Arizona 25th State House District, Arizona: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,223,9512024 5-year
- Median household income
- $86,7372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 252,584 | 277,724 | 537,938 | ||
| D | 270,332 | 261,822 | 542,508 | ||
| R | 184,172 | 195,262 | 409,747 | ||
| R | 156,113 | 194,857 | 358,319 | ||
| R | 156,364 | 194,711 | 355,306 | ||
| R | 131,359 | 177,131 | 311,248 | ||
| R | 100,487 | 125,146 | 234,627 | ||
| R | 95,105 | 100,862 | 213,651 | ||
| R | 75,004 | 93,805 | 228,259 | ||
| R | 60,999 | 114,648 | 177,797 | ||
| R | 41,151 | 107,605 | 150,196 | ||
| R | 32,398 | 84,174 | 129,859 | ||
| R | 39,537 | 67,828 | 111,547 | ||
| R | 25,726 | 64,667 | 94,033 | ||
| R | 24,130 | 43,175 | 74,777 | ||
| R | 33,987 | 38,361 | 72,391 | ||
| R | 24,772 | 33,915 | 58,728 | ||
| R | 16,330 | 25,322 | 41,702 | ||
| R | 14,680 | 21,394 | 36,074 | ||
| D | 12,330 | 10,171 | 23,051 | ||
| D | 9,751 | 7,051 | 16,858 | ||
| D | 10,817 | 6,529 | 17,459 | ||
| D | 9,686 | 3,861 | 14,119 | ||
| D | 8,874 | 4,308 | 13,441 | ||
| R | 3,835 | 6,175 | 10,018 | ||
| R | 2,702 | 3,290 | 7,478 | ||
| R | 2,799 | 3,648 | 6,447 | ||
| D | 2,592 | 1,801 | 4,804 | ||
| O | 869 | 206 | 1,972 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+33.9, this district sits well outside Arizona's competitive corridor, anchoring a reliably one-sided bloc in the state legislature.
The Democratic margin in Arizona 25th State House District has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $86,737 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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State House District 25, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.