akashic
1876–2024
State House District 23·Arizona

Arizona 23rd State House District delivered D+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Arizona's most Democratic-leaning state house seats

18762024·38 elections
AZ
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
2,121,909
2024 ACS

Arizona 23rd State House District, Arizona: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+37 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
2,121,9092024 5-year
Median household income
$82,0102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.9%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
34.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1984MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.9%
486,936468,413969,529
D
+7.2%
514,412444,442977,156
D
+2.8%
360,222339,260754,356
R
−4.5%
313,096342,994669,420
R
−4.6%
316,428347,132671,616
R
−6.7%
277,462317,764600,538
R
−3.1%
212,176226,353458,903
D
+3.6%
199,559184,442419,110
R
−0.5%
169,664171,733447,182
R
−18.4%
143,796209,737357,805
R
−31.3%
106,432205,011314,530
R
−29.1%
78,722157,319270,340
R
−16.3%
91,203128,510228,794
R
−26.7%
65,638122,166212,026
R
−19.2%
53,21281,846149,053
R
−0.5%
73,76374,565148,508
R
−11.2%
55,26769,292124,756
R
−23.8%
33,44454,30887,845
R
−19.7%
30,28745,14675,433
D
+5.4%
25,15522,51048,902
D
+12.5%
19,30515,00634,414
D
+22.1%
21,18313,49434,861
D
+37.5%
18,7978,32427,938
D
+31.0%
17,0408,84526,475
R
−19.8%
7,47111,16418,671
R
−8.9%
4,7505,97013,747
R
−13.9%
4,7256,25110,976
D
+5.9%
4,2033,7038,506
O
+28.7%
1,4074553,314
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
9.9%
Irish
8.7%
Italian
4.2%
American
3.9%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.9%
speak English only
Spanish21.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.9%
Other Christian
13.4%
Non-Christian
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Baptist
1.7%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+18.6, this Maricopa-area district sits well outside Arizona's statewide competitive range, reflecting a concentration of urban or inner-suburban voters whose preferences diverge sharply from the state's broader swing character.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-seven points in 1936; the Republican margin reached thirty-one points in 1984. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 2,121,909, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $82,010 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 23, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 23, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 23, Arizona voted Democratic by 1.9 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 969,529 votes cast, 486,936 went Democratic and 468,413 went Republican.
What is State House District 23, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 23, Arizona as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 18 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 23, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 23, Arizona voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 23, Arizona?
State House District 23, Arizona has a population of 2,121,909 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 23, Arizona?
Median household income in State House District 23, Arizona is $82,010 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of State House District 23, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 23, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.