Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Victoria, TX
presidential margin
2008R+32.82012R+37.32016R+40.12020R+39.72024R+44.3
full record · 1912 → 2024
R+44.3
2024
median income$70,060U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age37.3U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate16.0%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)20.0%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english23.0%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican41.9%
Spaniard1.0%
Puerto Rican0.5%
German15.0%
English7.8%
Irish6.2%
African American†4.8%
African0.3%
Nigerian0.3%
Vietnamese0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.1%
Black Protestant1.3%
Other Christian0.9%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Victoria, TX, Texas

Akashic
Victoria, TXTrumpR+44.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Victoria, TX, TXA map of the constituent counties of Victoria, TX, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Goliad County, TX · R+60.2Victoria County, TX · R+42.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican71.7%28,188
Kamala HarrisDemocratic27.4%10,776
Jill SteinGreen0.9%338
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Victoria, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Goliad County, TXRepublicanR+60.2
Victoria County, TXRepublicanR+42.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
27.4%Harris10,776
71.7%Trump28,188
0.9%Stein338
−44.3%
39,302
R
29.5%Biden11,257
69.2%Trump26,443
1.4%Jorgensen521
−39.7%
38,221
R
28.1%Clinton9,839
68.2%Trump23,895
3.7%Johnson1,298
−40.1%
35,032
R
30.7%Obama9,929
68.0%Romney21,986
1.2%Johnson396
−37.3%
32,311
R
33.2%Obama11,161
66.0%McCain22,176
0.7%Barr249
−32.8%
33,586
R
29.5%Kerry9,772
69.9%Bush23,142
0.6%Badnarik189
−40.4%
33,103
R
30.5%Gore9,409
67.8%Bush20,895
1.6%Nader496
−37.3%
30,800
R
35.0%Clinton9,373
59.0%Dole15,792
5.9%Perot1,589
−24.0%
26,754
R
30.0%Clinton8,673
49.6%Bush14,322
20.3%Perot5,873
−19.6%
28,868
R
38.0%Dukakis10,281
60.9%Bush16,483
1.0%Paul281
−22.9%
27,045
R
27.8%Mondale7,873
71.8%Reagan20,327
0.4%Larouche122
−44.0%
28,322
R
35.9%Carter8,463
61.8%Reagan14,562
2.3%Anderson531
−25.9%
23,556
R
43.7%Carter8,201
55.7%Ford10,440
0.6%McCarthy118
−11.9%
18,759
R
27.6%McGovern4,690
72.2%Nixon12,264
0.2%Schmitz28
−44.6%
16,982
R
41.3%Humphrey6,732
43.4%Nixon7,059
15.3%Wallace2,492
−2.0%
16,283
D
65.7%Johnson9,131
34.2%Goldwater4,750
0.2%Hass27
+31.5%
13,908
D
54.8%Kennedy6,490
45.0%Nixon5,332
0.3%Byrd30
+9.8%
11,852
R
35.6%Stevenson3,618
64.0%Eisenhower6,498
0.3%Andrews35
−28.4%
10,151
R
40.0%Stevenson3,580
60.0%Eisenhower5,371
0.1%Hallinan5
−20.0%
8,956
D
56.9%Truman2,889
33.7%Dewey1,712
9.4%Thurmond476
+23.2%
5,077
D
59.1%Roosevelt2,972
30.7%Dewey1,545
10.2%Thomas515
+28.4%
5,032
D
68.5%Roosevelt3,361
31.3%Willkie1,536
0.1%Thomas7
+37.2%
4,904
D
82.7%Roosevelt3,265
17.1%Landon675
0.2%Lemke6
+65.6%
3,946
D
92.1%Roosevelt4,319
7.7%Hoover360
0.2%Thomas11
+84.4%
4,690
D
64.1%Smith2,178
35.8%Hoover1,217
0.1%Thomas2
+28.3%
3,397
D
63.6%Davis2,386
23.9%Coolidge897
12.5%La Follette468
+39.7%
3,751
R
37.3%Cox1,134
42.6%Harding1,295
20.2%Debs613
−5.3%
3,042
D
57.1%Wilson1,502
38.9%Hughes1,024
4.0%Benson105
+18.2%
2,631
D
56.9%Wilson1,187
25.2%Taft525
17.9%Roosevelt374
+31.7%
2,086
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −44.3% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−44.3%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+31.7%
1916+18.2%
1920−5.3%
1924+39.7%
1928+28.3%
1932+84.4%
1936+65.6%
1940+37.2%
1944+28.4%
1948+23.2%
1952−20.0%
1956−28.4%
1960+9.8%
1964+31.5%
1968−2.0%
1972−44.6%
1976−11.9%
1980−25.9%
1984−44.0%
1988−22.9%
1992−19.6%
1996−24.0%
2000−37.3%
2004−40.4%
2008−32.8%
2012−37.3%
2016−40.1%
2020−39.7%
2024−44.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Victoria, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 63,920 in 2024.16K32K47.9K63.9K63.9K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Victoria, TX
YearTotal registered
201660,077
201860,733
202062,378
202262,182
202463,920
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Victoria's metro, anchored by its industrial port economy and a majority-Hispanic population that trends more conservative than national averages suggest, delivered a 44-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest of any Texas metro.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.

A population of 98,554, a 44% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,060 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hobbs, NM and Odessa, TX.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hobbs, NM
93.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Latino
Odessa, TX
93.7twin score
2000–2012 trajectory% Latino≠ median age
Hereford, TX
93.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Latino

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Victoria, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Victoria, TX

counties2
Goliad CountyVictoria County

Frequently asked questions

How did Victoria, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Victoria, TX, Texas voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 39,302 votes cast, 10,776 went Democratic and 28,188 went Republican.
When did Victoria, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Victoria, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Victoria, TX, Texas?
Victoria, TX, Texas has a population of 98,554 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Victoria, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Victoria, TX, Texas is $70,060 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Victoria, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Victoria, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.