HarrisDemocratic26.8%5,941TrumpRepublican71.6%15,894OtherAll other candidates1.3%294
R+44.8- Lead
- 9,953
- Total
- 22,200
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- 50.0%
Akashiccounty
Chaves County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 50.0% of 44,512 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.4%6,381TrumpRepublican69.8%15,656JorgensenLibertarian1.2%268
R+41.3- Lead
- 9,275
- Total
- 22,443
- vs nation
- R+45.8
- Turnout
- 51.3%
ClintonDemocratic27.3%5,534TrumpRepublican63.5%12,872JohnsonLibertarian7.9%1,609
R+36.2- Lead
- 7,338
- Total
- 20,271
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Turnout
- 47.2%
ObamaDemocratic32.5%6,604RomneyRepublican64.5%13,088GRAYLibertarian2.6%521
R+32.0- Lead
- 6,484
- Total
- 20,292
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic37.1%8,197McCainRepublican61.7%13,651OtherAll other candidates1.2%264
R+24.7- Lead
- 5,454
- Total
- 22,112
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic31.0%6,726BushRepublican68.1%14,773OtherAll other candidates0.9%206
R+37.1- Lead
- 8,047
- Total
- 21,705
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.9%6,340BushRepublican62.7%11,378NaderGreen1.7%307
R+27.8- Lead
- 5,038
- Total
- 18,149
- vs nation
- R+28.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.9%7,014DoleRepublican53.9%9,991PerotReform6.9%1,271
R+16.1- Lead
- 2,977
- Total
- 18,519
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,2172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,9382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 58.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.5 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Adams County, WA · twin score 93.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 50.0%22,275 participants ÷ 44,512 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.1%–38.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,353 | 43,118 | 47.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,780 | 43,547 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 22,502 | 43,859 | 51.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,396 | 45,031 | 36.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,275 | 44,512 | 50.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
119 precincts · 21,896 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000010000010 | 92 | 564 | 6 | 662 | 13.9% | 85.2% | R+71.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000021000021 | 176 | 473 | 0 | 649 | 27.1% | 72.9% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 142 | 483 | 0 | 625 | 22.7% | 77.3% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -000093000093 | 187 | 421 | 6 | 614 | 30.5% | 68.6% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -000036000036 | 108 | 467 | 0 | 575 | 18.8% | 81.2% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -000091000091 | 163 | 396 | 9 | 568 | 28.7% | 69.7% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -000041000041 | 163 | 394 | 0 | 557 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 121 | 431 | 0 | 552 | 21.9% | 78.1% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 141 | 377 | 0 | 518 | 27.2% | 72.8% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -000101000101 | 122 | 389 | 0 | 511 | 23.9% | 76.1% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 108 | 379 | 7 | 494 | 21.9% | 76.7% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 131 | 354 | 6 | 491 | 26.7% | 72.1% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 130 | 360 | 0 | 490 | 26.5% | 73.5% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 108 | 373 | 0 | 481 | 22.5% | 77.5% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 149 | 312 | 6 | 467 | 31.9% | 66.8% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -000031000031 | 133 | 327 | 0 | 460 | 28.9% | 71.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 156 | 289 | 10 | 455 | 34.3% | 63.5% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 46 | 400 | 0 | 446 | 10.3% | 89.7% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -000084000084 | 119 | 319 | 8 | 446 | 26.7% | 71.5% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 120 | 325 | 0 | 445 | 27.0% | 73.0% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 56 | 378 | 6 | 440 | 12.7% | 85.9% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 135 | 294 | 0 | 429 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 117 | 299 | 0 | 416 | 28.1% | 71.9% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 129 | 278 | 0 | 407 | 31.7% | 68.3% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -000102000102 | 78 | 314 | 0 | 392 | 19.9% | 80.1% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -000035000035 | 116 | 248 | 7 | 371 | 31.3% | 66.8% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -000072000072 | 104 | 251 | 0 | 355 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 77 | 260 | 0 | 337 | 22.8% | 77.2% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -000052000052 | 103 | 234 | 0 | 337 | 30.6% | 69.4% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 107 | 217 | 0 | 324 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -000033000033 | 91 | 231 | 0 | 322 | 28.3% | 71.7% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -000040000040 | 57 | 264 | 0 | 321 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -000064000064 | 147 | 160 | 0 | 307 | 47.9% | 52.1% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -000082000082 | 99 | 204 | 0 | 303 | 32.7% | 67.3% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -000071000071 | 54 | 245 | 0 | 299 | 18.1% | 81.9% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 84 | 210 | 0 | 294 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -000085000085 | 85 | 209 | 0 | 294 | 28.9% | 71.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 82 | 210 | 0 | 292 | 28.1% | 71.9% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -000105000105 | 48 | 241 | 0 | 289 | 16.6% | 83.4% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -000092000092 | 70 | 205 | 0 | 275 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -000073000073 | 49 | 213 | 0 | 262 | 18.7% | 81.3% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -000090000090 | 89 | 172 | 0 | 261 | 34.1% | 65.9% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 75 | 181 | 0 | 256 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -000106000106 | 42 | 214 | 0 | 256 | 16.4% | 83.6% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -000063000063 | 99 | 144 | 0 | 243 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -000094000094 | 89 | 153 | 0 | 242 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -000062000062 | 106 | 130 | 0 | 236 | 44.9% | 55.1% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -000043000043 | 93 | 142 | 0 | 235 | 39.6% | 60.4% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 95 | 138 | 0 | 233 | 40.8% | 59.2% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -000103000103 | 42 | 188 | 0 | 230 | 18.3% | 81.7% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -000083000083 | 64 | 160 | 0 | 224 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -000032000032 | 77 | 143 | 0 | 220 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -000034000034 | 79 | 141 | 0 | 220 | 35.9% | 64.1% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -000042000042 | 75 | 142 | 0 | 217 | 34.6% | 65.4% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 69 | 121 | 0 | 190 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -000074000074 | 50 | 138 | 0 | 188 | 26.6% | 73.4% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -000081000081 | 70 | 117 | 0 | 187 | 37.4% | 62.6% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -000095000095 | 75 | 112 | 0 | 187 | 40.1% | 59.9% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -000061000061 | 86 | 76 | 0 | 162 | 53.1% | 46.9% | D+6.2 |
