akashic
1876–2024
Goliad County, Texas
Goliad County·Texas

Goliad County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

A ranching county where presidential margins have exceeded 50 points for a decade

18762024·38 elections
Goliad County, Texas · Larry D. Moore · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+60
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
7,141
2024 ACS
Most similar
Matagorda County
TX · similarity 0.99
9 precincts · 3,987 votes cast
Trump · R+60
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−60.2%
7783,1783,987
2020R
−55.3%
8773,0853,995
2016R
−44.4%
9732,6203,708
2012R
−33.7%
1,1272,2943,458
2008R
−26.5%
1,3292,2983,655
2004R
−29.9%
1,2192,2673,501
2000R
−25.8%
1,2332,1083,392
1996R
−7.6%
1,1351,3352,635
1992R
−5.9%
1,0691,2362,831
1988R
−2.5%
1,3581,4272,792
1984R
−29.6%
8361,5402,377
1980R
−3.9%
1,0811,1702,287
1976D
+1.7%
8758461,731
1972R
−37.3%
4641,0181,484
1968R
−1.1%
6907071,553
1964D
+28.6%
9905491,541
1960R
−2.1%
7117411,455
1956R
−45.2%
3389021,247
1952R
−40.4%
4521,0651,518
1948D
+0.4%
4544501,035
1944D
+2.4%
6416091,348
1940D
+19.8%
8685801,453
1936D
+57.0%
1,1843231,511
1932D
+79.9%
1,5421701,718
1928R
−8.4%
4685541,024
1924D
+22.1%
7334381,333
1920R
−5.6%
4485131,163
1916D
+4.7%
6055481,217
1912D
+7.0%
5004251,076
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
4.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.5%
Baptist
12.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.4%
Methodist
2.2%
Other Christian
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Goliad County, one of Texas's oldest, sits along the San Antonio River in the Coastal Bend and has shifted from a historically Democratic ranching community to one of the state's most lopsided Republican presidential performers over the past 20 years.

The Democratic margin in Goliad County peaked at eighty points in 1932. By 1980 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Goliad County's median household income of $59,359 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Matagorda County and Calhoun County.