Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
New MexicoHarrisD+6.0
2024StatewideD+6.0

33 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County33 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Santa Fe61,40520,457D+48.983,719Taos12,0384,139D+47.516,636Los Alamos7,7264,047D+30.212,187San Miguel6,9853,887D+27.911,108McKinley15,7119,364D+24.525,867Bernalillo184,117118,762D+21.0310,844Rio Arriba9,3736,268D+19.415,989Mora1,4391,010D+17.22,487Doña Ana45,93737,594D+9.885,407Sandoval41,20536,605D+5.879,540Grant7,3016,580D+5.114,224Cibola4,4504,311D+1.58,977Guadalupe959945D+0.71,938Socorro3,3843,651R+3.77,233Colfax2,4363,252R+14.05,813Valencia13,60919,057R+16.433,277Luna3,1764,698R+18.98,056Sierra2,3323,473R+19.25,953Hidalgo7051,140R+23.41,862Otero8,58215,117R+27.024,242San Juan17,46434,264R+31.752,926Torrance2,1444,880R+38.17,179Lincoln3,0336,942R+38.510,165Harding128297R+39.2431Quay1,0552,570R+40.93,704Curry4,23010,714R+42.615,223Roosevelt1,8204,687R+43.26,639Chaves5,94115,894R+44.822,200Catron5711,752R+50.12,357De Baca206649R+50.7874Union3781,247R+52.21,665Eddy5,03218,141R+55.823,472Lea3,93016,997R+61.621,209

New Mexico, New Mexico

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: +6.0% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+6.0%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+5.5%
1916+3.6%
1920−10.4%
1924−5.5%
1928−18.2%
1932+27.0%
1936+26.2%
1940+13.3%
1944+7.0%
1948+13.5%
1952−11.1%
1956−16.0%
1960+0.7%
1964+18.6%
1968−12.1%
1972−24.5%
1976−2.5%
1980−18.2%
1984−20.5%
1988−5.0%
1992+8.6%
1996+7.3%
2000+0.1%
2004−0.8%
2008+15.1%
2012+10.1%
2016+8.2%
2020+10.8%
2024+6.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
51.9%Harris478,802
45.9%Trump423,391
1.0%Kennedy9,553
+6.0%
923,403
D
54.3%Biden501,614
43.5%Trump401,894
1.4%Jorgensen12,585
+10.8%
923,965
D
48.3%Clinton385,234
40.0%Trump319,667
9.3%Johnson74,541
+8.2%
798,319
D
53.0%Obama415,335
42.8%Romney335,788
3.5%Johnson27,788
+10.1%
783,757
D
56.9%Obama472,422
41.8%McCain346,832
0.6%Nader5,327
+15.1%
830,158
R
49.0%Kerry370,942
49.8%Bush376,930
0.5%Nader4,053
−0.8%
756,304
D
47.9%Gore286,783
47.8%Bush286,417
3.6%Nader21,251
+0.1%
598,605
D
49.2%Clinton273,495
41.9%Dole232,751
5.8%Perot32,257
+7.3%
556,074
D
45.9%Clinton261,617
37.3%Bush212,824
16.1%Perot91,895
+8.6%
569,986
R
46.9%Dukakis244,497
51.9%Bush270,341
0.6%Paul3,368
−5.0%
521,287
R
39.2%Mondale201,769
59.7%Reagan307,101
0.9%Bergland4,459
−20.5%
514,370
R
36.8%Carter167,826
55.0%Reagan250,779
6.5%Anderson29,459
−18.2%
456,237
R
48.3%Carter201,148
50.7%Ford211,419
0.6%Camejo2,462
−2.5%
416,590
R
36.6%McGovern141,084
61.0%Nixon235,606
2.4%Schmitz9,241
−24.5%
385,931
R
39.7%Humphrey130,081
51.8%Nixon169,692
8.4%Wallace27,508
−12.1%
327,281
D
59.0%Johnson194,015
40.4%Goldwater132,838
0.5%Hass1,760
+18.6%
328,613
D
50.2%Kennedy156,027
49.4%Nixon153,733
0.4%Byrd1,347
+0.7%
311,107
R
41.8%Stevenson106,098
57.8%Eisenhower146,788
0.4%Andrews1,040
−16.0%
253,926
R
44.3%Stevenson105,661
55.4%Eisenhower132,170
0.3%Hallinan777
−11.1%
238,608
D
56.4%Truman105,464
42.9%Dewey80,303
0.7%Thurmond1,296
+13.5%
187,063
D
53.5%Roosevelt81,389
46.4%Dewey70,688
0.1%Thomas148
+7.0%
152,225
D
56.6%Roosevelt103,699
43.3%Willkie79,315
0.1%Thomas244
+13.3%
183,258
D
62.7%Roosevelt106,037
36.5%Landon61,727
0.8%Lemke1,371
+26.2%
169,135
D
62.7%Roosevelt95,089
35.8%Hoover54,217
1.5%Thomas2,300
+27.0%
151,606
R
40.8%Smith48,211
59.0%Hoover69,708
0.1%Thomas158
−18.2%
118,077
R
43.0%Davis48,542
48.5%Coolidge54,745
8.5%La Follette9,543
−5.5%
112,830
R
44.3%Cox46,668
54.7%Harding57,634
1.1%Debs1,119
−10.4%
105,421
D
50.2%Wilson33,527
46.6%Hughes31,152
3.2%Benson2,108
+3.6%
66,787
D
41.4%Wilson20,437
35.9%Taft17,733
22.7%Roosevelt11,205
+5.5%
49,375
————
No data
—
————
No data
—
————
No data
—
————
No data
—
————
No data
—
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
Deb HaalandnomineeGregg Hullnominee

