akashic
1876–2024
State House District 49·New Mexico

New Mexico 49th State House District delivered R+17 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of New Mexico's most Democratic-leaning legislative seats

18762024·38 elections
NM
Latest
R+17
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
68,107
2024 ACS

New Mexico 49th State House District, New Mexico: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+17%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+17MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
68,1072024 5-year
Median household income
$53,3562024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
50.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
54.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+23 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+36 in 1924MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.8%
12,30917,40530,327
R
−10.6%
12,93716,07529,633
R
−9.7%
10,10212,63125,960
D
+0.3%
12,54312,45626,302
D
+5.7%
14,40212,82227,684
R
−12.0%
11,12514,20325,630
R
−8.4%
9,43511,24721,555
D
+6.0%
9,3748,21119,435
D
+5.9%
7,8796,81317,998
R
−8.1%
7,6369,00816,953
R
−22.5%
6,0899,69216,007
R
−20.7%
6,74310,57218,477
D
+3.4%
8,2697,71316,140
R
−19.0%
5,8228,62014,760
R
−8.2%
5,3746,40312,622
D
+22.6%
7,7534,88912,687
D
+9.9%
7,0295,76212,801
R
−19.1%
4,1196,06710,199
R
−13.1%
4,2335,5109,752
R
−4.6%
4,1724,5768,786
R
−4.6%
3,8894,2658,162
R
−0.6%
5,4265,49410,929
D
+10.2%
5,8214,73810,606
D
+5.4%
4,6964,2128,962
R
−32.4%
2,3244,5546,882
R
−36.0%
1,9254,3326,688
R
−33.6%
2,1614,3686,566
R
−23.4%
1,5682,5394,142
R
−15.8%
1,0691,5342,939
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.3%
English
8.0%
American
6.8%
Irish
5.7%
Italian
2.3%
Scottish
1.2%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.1%
speak English only
Spanish23.9%
Other languages2.4%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
32.3%
Other Christian
8.6%
Baptist
3.4%
Methodist
0.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of nearly 49 points, this Albuquerque-area district ranks among the state's most reliably blue constituencies, where competitive general elections are rare and primary outcomes typically determine representation.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-three points in 1964; the Republican margin reached thirty-six points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 68,107, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $53,356 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 49, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 49, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 49, New Mexico voted Republican by 16.8 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 30,327 votes cast, 12,309 went Democratic and 17,405 went Republican.
What is State House District 49, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 49, New Mexico as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 49, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 49, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 49, New Mexico?
State House District 49, New Mexico has a population of 68,107 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 49, New Mexico?
Median household income in State House District 49, New Mexico is $53,356 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of State House District 49, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 49, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.