HarrisDemocratic29.7%128TrumpRepublican68.9%297OtherAll other candidates1.4%6
R+39.2- Lead
- 169
- Total
- 431
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- 78.7%
Akashiccounty
Harding County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1924–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.7% of 550 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.4%179TrumpRepublican63.2%319JorgensenLibertarian0.6%3
R+27.7- Lead
- 140
- Total
- 505
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic29.6%156TrumpRepublican59.0%311JohnsonLibertarian10.4%55
R+29.4- Lead
- 155
- Total
- 527
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.3%260RomneyRepublican54.4%327GRAYLibertarian2.0%12
R+11.1- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 601
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.5%260McCainRepublican57.2%358OtherAll other candidates1.3%8
R+15.7- Lead
- 98
- Total
- 626
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.2%259BushRepublican59.0%380OtherAll other candidates0.8%5
R+18.8- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 644
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.1%214BushRepublican61.7%366NaderGreen1.5%9
R+25.6- Lead
- 152
- Total
- 593
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.9%264DoleRepublican52.1%321PerotReform4.5%28
R+9.3- Lead
- 57
- Total
- 616
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7412024 5-year
- Population density
- 0.35 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,126 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,5532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 36.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lyman County, SD · twin score 80.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.7%433 participants ÷ 550 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 · Midterm | 423 | 512 | 82.6% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 433 | 550 | 78.7% | A/D |
Sources and methods
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Harding County, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1924–2024 · 26 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
64.5%
1,478 votes · D+30.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 58.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.9%
297 votes · R+39.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 68.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
1,478votes
64.5% of the vote · D+30.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 1,276 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
998votes
49.6% of the vote · D+0.3
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 916 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+24.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.4 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +12.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+37.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.2 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +32.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.9%155 | 62.1%254 | 409 |
| 2020 | R | 39.0%188 | 61.0%294 | 482 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+38.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+39.2
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.9 points.
559 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −31 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +31 |
| 2012 | −10 |
| 2013 | −13 |
| 2014 | +2 |
| 2015 | +29 |
| 2016 | −28 |
| 2017 | +1 |
| 2018 | −31 |
| 2019 | −18 |
| 2021 | −6 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +18 |
| 2024 | −14 |
| 2025 | +4 |
Harding County's 810 residents make it among the smallest counties by population in the country, and its vast, sparsely settled ranchland has produced some of the widest Republican presidential margins in New Mexico for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 39.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 741, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,553 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lyman County and Quay County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lyman County
South Dakota
80.0twin score
% Catholic% unaffiliated% Evangelical≠ % Latino
Quay County
New Mexico
76.7twin score
% unaffiliated% Latino% White≠ % Evangelical
Kenedy County
Texas
76.7twin score
% Catholic% Evangelicalmedian income≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harding County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Harding County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harding County, New Mexico voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 431 votes cast, 128 went Democratic and 297 went Republican.
When did Harding County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harding County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Harding County, New Mexico?
Harding County, New Mexico has a population of 741 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harding County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Harding County, New Mexico is $48,553 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Harding County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harding County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.