- Lead
- 7,685
- Total
- 13,965
- vs nation
- D+56.5
New Mexico 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,508
- Total
- 13,809
- vs nation
- D+57.2
- Lead
- 7,104
- Total
- 11,933
- vs nation
- D+57.4
- Lead
- 6,981
- Total
- 11,551
- vs nation
- D+56.6
- Lead
- 7,766
- Total
- 12,029
- vs nation
- D+57.3
- Lead
- 5,915
- Total
- 10,837
- vs nation
- D+57.0
- Lead
- 3,837
- Total
- 8,138
- vs nation
- D+46.6
- Lead
- 3,205
- Total
- 7,017
- vs nation
- D+37.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+55.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,1972024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,595 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,9892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 33.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 58.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.6 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+14.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, NM · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
81.6%
9,813 votes · D+64.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 79.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
56.9%
423 votes · R+14.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 51.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,030votes
79.9% of the vote · D+61.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,655 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,970votes
21.3% of the vote · D+55.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,522 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+57.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.5 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +57.3 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+18.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+1.2 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +0.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+55, this Albuquerque-area district ranks among the most reliably blue constituencies in the state, reflecting dense urban settlement and a heavily Democratic voter composition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.6 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 14.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.0 points.
A population of 30,197, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,989 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 46.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.