Uvalde County, Texas: Old Confederacy county. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 24,8812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 70.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Walthall County, MS · similarity 0.97
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,218 | 6,482 | 9,772 | ||
| R | 4,073 | 6,174 | 10,344 | ||
| R | 3,867 | 4,835 | 8,964 | ||
| R | 3,825 | 4,529 | 8,435 | ||
| R | 4,126 | 4,590 | 8,766 | ||
| R | 3,298 | 5,148 | 8,483 | ||
| R | 3,436 | 4,855 | 8,420 | ||
| R | 3,397 | 3,494 | 7,333 | ||
| R | 3,482 | 3,635 | 8,543 | ||
| R | 3,684 | 4,266 | 8,001 | ||
| R | 2,482 | 4,790 | 7,287 | ||
| R | 2,402 | 3,887 | 6,366 | ||
| R | 2,299 | 3,103 | 5,449 | ||
| R | 1,438 | 3,883 | 5,327 | ||
| R | 1,736 | 2,252 | 4,759 | ||
| D | 2,358 | 1,963 | 4,326 | ||
| R | 1,324 | 2,214 | 3,552 | ||
| R | 994 | 2,449 | 3,463 | ||
| R | 1,230 | 2,805 | 4,044 | ||
| D | 1,550 | 866 | 2,545 | ||
| D | 1,322 | 856 | 2,356 | ||
| D | 1,871 | 556 | 2,433 | ||
| D | 1,743 | 354 | 2,098 | ||
| D | 1,759 | 422 | 2,186 | ||
| R | 747 | 1,224 | 1,971 | ||
| D | 1,312 | 351 | 1,715 | ||
| D | 743 | 237 | 1,021 | ||
| D | 728 | 92 | 834 | ||
| D | 601 | 53 | 774 | ||
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Demographics
Uvalde County sits along the Nueces River in southwest Texas, with a population that is roughly 80% Hispanic yet has shifted steadily toward Republican margins over recent election cycles, mirroring a broader South Texas trend.
The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Uvalde County, by a eleven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Uvalde County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $53,801, and a 22% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walthall County and Dinwiddie County.
Uvalde County, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/48463/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
