20 | 2,531 | 19.5% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 208Precinct 208 | 517 | 1,889 | 24 | 2,430 | 21.3% | 77.7% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 390 | 1,656 | 13 | 2,059 | 18.9% | 80.4% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 343 | 1,390 | 18 | 1,751 | 19.6% | 79.4% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 323 | 1,274 | 4 | 1,601 | 20.2% | 79.6% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 207Precinct 207 | 118 | 1,282 | 10 | 1,410 | 8.4% | 90.9% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 187 | 1,186 | 5 | 1,378 | 13.6% | 86.1% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 407Precinct 407 | 251 | 1,079 | 3 | 1,333 | 18.8% | 80.9% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 111Precinct 111 | 295 | 988 | 11 | 1,294 | 22.8% | 76.4% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 407 | 856 | 9 | 1,272 | 32.0% | 67.3% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 236 | 980 | 10 | 1,226 | 19.2% | 79.9% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 253 | 942 | 20 | 1,215 | 20.8% | 77.5% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 255 | 931 | 6 | 1,192 | 21.4% | 78.1% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 378 | 742 | 15 | 1,135 | 33.3% | 65.4% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 307Precinct 307 | 313 | 745 | 13 | 1,071 | 29.2% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 403Precinct 403 | 505 | 473 | 10 | 988 | 51.1% | 47.9% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 209Precinct 209 | 202 | 739 | 7 | 948 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 261 | 645 | 15 | 921 | 28.3% | 70.0% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 202 | 638 | 7 | 847 | 23.8% | 75.3% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 158 | 660 | 8 | 826 | 19.1% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 137 | 677 | 7 | 821 | 16.7% | 82.5% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 373 | 421 | 11 | 805 | 46.3% | 52.3% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 312Precinct 312 | 202 | 585 | 9 | 796 | 25.4% | 73.5% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 196 | 584 | 6 | 786 | 24.9% | 74.3% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 409Precinct 409 | 176 | 516 | 6 | 698 | 25.2% | 73.9% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 310Precinct 310 | 172 | 501 | 6 | 679 | 25.3% | 73.8% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 309Precinct 309 | 149 | 497 | 9 | 655 | 22.7% | 75.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 311Precinct 311 | 175 | 430 | 4 | 609 | 28.7% | 70.6% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 170 | 377 | 7 | 554 | 30.7% | 68.1% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 313Precinct 313 | 73 | 464 | 5 | 542 | 13.5% | 85.6% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 308Precinct 308 | 121 | 410 | 3 | 534 | 22.7% | 76.8% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 306Precinct 306 | 171 | 320 | 7 | 498 | 34.3% | 64.3% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 158 | 203 | 1 | 362 | 43.6% | 56.1% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 113 | 237 | 6 | 356 | 31.7% | 66.6% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 408Precinct 408 | 114 | 172 | 3 | 289 | 39.4% | 59.5% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 412Precinct 412 | 104 | 168 | 0 | 272 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 83 | 178 | 5 | 266 | 31.2% | 66.9% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 304Precinct 304 | 65 | 148 | 3 | 216 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 19 | 118 | 3 | 140 | 13.6% | 84.3% | R+70.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +88.8% |
| 1908 | +89.7% |
| 1912 | +89.6% |
| 1916 | +96.7% |
| 1920 | +61.6% |
| 1924 | +81.3% |
| 1928 | −5.3% |
| 1932 | +82.9% |
| 1936 | +80.9% |
| 1940 | +72.0% |
| 1944 | +59.3% |
| 1948 | +55.5% |
| 1952 | −22.1% |
| 1956 | −26.2% |
| 1960 | −10.4% |
| 1964 | −3.0% |
| 1968 | −21.4% |
| 1972 | −59.1% |
| 1976 | −26.9% |
| 1980 | −47.3% |
| 1984 | −55.3% |
| 1988 | −36.1% |
| 1992 | −19.5% |
| 1996 | −17.5% |
| 2000 | −40.9% |
| 2004 | −52.1% |
| 2008 | −48.0% |
| 2012 | −48.9% |
| 2016 | −40.4% |
| 2020 | −47.8% |
| 2024 | −52.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 71,630 |
| 2018 | 76,573 |
| 2020 | 80,872 |
| 2022 | 83,323 |
| 2024 | 86,640 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+488 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +6,499 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,217 in average income, against $78,011 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.6 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Ector County, TX itself (R+52.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Midland County, TX970R+60.5
- El Paso County, TX220D+15.1
- Miami-Dade County, FL152R+11.4
- Harris County, TX119D+5.5
- Lubbock County, TX97R+39.5
- Tarrant County, TX82R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Midland County, TX1,168
- El Paso County, TX138
- Bexar County, TX114
- Tarrant County, TX106
- Dallas County, TX103
- Harris County, TX92
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,388 |
| 2012 | +3,139 |
| 2013 | +3,233 |
| 2014 | +2,644 |
| 2015 | +2,886 |
| 2016 | −4,258 |
| 2017 | −2,786 |
| 2018 | +3,106 |
| 2019 | +2,324 |
| 2021 | −5,590 |
| 2022 | −2,056 |
| 2023 | +883 |
| 2024 | +1,098 |
| 2025 | +488 |
Home to Odessa, Ector County's economy runs on petroleum extraction, and that industrial identity has reinforced an R+50-plus presidential margin for well over a decade, making it one of West Texas's most reliably one-sided counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.7 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 59.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.9 points.
A population of 164,654, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,536 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lea County and Deaf Smith County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lea County
New Mexico
94.5twin score
% Latino% White2004–2008 trajectory≠ elasticity
Deaf Smith County
Texas
94.1twin score
% Latino% White2004–2008 trajectory≠ population scale
Victoria County
Texas
94.1twin score
2000–2004 trajectory% White12-yr trend≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ector County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Ector County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Ector County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ector County, Texas voted Republican by 52.9 points (R+52.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,616 votes cast, 9,881 went Democratic and 32,429 went Republican.
When did Ector County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ector County, Texas voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Ector County, Texas?
Ector County, Texas has a population of 164,654 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ector County, Texas?
Median household income in Ector County, Texas is $71,536 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Ector County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ector County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.