- Lead
- 5,160
- Total
- 9,075
- vs nation
- R+55.4
- Turnout
- 57.3%
Limestone County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.3% of 15,831 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,576
- Total
- 9,110
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Lead
- 4,018
- Total
- 7,739
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 47.9%
- Lead
- 3,080
- Total
- 7,563
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,563
- Total
- 7,652
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,276
- Total
- 7,818
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,444
- Total
- 7,075
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 545
- Total
- 6,646
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,2832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,5732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Knox County, TX · twin score 88.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.3%9,075 participants ÷ 15,831 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.2%–48.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,828 | 16,333 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,075 | 16,514 | 42.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,095 | 16,448 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,869 | 15,904 | 43.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,075 | 15,831 | 57.3% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 9,093 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 271 | 879 | 6 | 1,156 | 23.4% | 76.0% | R+52.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 182 | 719 | 13 | 914 | 19.9% | 78.7% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 287 | 462 | 9 | 758 | 37.9% | 60.9% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 64 | 544 | 6 | 614 | 10.4% | 88.6% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 61 | 471 | 6 | 538 | 11.3% | 87.5% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 304Precinct 304 | 72 | 434 | 5 | 511 | 14.1% | 84.9% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 42 | 454 | 4 | 500 | 8.4% | 90.8% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 96 | 314 | 6 | 416 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 242 | 158 | 7 | 407 | 59.5% | 38.8% | D+20.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 59 | 317 | 4 | 380 | 15.5% | 83.4% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 44 | 320 | 2 | 366 | 12.0% | 87.4% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 34 | 306 | 4 | 344 | 9.9% | 89.0% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 117 | 222 | 2 | 341 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 39 | 274 | 2 | 315 | 12.4% | 87.0% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 94 | 215 | 5 | 314 | 29.9% | 68.5% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 74 | 204 | 5 | 283 | 26.1% | 72.1% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 38 | 241 | 0 | 279 | 13.6% | 86.4% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 403Precinct 403 | 36 | 218 | 1 | 255 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 23 | 138 | 3 | 164 | 14.0% | 84.1% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 12 | 136 | 1 | 149 | 8.1% | 91.3% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 34 | 55 | 0 | 89 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.6 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +72.4% |
| 1908 | +72.7% |
| 1912 | +71.2% |
| 1916 | +77.7% |
| 1920 | +51.8% |
| 1924 | +80.0% |
| 1928 | +22.7% |
| 1932 | +90.6% |
| 1936 | +90.2% |
| 1940 | +79.0% |
| 1944 | +80.3% |
| 1948 | +57.4% |
| 1952 | +24.9% |
| 1956 | +18.8% |
| 1960 | +26.3% |
| 1964 | +43.7% |
| 1968 | +23.1% |
| 1972 | −33.8% |
| 1976 | +30.2% |
| 1980 | +9.0% |
| 1984 | −11.4% |
| 1988 | +3.2% |
| 1992 | +11.8% |
| 1996 | +8.2% |
| 2000 | −20.4% |
| 2004 | −29.1% |
| 2008 | −33.5% |
| 2012 | −40.7% |
| 2016 | −51.9% |
| 2020 | −50.2% |
| 2024 | −56.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,666 |
| 2018 | 12,943 |
| 2020 | 13,963 |
| 2022 | 13,952 |
| 2024 | 14,443 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+118 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +299 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,980 in average income, against $61,511 for residents who stayed — 4% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.0 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Limestone County, TX itself (R+56.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- McLennan County, TX94R+30.8
- Freestone County, TX48R+66.3
- Harris County, TX38D+5.5
- Tarrant County, TX27R+5.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- McLennan County, TX97
- Freestone County, TX65
- Dallas County, TX27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +52 |
| 2012 | −17 |
| 2013 | −291 |
| 2014 | +5 |
| 2015 | −138 |
| 2016 | −32 |
| 2017 | −116 |
| 2018 | −69 |
| 2019 | +114 |
| 2021 | +74 |
| 2022 | +228 |
| 2023 | +177 |
| 2024 | +194 |
| 2025 | +118 |
Limestone County's 2024 presidential margin of R+56.9 places it among Texas's most heavily one-sided rural counties, reflecting a broader shift in small agricultural communities away from competitive voting patterns over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.9 points.
A population of 22,283, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,573 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knox County and Houston County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Limestone County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48293/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.