HarrisDemocratic19.0%5,952TrumpRepublican80.6%25,241OliverLibertarian0.3%88
R+61.6- Lead
- 19,289
- Total
- 31,323
- vs nation
- R+60.1
- Turnout
- 51.8%
Akashiccounty
Liberty County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.8% of 60,696 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.7%5,785TrumpRepublican79.4%23,302JorgensenLibertarian0.7%218
R+59.7- Lead
- 17,517
- Total
- 29,334
- vs nation
- R+64.2
- Turnout
- 50.6%
ClintonDemocratic20.0%4,862TrumpRepublican77.9%18,892JohnsonLibertarian1.5%364
R+57.8- Lead
- 14,030
- Total
- 24,267
- vs nation
- R+59.9
- Turnout
- 44.5%
ObamaDemocratic22.9%5,202RomneyRepublican76.2%17,323GrayLibertarian0.7%170
R+53.3- Lead
- 12,121
- Total
- 22,746
- vs nation
- R+57.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.7%5,991McCainRepublican71.4%15,448OtherAll other candidates0.9%187
R+43.7- Lead
- 9,457
- Total
- 21,626
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.3%6,780BushRepublican68.3%14,821OtherAll other candidates0.4%90
R+37.1- Lead
- 8,041
- Total
- 21,691
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.4%7,311BushRepublican62.1%12,458NaderGreen1.0%199
R+25.6- Lead
- 5,147
- Total
- 20,077
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.0%6,877DoleRepublican46.4%7,784PerotReform12.0%2,011
R+5.4- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 16,773
- vs nation
- R+13.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 103,3802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,7032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Howard County, TX · twin score 91.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.8%31,449 participants ÷ 60,696 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.7%–39.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 24,267 | 54,479 | 44.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,576 | 56,496 | 36.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 29,334 | 57,929 | 50.6% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,934 | 59,509 | 33.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,449 | 60,696 | 51.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 31,323 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 352 | 2,554 | 10 | 2,916 | 12.1% | 87.6% | R+75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 487 | 2,005 | 9 | 2,501 | 19.5% | 80.2% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 514 | 1,936 | 17 | 2,467 | 20.8% | 78.5% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 205 | 2,057 | 13 | 2,275 | 9.0% | 90.4% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 189 | 1,968 | 8 | 2,165 | 8.7% | 90.9% | R+82.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 192 | 1,787 | 9 | 1,988 | 9.7% | 89.9% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 449 | 1,478 | 10 | 1,937 | 23.2% | 76.3% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 244 | 1,662 | 6 | 1,912 | 12.8% | 86.9% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 600 | 1,071 | 10 | 1,681 | 35.7% | 63.7% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 222 | 1,123 | 5 | 1,350 | 16.4% | 83.2% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 593 | 741 | 6 | 1,340 | 44.3% | 55.3% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 323 | 1,013 | 2 | 1,338 | 24.1% | 75.7% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 326 | 772 | 3 | 1,101 | 29.6% | 70.1% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 234 | 773 | 7 | 1,014 | 23.1% | 76.2% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 88 | 814 | 2 | 904 | 9.7% | 90.0% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 67 | 771 | 5 | 843 | 7.9% | 91.5% | R+83.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 127 | 617 | 1 | 745 | 17.0% | 82.8% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 412 | 286 | 1 | 699 | 58.9% | 40.9% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 53 | 595 | 3 | 651 | 8.1% | 91.4% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 45 | 551 | 2 | 598 | 7.5% | 92.1% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 185 | 342 | 0 | 527 | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 45 | 325 | 1 | 371 | 12.1% | 87.6% | R+75.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +35.8% |
| 1908 | +36.3% |
| 1912 | +59.0% |
| 1916 | +45.8% |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | +39.6% |
| 1928 | −7.6% |
| 1932 | +81.5% |
| 1936 | +83.7% |
| 1940 | +74.7% |
| 1944 | +64.4% |
| 1948 | +37.4% |
| 1952 | −6.1% |
| 1956 | −27.8% |
| 1960 | +7.4% |
| 1964 | +30.0% |
| 1968 | +7.5% |
| 1972 | −29.7% |
| 1976 | +21.7% |
| 1980 | +2.5% |
| 1984 | −25.0% |
| 1988 | −1.1% |
| 1992 | +0.4% |
| 1996 | −5.4% |
| 2000 | −25.6% |
| 2004 | −37.1% |
| 2008 | −43.7% |
| 2012 | −53.3% |
| 2016 | −57.8% |
| 2020 | −59.7% |
| 2024 | −61.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 43,493 |
| 2018 | 43,617 |
| 2020 | 46,155 |
| 2022 | 49,826 |
| 2024 | 54,530 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+4,243 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +33,750 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,762 in average income, against $67,422 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.9 on average — 52 points more Democratic-leaning than Liberty County, TX itself (R+61.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harris County, TX2,419D+5.5
- Montgomery County, TX546R+45.5
- Chambers County, TX158R+65.6
- San Jacinto County, TX76R+65.3
- Fort Bend County, TX68D+1.6
- Galveston County, TX59R+27.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Harris County, TX982
- Montgomery County, TX404
- Chambers County, TX128
- Polk County, TX99
- San Jacinto County, TX98
- Hardin County, TX60
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −218 |
| 2012 | −49 |
| 2013 | +137 |
| 2014 | +782 |
| 2015 | +1,137 |
| 2016 | +1,452 |
| 2017 | +1,989 |
| 2018 | +1,915 |
| 2019 | +2,050 |
| 2021 | +4,843 |
| 2022 | +4,414 |
| 2023 | +5,560 |
| 2024 | +5,495 |
| 2025 | +4,243 |
Liberty County, anchored by its small county-seat town along the Trinity River, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 60 points, reflecting the heavily Republican realignment that has reshaped rural and exurban southeast Texas over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.
A population of 103,380, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,703 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Howard County and Navarro County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Howard County
Texas
91.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Latino
Navarro County
Texas
90.2twin score
% Latino% White2008–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Ector County
Texas
88.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectorymedian age≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Liberty County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48291/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Liberty County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Liberty County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Liberty County, Texas voted Republican by 61.6 points (R+61.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,323 votes cast, 5,952 went Democratic and 25,241 went Republican.
When did Liberty County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Liberty County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Liberty County, Texas?
Liberty County, Texas has a population of 103,380 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Liberty County, Texas?
Median household income in Liberty County, Texas is $68,703 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Liberty County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Liberty County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.