Yuma, Arizona
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −22.4% |
| 2008 | −20.4% |
| 2012 | −15.9% |
| 2016 | −9.0% |
| 2020 | −7.8% |
| 2024 | −19.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39.8%Harris12,842 | 59.1%Trump19,077 | 1.1% | R+19.3 | R+11.6 | R+17.9 | 32,260 | |
| R | 45.1%Biden15,504 | 52.9%Trump18,166 | 2.0% | R+7.8 | D+1.2 | R+12.2 | 34,342 | |
| R | 41.9%Clinton10,937 | 50.9%Trump13,280 | 7.1% | R+9.0 | D+6.9 | R+11.1 | 26,076 | |
| R | 41.2%Obama9,406 | 57.2%Romney13,039 | 1.6% | R+15.9 | D+4.5 | R+19.8 | 22,804 | |
| R | 39.0%Obama9,134 | 59.4%McCain13,921 | 1.7% | R+20.4 | D+2.0 | R+27.7 | 23,447 | |
| R | 38.2%Kerry7,893 | 60.5%Bush12,520 | 1.3% | R+22.4 | — | R+19.9 | 20,679 |
Yuma anchors Arizona's southwestern corner at the confluence of the Colorado and Gila rivers, producing one of the nation's most heavily irrigated farming districts. Its majority-Hispanic electorate has trended competitive in recent cycles, with presidential margins routinely under ten points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.3 points.
A population of 100,139, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,482 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hanford and Pasco.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Yuma, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0485540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.