- Lead
- 6,978
- Total
- 14,160
- vs nation
- D+50.8
New Mexico 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,424
- Total
- 13,523
- vs nation
- D+50.4
- Lead
- 5,981
- Total
- 11,385
- vs nation
- D+50.4
- Lead
- 5,811
- Total
- 11,051
- vs nation
- D+48.7
- Lead
- 6,533
- Total
- 11,515
- vs nation
- D+49.5
- Lead
- 4,725
- Total
- 10,486
- vs nation
- D+47.5
- Lead
- 3,025
- Total
- 7,858
- vs nation
- D+38.0
- Lead
- 2,611
- Total
- 6,756
- vs nation
- D+30.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+49.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,9162024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,374 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,9392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 30.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 61.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 48, NM · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
77.7%
8,951 votes · D+56.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 76.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.1%
462 votes · R+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 58.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
10,395votes
73.4% of the vote · D+49.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 10,357 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,417votes
24.1% of the vote · D+49.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,933 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+50.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+49.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +50.4 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+34.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.5 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +13.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
District 45 backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by 31.7 points, placing it among the state's most skewed districts. Its sparse, rural character shapes a political profile that diverges sharply from New Mexico's statewide lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.7 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 26.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.3 points.
A population of 29,916, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,939 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 46.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.