- Lead
- 15,630
- Total
- 74,586
- vs nation
- D+22.4
Arizona 22nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 26,192
- Total
- 75,483
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Lead
- 18,674
- Total
- 55,282
- vs nation
- D+31.7
- Lead
- 13,618
- Total
- 47,413
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Lead
- 13,662
- Total
- 47,335
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Lead
- 10,206
- Total
- 40,608
- vs nation
- D+27.6
- Lead
- 8,679
- Total
- 31,040
- vs nation
- D+27.4
- Lead
- 9,612
- Total
- 29,264
- vs nation
- D+24.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+21.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 238,3202024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,157 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 111 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,6452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 63.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+7.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 24, AZ · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arizona 22nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
87.8%
1,693 votes · D+78.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 87.6%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
53.3%
9,076 votes · R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 50.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
50,234votes
66.6% of the vote · D+34.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 44,412 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,782votes
38.6% of the vote · D+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,042 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+84.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.1 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +75.1 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
−3.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+6.2 · U.S. R+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · −9.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+21.1 across a population of roughly 238,000, this district anchors a reliably blue corridor in Arizona's legislative map, making it among the least competitive seats in the chamber.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 7.7 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.0 points.
A population of 238,320, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,645 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 24 and State House District 21.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arizona 22nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04022/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.