HarrisDemocratic46.8%3,384TrumpRepublican50.5%3,651OtherAll other candidates1.7%122
R+3.7- Lead
- 267
- Total
- 7,233
- vs nation
- R+2.2
- Turnout
- 61.3%
Akashiccounty
Socorro County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.3% of 11,929 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic52.0%3,722TrumpRepublican45.5%3,255JorgensenLibertarian1.6%113
D+6.5- Lead
- 467
- Total
- 7,160
- vs nation
- D+2.1
- Turnout
- 58.7%
ClintonDemocratic48.2%3,313TrumpRepublican38.1%2,616JohnsonLibertarian11.7%802
D+10.1- Lead
- 697
- Total
- 6,868
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- 56.5%
ObamaDemocratic56.4%4,058RomneyRepublican37.8%2,722GRAYLibertarian4.8%344
D+18.6- Lead
- 1,336
- Total
- 7,193
- vs nation
- D+14.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.5%4,696McCainRepublican38.4%3,032OtherAll other candidates2.1%167
D+21.1- Lead
- 1,664
- Total
- 7,895
- vs nation
- D+13.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.3%4,025BushRepublican47.1%3,696OtherAll other candidates1.7%130
D+4.2- Lead
- 329
- Total
- 7,851
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.3%3,294BushRepublican46.5%3,173NaderGreen4.1%279
D+1.8- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 6,826
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.0%3,374DoleRepublican36.4%2,315PerotReform7.1%455
D+16.6- Lead
- 1,059
- Total
- 6,364
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,2002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $36,5702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 50.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Guadalupe County, NM · twin score 92.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.3%7,309 participants ÷ 11,929 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.0%–54.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,924 | 12,254 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,362 | 12,514 | 50.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,208 | 12,274 | 58.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,194 | 12,280 | 50.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,309 | 11,929 | 61.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
53 precincts · 7,106 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000008000008 | 346 | 294 | 16 | 656 | 52.7% | 44.8% | D+7.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000003000003 | 404 | 225 | 15 | 644 | 62.7% | 34.9% | D+27.8 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 226 | 293 | 7 | 526 | 43.0% | 55.7% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 251 | 246 | 6 | 503 | 49.9% | 48.9% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 162 | 319 | 6 | 487 | 33.3% | 65.5% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 170 | 292 | 0 | 462 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 188 | 269 | 0 | 457 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 284 | 155 | 0 | 439 | 64.7% | 35.3% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 225 | 169 | 8 | 402 | 56.0% | 42.0% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 147 | 219 | 9 | 375 | 39.2% | 58.4% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 158 | 146 | 9 | 313 | 50.5% | 46.6% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 117 | 128 | 0 | 245 | 47.8% | 52.2% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 82 | 147 | 0 | 229 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 92 | 114 | 0 | 206 | 44.7% | 55.3% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 90 | 116 | 0 | 206 | 43.7% | 56.3% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 93 | 97 | 0 | 190 | 48.9% | 51.1% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 70 | 47 | 0 | 117 | 59.8% | 40.2% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 39 | 55 | 0 | 94 | 41.5% | 58.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 46 | 48 | 0 | 94 | 48.9% | 51.1% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 52 | 29 | 0 | 81 | 64.2% | 35.8% | D+28.4 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 27 | 49 | 0 | 76 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 29 | 39 | 0 | 68 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 15 | 47 | 0 | 62 | 24.2% | 75.8% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 24 | 36 | 0 | 60 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 24 | 28 | 0 | 52 | 46.2% | 53.8% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -000026000026 | 18 | 24 | 0 | 42 | 42.9% | 57.1% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Socorro County Precinct 135_350531 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1035_3505310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1135_3505311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1235_3505312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1335_3505313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1435_3505314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1535_3505315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1635_3505316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1735_3505317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1835_3505318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 1935_3505319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 235_350532 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2035_3505320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2135_3505321 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2235_3505322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2335_3505323 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2435_3505324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2535_3505325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 2635_3505326 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 335_350533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 435_350534 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 535_350535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 635_350536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 735_350537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 835_350538 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Socorro County Precinct 935_350539 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +5.1% |
| 1916 | −11.2% |
| 1920 | −26.9% |
| 1924 | −28.9% |
| 1928 | −10.7% |
| 1932 | +12.7% |
| 1936 | −1.1% |
| 1940 | −4.1% |
| 1944 | −1.6% |
| 1948 | −12.9% |
| 1952 | −11.2% |
| 1956 | −23.1% |
| 1960 | +12.9% |
| 1964 | +14.9% |
| 1968 | −8.4% |
| 1972 | −14.0% |
| 1976 | +6.9% |
| 1980 | −8.5% |
| 1984 | −14.3% |
| 1988 | −2.5% |
| 1992 | +11.9% |
| 1996 | +16.6% |
| 2000 | +1.8% |
| 2004 | +4.2% |
| 2008 | +21.1% |
| 2012 | +18.6% |
| 2016 | +10.1% |
| 2020 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | −3.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+8.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+3.7
Socorro County, NM registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 12-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
11,055 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−65 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,412 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,112 in average income, against $51,390 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+5.5 on average — 9.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Socorro County, NM itself (R+3.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bernalillo County, NM87D+21.0
- Valencia County, NM62R+16.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM98
- Valencia County, NM78
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −132 |
| 2012 | −367 |
| 2013 | −87 |
| 2014 | −328 |
| 2015 | −188 |
| 2016 | −262 |
| 2017 | −175 |
| 2018 | −230 |
| 2019 | −142 |
| 2021 | −190 |
| 2022 | −114 |
| 2023 | −92 |
| 2024 | −40 |
| 2025 | −65 |
Socorro County, anchored by the city of Socorro and New Mexico Tech, shifted to the Republican column by 3.7 points in 2024 after voting Democratic in prior presidential cycles — a swing reflecting broader rural realignment in the state's Hispanic-majority counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 28.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.7 points.
A population of 16,200, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,570 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Guadalupe County and Costilla County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Guadalupe County
New Mexico
92.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% White≠ 12-yr trend
Costilla County
Colorado
90.0twin score
% Latino2016 margin% White≠ 2000 margin
Rio Arriba County
New Mexico
88.9twin score
% White2016–2020 trajectoryelasticity≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Socorro County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Socorro County
New Mexico at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Socorro County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Socorro County, New Mexico voted Republican by 3.7 points (R+3.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,233 votes cast, 3,384 went Democratic and 3,651 went Republican.
When did Socorro County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Socorro County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Socorro County, New Mexico?
Socorro County, New Mexico has a population of 16,200 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Socorro County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Socorro County, New Mexico is $36,570 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Socorro County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Socorro County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.