Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+14.12012D+9.92016D+6.02020D+5.92024R+1.8
full record · 20082024
R+1.8
2024
median income$57,932U.S. $80,734 · NM $64,059
median age37.0U.S. 39.1 · NM 39.7
poverty rate20.2%U.S. 12.5% · NM 17.9%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.0%U.S. 35.6% · NM 30.6%
non-english33.1%U.S. 22.3% · NM 31.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican44.6%
Spaniard3.6%
Spanish3.4%
German11.6%
English11.3%
Irish9.2%
Navajo11.3%
African American1.5%
African0.2%
Filipino0.3%
Asian Indian0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Sierra County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

New Mexico 2nd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionNew Mexico 2nd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+1.8
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+1.8, 655 precincts, 11 city labels.
2024
655 precincts by 2024 margin · 11 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −1.8% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.8%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+14.1%
2012+9.9%
2016+6.0%
2020+5.9%
2024−1.8%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DGabe VasquezU.S. House · NM-02-0.32
DMartin HeinrichU.S. Senate-0.33
DBen LujánU.S. Senate-0.38

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20242D
52.1%138,177
47.9%127,145
265,322
20222D
50.4%97,037
49.6%95,636
192,673
20202R
46.3%122,546
53.7%142,283
264,946
20182D
50.9%101,489
49.1%97,767
199,256
20162R
37.2%85,232
62.7%143,515
228,817
20142R
35.5%52,499
64.4%95,209
147,777
20122R
40.9%92,162
59.1%133,180
225,515
20102R
44.6%75,708
55.4%94,053
169,761
20082D
56.0%129,572
44.0%101,980
231,552
20062R
40.5%63,119
59.4%92,620
155,874
20042R
39.8%86,292
60.2%130,498
216,790
20022R
43.7%61,916
56.2%79,631
141,629
20002R
41.9%72,614
58.1%100,742
173,356
19982R
42.1%61,796
57.9%85,077
146,873
19962R
44.1%74,915
55.9%95,091
170,006
19942R
31.9%45,316
63.3%89,966
142,180
19922R
43.5%73,157
56.4%94,838
168,170
19902R
0.0%0
100.0%80,677
80,677
19882R
0.0%0
100.0%100,324
100,324
19862R
37.1%45,924
62.9%77,787
123,711
19842R
25.7%40,063
74.3%116,006
156,069
19822R
41.6%50,599
58.4%71,021
121,620
19802R
34.0%55,085
38.0%61,564
161,992
19782D
100.0%95,710
0.0%0
95,710
19762D
70.3%123,563
29.7%52,131
175,694

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
55.1%497,333
44.9%405,978
903,311
2020D
51.7%474,483
45.6%418,483
917,237
2018D
54.1%376,998
30.5%212,813
697,012
2014D
55.6%286,409
44.4%229,097
515,506
2012D
51.0%395,717
45.3%351,260
775,176
2008D
61.3%505,128
38.7%318,522
823,650
2006D
70.7%394,365
29.3%163,826
558,191
2002R
35.0%168,863
65.0%314,193
483,056
2000D
61.7%363,744
38.3%225,517
589,261
1996R
29.8%164,356
64.7%357,171
551,821
1994D
54.0%249,989
46.0%213,025
463,014
1990R
27.1%110,033
72.9%296,712
406,745
1988D
63.3%321,983
36.7%186,579
508,562
1984R
28.1%141,253
71.9%361,371
502,634
1982D
53.8%217,682
46.2%187,128
404,810
1978R
46.6%160,045
53.4%183,442
343,487
1976R
42.7%176,382
56.8%234,681
413,056

Spanning the southeastern quadrant of New Mexico, this vast, energy-producing district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering double-digit Republican presidential margins even as the state as a whole trends Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 1.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.

A population of 705,849, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,932 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 34 and Congressional District 22.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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New Mexico 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within New Mexico 2nd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did New Mexico 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Mexico 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+1.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 271,710 votes cast, 130,537 went Democratic and 135,434 went Republican.
When did New Mexico 2nd Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Mexico 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
New Mexico 2nd Congressional District has a population of 705,849 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District is $57,932 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of New Mexico 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in New Mexico 2nd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.