| Precinct -000051000051 | 45 | 89 | 0 | 134 | 33.6% | 66.4% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -000046000046 | 12 | 75 | 0 | 87 | 13.8% | 86.2% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -000104000104 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 79 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -000044000044 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -000045000045 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Chaves County Precinct 135_350051 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1035_3500510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 10135_35005101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 10235_35005102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 10335_35005103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 10435_35005104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1135_3500511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1235_3500512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1335_3500513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1435_3500514 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1535_3500515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 1635_3500516 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 235_350052 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 2135_3500521 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 2235_3500522 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 2335_3500523 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 2435_3500524 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 2535_3500525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 335_350053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3135_3500531 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3235_3500532 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3335_3500533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3435_3500534 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3535_3500535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 3635_3500536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 435_350054 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4135_3500541 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4235_3500542 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4335_3500543 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4435_3500544 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4535_3500545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4635_3500546 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 4735_3500547 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 535_350055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 5135_3500551 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 5235_3500552 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 635_350056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 6135_3500561 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 6235_3500562 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 6335_3500563 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 735_350057 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 7135_3500571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 7235_3500572 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 7335_3500573 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 8135_3500581 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 8235_3500582 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 8335_3500583 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 8435_3500584 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 8535_3500585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 935_350059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 9035_3500590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 9135_3500591 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 9235_3500592 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 9335_3500593 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chaves County Precinct 9435_3500594 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +34.3% |
| 1916 | +42.5% |
| 1920 | +8.1% |
| 1924 | +16.8% |
| 1928 | −39.1% |
| 1932 | +38.4% |
| 1936 | +26.9% |
| 1940 | +18.1% |
| 1944 | +3.1% |
| 1948 | +18.7% |
| 1952 | −28.6% |
| 1956 | −27.5% |
| 1960 | −18.7% |
| 1964 | +1.3% |
| 1968 | −37.7% |
| 1972 | −44.4% |
| 1976 | −19.5% |
| 1980 | −38.5% |
| 1984 | −47.7% |
| 1988 | −32.7% |
| 1992 | −13.3% |
| 1996 | −16.1% |
| 2000 | −27.8% |
| 2004 | −37.1% |
| 2008 | −24.7% |
| 2012 | −32.0% |
| 2016 | −36.2% |
| 2020 | −41.3% |
| 2024 | −44.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+26.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+44.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 18 points more Democratic.
36,749 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−325 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −6,055 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,268 in average income, against $64,602 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.7 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Chaves County, NM itself (R+44.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Eddy County, NM115R+55.8
- Bernalillo County, NM78D+21.0
- Doña Ana County, NM31D+9.8
- Lea County, NM27R+61.6
- Lincoln County, NM25R+38.5
- Los Angeles County, CA23D+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM99
- Eddy County, NM96
- Doña Ana County, NM49
- Lubbock County, TX49
- Maricopa County, AZ42
- Lea County, NM41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −353 |
| 2012 | −215 |
| 2013 | −138 |
| 2014 | −505 |
| 2015 | −390 |
| 2016 | −503 |
| 2017 | −828 |
| 2018 | −748 |
| 2019 | −148 |
| 2021 | −482 |
| 2022 | −812 |
| 2023 | −409 |
| 2024 | −199 |
| 2025 | −325 |
Anchored by Roswell in the Pecos Valley, Chaves County has trended heavily toward Republican candidates in recent cycles, posting a 44.8-point margin in 2024 despite sitting within a state that leans Democratic statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.5 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 47.7 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.8 points.
A population of 64,217, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,938 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Adams County and Lea County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Adams County
Washington
93.4twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry≠ median age
Lea County
New Mexico
93.1twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry
Pecos County
Texas
92.4twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Chaves County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Chaves County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Chaves County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Chaves County, New Mexico voted Republican by 44.8 points (R+44.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,200 votes cast, 5,941 went Democratic and 15,894 went Republican.
When did Chaves County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Chaves County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Chaves County, New Mexico?
Chaves County, New Mexico has a population of 64,217 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Chaves County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Chaves County, New Mexico is $52,938 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Chaves County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Chaves County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.