akashic
1876–2024
Luna County, New Mexico
Luna County·New Mexico

Luna County votes the way the country votes.

A border county where ranching heritage shapes a consistent Republican lean

18762024·38 elections
Luna County, New Mexico · AllenS · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
25,611
2024 ACS
Most similar
Valencia County
NM · similarity 0.96
18 precincts · 8,056 votes cast
Trump · R+19
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−18.9%
3,1764,6988,056
2020R
−10.4%
3,5634,4088,103
2016R
−3.9%
3,1953,4787,295
2012R
−1.2%
3,5833,6707,500
2008D
+5.3%
4,3113,8708,340
2004R
−10.9%
3,3404,1647,593
2000R
−6.4%
2,9753,3956,612
1996D
+6.1%
3,0012,6166,326
1992D
+7.5%
2,6372,1666,272
1988R
−5.3%
3,0663,4156,636
1984R
−23.4%
2,5574,1456,776
1980R
−18.8%
2,4433,6366,346
1976R
−1.6%
2,8722,9665,903
1972R
−29.9%
1,5602,9584,677
1968R
−13.2%
1,4381,9523,896
1964D
+15.6%
2,2861,6653,969
1960D
+3.8%
1,7081,5833,306
1956R
−0.7%
1,5061,5263,067
1952R
−12.8%
1,3321,7293,095
1948D
+26.6%
1,6299412,584
1944D
+12.6%
1,3831,0742,459
1940D
+13.1%
1,3881,0662,460
1936D
+29.3%
1,5008062,367
1932D
+42.2%
1,6056412,286
1928R
−14.1%
6478601,514
1924R
−6.9%
5967091,638
1920D
+8.9%
1,0008341,868
1916D
+29.9%
7964181,263
1912D
+46.4%
46181819
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
39.9%
Other Christian
16.0%
Baptist
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Methodist
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.5%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Luna County sits along the U.S.–Mexico border in southwestern New Mexico, where a sparse, agriculture-rooted population has delivered Republican presidential margins in the high teens for several cycles running.

The Democratic margin in Luna County has rarely exceeded forty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by nineteen points.

Luna County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 40% non-Hispanic-white share, a 29% poverty rate, and a median household income of $36,419 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Valencia County and Hidalgo County.