akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·New Mexico

New Mexico 2nd Congressional District delivered D+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of the West's most reliably red districts runs from Roswell to the border

18762024·38 elections
NM
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
934,168
2024 ACS

New Mexico 2nd Congressional District, New Mexico: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Democratic peak: D+33 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
934,1682024 5-year
Median household income
$61,7902024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.5%2024 5-year
Black
2.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
53.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+33 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
VASQUEZ, GabrielCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: HERRELL, Yvette (2021–2023), TORRES SMALL, Xochitl (2019–2021), PEARCE, Stevan (2017–2019), PEARCE, Stevan (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

15 counties · 5 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.8%
194,521183,591386,936
D
+7.9%
204,243173,572386,459
D
+5.8%
157,328137,951334,287
D
+6.7%
168,354146,229328,285
D
+11.7%
191,515150,955347,260
R
−4.6%
149,753164,346317,676
R
−2.7%
119,365126,266255,594
D
+5.2%
115,403103,043239,015
D
+5.5%
108,49794,804246,763
R
−8.5%
102,768122,144227,728
R
−22.6%
85,626136,323224,289
R
−18.7%
71,302107,936195,515
R
−4.4%
84,78892,688179,098
R
−25.4%
59,885102,027165,978
R
−11.8%
55,32171,721139,245
D
+18.5%
81,59956,046138,322
D
+2.4%
65,04461,952127,463
R
−14.9%
42,81157,923101,195
R
−8.8%
41,62049,65991,661
D
+18.8%
39,38626,79566,804
D
+13.5%
30,53323,25753,846
D
+17.0%
36,06125,54961,679
D
+32.6%
36,27418,31555,062
D
+30.3%
30,90116,36647,940
R
−16.8%
14,91420,94935,916
R
−9.0%
13,89416,94033,894
R
−11.5%
13,79717,44031,542
D
+1.7%
10,3389,98020,844
D
+12.9%
6,2584,43614,111
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D55.1%44.9%903,311
2020D51.7%45.6%917,237
2018D54.1%30.5%697,012
2014D55.6%44.4%515,506
2012D51.0%45.3%775,793
2008D61.3%38.7%823,650
2006D70.6%29.3%558,550
2002R35.0%65.0%483,056
2000D61.7%38.3%589,526
1996R29.8%64.7%551,821
1994D54.0%46.0%463,196
1990R27.0%72.9%406,938
1988D63.3%36.7%508,598
1984R28.1%71.9%502,634
1982D53.8%46.2%404,810
1978R46.6%53.4%343,487
1976R42.7%56.8%413,056

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.5%
English
8.3%
Irish
6.7%
American
4.0%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
66.9%
speak English only
Spanish28.4%
Other languages2.4%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.8%
Other Christian
10.1%
Baptist
4.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Methodist
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the southeastern quadrant of New Mexico, this vast, energy-producing district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering double-digit Republican presidential margins even as the state as a whole trends Democratic.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-three points in 1936; the Republican margin reached twenty-five points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 934,168, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $61,790 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Democratic by 2.8 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 386,936 votes cast, 194,521 went Democratic and 183,591 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, New Mexico as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New Mexico voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Congressional District 2, New Mexico has a population of 934,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, New Mexico is $61,790 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.