OPEN seat: incumbent Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is term-limited (no third consecutive term). Former U.S. Interior Secretary Deb Haaland won the Democratic primary (~72%) over Sam Bregman; she would be the first Native American woman elected governor of any state. Former Rio Rancho mayor Gregg Hull (note: 'Gregg' with two g's) won the GOP primary (~47%) over Doug Turner and Duke Rodriguez. Independent Ken Miyagishima failed to qualify for the ballot (court denied his signature petition; appeal pending) and is excluded.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senate
Ben Ray LujánnomineeLarry Markernominee

Luján (D) seeking 2nd term, won primary ~83.7%. No R made the ballot; Larry Marker nominated via write-in. Solid D.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 72 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
D 355.1%44.9%896,498
D 355.1%44.9%704,126
D 2 · R 154.9%45.1%903,684
D 358.3%38.2%693,311

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
55.1%497,333
44.9%405,978
903,311
2020D
51.7%474,483
45.6%418,483
917,237
2018D
54.1%376,998
30.5%212,813
697,012
2014D
55.6%286,409
44.4%229,097
515,506
2012D
51.0%395,717
45.3%351,260
775,176
2008D
61.3%505,128
38.7%318,522
823,650
2006D
70.7%394,365
29.3%163,826
558,191
2002R
35.0%168,863
65.0%314,193
483,056
2000D
61.7%363,744
38.3%225,517
589,261
1996R
29.8%164,356
64.7%357,171
551,821
1994D
54.0%249,989
46.0%213,025
463,014
1990R
27.1%110,033
72.9%296,712
406,745
1988D
63.3%321,983
36.7%186,579
508,562
1984R
28.1%141,253
71.9%361,371
502,634
1982D
53.8%217,682
46.2%187,128
404,810
1978R
46.6%160,045
53.4%183,442
343,487
1976R
42.7%176,382
56.8%234,681
413,056
Nearly half of New Mexicans are Hispanic or Latino — the largest share of any state — and the Democratic margin narrowed from 10.8 points to 6.0 as the state moved toward Trump in 2024.
Narrowed but held
D+10.8 (2020) → D+6.0 (2024) — a 4.8-point move toward Trump, with the national shift across Hispanic areas · MIT Election Lab
Hispanic or Latino
48.4% of residents — the largest share of any state; 32.4% Mexican origin, plus the colonial-era Hispano families (Spanish 4.2%, Spaniard 3.6%) · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002 / B04006)
The Hispano north and Albuquerque
Santa Fe D+48.9 (bluest), Taos D+47.5; Bernalillo — Albuquerque — D+21.0 · MIT Election Lab 2024
Little Texas
The southeastern oil counties run Republican — Lea R+61.6 (reddest), Eddy R+55.8, Chaves R+44.8 · MIT Election Lab 2024
The Navajo northwest moved
McKinley County (Navajo Nation): D+38.6 (2020) → D+24.5 (2024); Doña Ana, on the border, D+18.3 → D+9.8 · MIT Election Lab
Open governor in 2026
Lujan Grisham term-limited — Deb Haaland (D), former U.S. Interior Secretary, vs Gregg Hull (R); Sen. Luján (D) seeks a 2nd term · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Nevada
Nevada
77.7twin score
elasticity% White% Catholic≠ % Latino
California
California
60.9twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry≠ population scale
Arizona
Arizona
52.5twin score
Mexican ancestry% Black% Evangelical≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NM/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
Largest cities in New Mexico
Albuquerque
562.2K residents
Las Cruces
114.2K residents
Rio Rancho
108.5K residents
Santa Fe
89K residents
Roswell
47.6K residents
Farmington
46.3K residents
Hobbs
40.3K residents
Clovis
37.9K residents
South Valley
37.1K residents
Carlsbad
31.7K residents
Alamogordo
31.3K residents
Gallup
21K residents
New Mexico at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2024Governorstate + county2022US Houseall districts2024

Places within New Mexico

33counties17metro areas1combined areas1media markets3congressional districts42state senate districts70state house districts
More in New Mexico
Bernalillo County
Catron County
Chaves County
Cibola County
Colfax County
Curry County

Frequently asked questions

How did New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Mexico voted Democratic by 6.0 points (D+6.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 923,403 votes cast, 478,802 went Democratic and 423,391 went Republican.
When did New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Mexico voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in New Mexico?
New Mexico has a population of 2,120,246 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Mexico?
Median household income in New Mexico is $64,059 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in New Mexico from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.