Victoria, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −37.5% |
| 2008 | −26.3% |
| 2012 | −29.2% |
| 2016 | −29.2% |
| 2020 | −24.6% |
| 2024 | −30.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34.3%Harris7,698 | 64.7%Trump14,530 | 0.9% | R+30.4 | R+5.9 | R+29.0 | 22,441 | |
| R | 37.1%Biden8,115 | 61.7%Trump13,485 | 1.1% | R+24.6 | D+4.6 | R+29.0 | 21,849 | |
| R | 33.2%Clinton6,819 | 62.4%Trump12,806 | 4.4% | R+29.2 | ±0.0 | R+31.3 | 20,520 | |
| R | 34.8%Obama6,605 | 64.0%Romney12,153 | 1.2% | R+29.2 | R+2.9 | R+33.1 | 18,994 | |
| R | 36.5%Obama7,483 | 62.8%McCain12,889 | 0.7% | R+26.3 | D+11.1 | R+33.6 | 20,520 | |
| R | 31.0%Kerry6,394 | 68.5%Bush14,116 | 0.4% | R+37.5 | — | R+35.0 | 20,596 |
Victoria anchors a largely Hispanic yet reliably Republican South Texas corridor, where energy-sector jobs and a sizable Catholic population have historically pushed margins well into double digits for statewide GOP candidates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 37.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.
A population of 65,625, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,226 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Apple Valley and Yuma.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Victoria, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4875428/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.