Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Victoria
presidential margin
2008R+33.62012R+37.72016R+39.62020R+37.92024R+42.5
full record · 19122024
R+42.5
2024
median income$70,896U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age36.7U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate16.2%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)19.9%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english23.7%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican42.8%
Spaniard1.1%
Puerto Rican0.5%
German14.7%
English7.9%
Irish6.2%
African American4.8%
African0.3%
Nigerian0.3%
Vietnamese0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline3.9%
Black Protestant1.4%
Other Christian1.0%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Victoria, Texas

Akashic
VictoriaTrumpR+42.5
2024 presidential margin by county for Victoria, TXA map of the single county of Victoria, TX, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Victoria County, TX · R+42.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican70.8%25,010
Kamala HarrisDemocratic28.3%9,998
Jill SteinGreen0.9%307
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Victoria, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Victoria County, TXRepublicanR+42.5
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
28.3%Harris9,998
70.8%Trump25,010
0.9%Stein307
−42.5%
35,315
R
30.3%Biden10,380
68.2%Trump23,358
1.4%Jorgensen488
−37.9%
34,226
R
28.3%Clinton8,866
67.9%Trump21,275
3.8%Johnson1,183
−39.6%
31,324
R
30.5%Obama8,802
68.2%Romney19,692
1.2%Johnson359
−37.7%
28,853
R
32.8%Obama9,832
66.4%McCain19,878
0.7%Barr221
−33.6%
29,931
R
28.9%Kerry8,553
70.5%Bush20,875
0.6%Badnarik174
−41.6%
29,602
R
29.8%Gore8,176
68.5%Bush18,787
1.6%Nader445
−38.7%
27,408
R
34.2%Clinton8,238
59.9%Dole14,457
5.9%Perot1,424
−25.8%
24,119
R
29.2%Clinton7,604
50.3%Bush13,086
20.5%Perot5,347
−21.1%
26,037
R
36.8%Dukakis8,923
62.1%Bush15,056
1.1%Paul274
−25.3%
24,253
R
27.1%Mondale7,037
72.4%Reagan18,787
0.5%Larouche121
−45.3%
25,945
R
34.7%Carter7,382
63.0%Reagan13,392
2.3%Anderson495
−28.3%
21,269
R
43.0%Carter7,326
56.3%Ford9,594
0.6%McCarthy108
−13.3%
17,028
R
27.3%McGovern4,226
72.6%Nixon11,246
0.2%Schmitz26
−45.3%
15,498
R
41.0%Humphrey6,042
43.1%Nixon6,352
15.9%Wallace2,336
−2.1%
14,730
D
65.8%Johnson8,141
34.0%Goldwater4,201
0.2%Hass25
+31.9%
12,367
D
55.6%Kennedy5,779
44.2%Nixon4,591
0.3%Byrd27
+11.4%
10,397
R
36.8%Stevenson3,280
62.8%Eisenhower5,596
0.3%Andrews28
−26.0%
8,904
R
42.1%Stevenson3,128
57.9%Eisenhower4,306
0.1%Hallinan4
−15.8%
7,438
D
60.2%Truman2,435
31.2%Dewey1,262
8.5%Thurmond345
+29.0%
4,042
D
63.3%Roosevelt2,331
25.4%Dewey936
11.3%Thomas417
+37.9%
3,684
D
72.2%Roosevelt2,493
27.7%Willkie956
0.1%Thomas2
+44.5%
3,451
D
85.5%Roosevelt2,081
14.5%Landon352
0.1%Lemke2
+71.0%
2,435
D
93.4%Roosevelt2,777
6.4%Hoover190
0.2%Thomas5
+87.0%
2,972
D
72.1%Smith1,710
27.9%Hoover663
0.0%
+44.1%
2,373
D
68.4%Davis1,653
19.0%Coolidge459
12.7%La Follette306
+49.4%
2,418
R
36.5%Cox686
41.6%Harding782
21.9%Debs411
−5.1%
1,879
D
63.4%Wilson897
33.7%Hughes476
2.9%Benson41
+29.8%
1,414
D
68.0%Wilson687
9.9%Taft100
22.1%Roosevelt223
+58.1%
1,010
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −42.5% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−42.5%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+58.1%
1916+29.8%
1920−5.1%
1924+49.4%
1928+44.1%
1932+87.0%
1936+71.0%
1940+44.5%
1944+37.9%
1948+29.0%
1952−15.8%
1956−26.0%
1960+11.4%
1964+31.9%
1968−2.1%
1972−45.3%
1976−13.3%
1980−28.3%
1984−45.3%
1988−25.3%
1992−21.1%
1996−25.8%
2000−38.7%
2004−41.6%
2008−33.6%
2012−37.7%
2016−39.6%
2020−37.9%
2024−42.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in VictoriaTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 58,087 in 2024.14.5K29K43.6K58.1K58.1K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Victoria
YearTotal registered
201654,546
201855,470
202056,612
202256,411
202458,087
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Victoria media market is a single South Texas county, 48.1% Hispanic or Latino in the 2024 ACS 5-year. It voted Democratic as late as 1960 (D+11.4) and reached R+42.5 in 2024. Mexican is the largest reported ancestry (42.8%).

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.5 points.

A population of 91,413, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,896 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Odessa-Midland and San Angelo.

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Victoria, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/626/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Victoria

Frequently asked questions

How did Victoria, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Victoria, Texas voted Republican by 42.5 points (R+42.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,315 votes cast, 9,998 went Democratic and 25,010 went Republican.
When did Victoria, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Victoria, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Victoria, Texas?
Victoria, Texas has a population of 91,413 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Victoria, Texas?
Median household income in Victoria, Texas is $70,896 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Victoria, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Victoria, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.